The Bahia

Bahia

Bahia is one of the 26 states of Brazil, and is located in the northeastern part of the country on the Atlantic coast. It is the fourth most populous Brazilian state after São Paulo, Minas Gerais and Rio de Janeiro, and the fifth-largest in size...

 gubernatorial election, 2010 will be held on October 3, as part of the general elections in Brazil

Brazilian general election, 2010

The first round of the Brazilian general election of 2010 was held on Sunday, October 3, 2010. The Presidency of the Republic, all 513 Chamber of Deputies seats and 54 out of 81 Federal Senate seats were contested in this election, along with governorships and state legislatures of all 26 states...

. In this election, Bahian citizens eligible to vote will decide if incumbent Governor Jaques Wagner

Jaques Wagner

Jaques Wagner is a Brazilian politician, and the current Governor of Bahia. He was a founding member of the Workers' Party , as well as the Central Única dos Trabalhadores , a union which has organized more than 7 million members. He is candidate for reelection in the 2010 Brazilian...

, of the center-left Workers' Party

Workers' Party (Brazil)

The Workers' Party is a democratic socialist political party in Brazil. Launched in 1980, it is recognized as one of the largest and most important left-wing movements of Latin America. It governs at the federal level in a coalition government with several other parties since January 1, 2003...

, should receive a new four year term. His main challengers are former Governor Paulo Souto, of the right wing Democrats

Democrats (Brazil)

The Democrats is a centre-right political party in Brazil, considered the main in the right-wing spectrum. Despite its former name , the party affiliates itself to the Centrist Democrat International, and the International Democrat Union. The name comes from its support to free market policies...

, and Minister for National Integration Geddel Vieira Lima, of centrist Brazilian Democratic Movement Party. If none of the candidates achieve more than a half of the valid votes, a run-off will be held on October 31, 2010.

Opinion polling

Scenario 2010

Date	Institute	Candidate			None / Undecided
		Jaques Wagner (PT)	Paulo Souto (DEM)	Geddel Vieira (PMDB)
December 14–18, 2009	Ibope/TV Bahia			12%	2%

First scenario

Date	Institute	Candidate				None / Undecided
		Jaques Wagner (PT)	Paulo Souto (DEM)	Geddel Vieira (PMDB)	Hilton Coelho (PSOL)
December 14–18, 2009	Datafolha Grupo Folha The Grupo Folha is a Brazilian conglomerate of publishing companies, including newspapers, publishing houses, print shops and so on...			11%	1%	25%

Second scenario

Date	Institute	Candidate					None / Undecided
		Jaques Wagner (PT)	Paulo Souto (DEM)	João Henrique (PMDB)	Luiz Bassuma (PV)	Hilton Coelho (PSOL)
December 14–18, 2009	Datafolha Grupo Folha The Grupo Folha is a Brazilian conglomerate of publishing companies, including newspapers, publishing houses, print shops and so on...			6%	1%	0%	26%

Third scenario

Date	Institute	Candidate					None / Undecided
		Jaques Wagner (PT)	ACM Neto (DEM)	Geddel Vieira (PMDB)	Hilton Coelho (PSOL)	Luiz Bassuma (PV)
December 14–18, 2009	Datafolha Grupo Folha The Grupo Folha is a Brazilian conglomerate of publishing companies, including newspapers, publishing houses, print shops and so on...			13%	2%	1%	28%

Fourth scenario

Date	Institute	Candidate							None / Undecided
		Jaques Wagner (PT)	Paulo Souto (DEM)	Geddel Vieira (PMDB)	César Borges (PR)	Lídice da Mata (PSB)	Hilton Coelho (PSOL)	Luiz Bassuma (PV)
December 14–18, 2009	Datafolha Grupo Folha The Grupo Folha is a Brazilian conglomerate of publishing companies, including newspapers, publishing houses, print shops and so on...			10%	2%	2%	1%	0%	24%