Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008

This article provides a collection of state-wide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the United States presidential election, 2008
United States presidential election, 2008
The United States presidential election of 2008 was the 56th quadrennial presidential election. It was held on November 4, 2008. Democrat Barack Obama, then the junior United States Senator from Illinois, defeated Republican John McCain, the senior U.S. Senator from Arizona. Obama received 365...

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Alabama

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Alabama Alabama Alabama is a state located in the southeastern region of the United States. It is bordered by Tennessee to the north, Georgia to the east, Florida and the Gulf of Mexico to the south, and Mississippi to the west. Alabama ranks 30th in total land area and ranks second in the size of its inland... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Survey USA	Oct 27-28	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	61%	25
Capital Survey Research Center	Oct 15-21	Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	54%	20
Survey USA	Oct 8-9	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	62%	27
Capital Research Center	Oct 6-7	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	54.5%	19.5
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 22	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	60%	21
Survey USA	Sept 16-17	Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	64%	30
American Research Group	Sept 13-16	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	58%	22
University of South Alabama/ Press-Register	Sept 8-15	Barack Obama	25%	John McCain	52%	27
Capital Survey Research Center/ Alabama Education Association	Sept 3-9	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	55%	20
Capital Survey Research Center/ Alabama Education Association	July 29-Aug 4	Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	47%	13
Rasmussen Reports	July 31	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	58%	20

Alaska

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Alaska Alaska Alaska is the largest state in the United States by area. It is situated in the northwest extremity of the North American continent, with Canada to the east, the Arctic Ocean to the north, and the Pacific Ocean to the west and south, with Russia further west across the Bering Strait... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Hays Research **	Nov 2	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%	3
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	58%	19
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 28	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	57%	16
Ivan Moore Research	Oct 17-19	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	53%	11
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	Oct 14-16	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	57%	19
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 6	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	55%	15
Fairleigh Dickinson University	Sept 17-21	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	55%	18
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	Sept 15-17	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	55%	17
American Research Group	Sept 9-11	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	55%	16
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 9	Barack Obama	33%	John McCain	64%	31
American Viewpoint **	Sept 2	Barack Obama	33%	John McCain	57%	24
Ivan Moore Research	Aug 30- Sept 2	Barack Obama	34.9%	John McCain	53.5%	18.6
Hays Research Group **	Aug 6-7	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	40%	5
Rasmussen Reports	July 30	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	48%	6
Ivan Moore Research	July 18–22	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%	3
Rasmussen Reports	July 17	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	49%	5
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	July 14–16	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	51%	10

Arizona

10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Arizona Arizona Arizona ; is a state located in the southwestern region of the United States. It is also part of the western United States and the mountain west. The capital and largest city is Phoenix... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
American Research Group	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	50%	4
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
NBC News/Mason Dixon	Oct 27-28	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	48%	4
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 23-28	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	53%	7
Northern Arizona University/ University of Washington	Oct 18-27	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	49%	8
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 26	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	51%	5
Arizona State University/ Cronkite/Eight	Oct 23-26	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	46%	2
Myers Research/Grove Insight/ Project New West **	Oct 23-25	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	44%	4
Zimmerman & Associates/ Marketing Intelligence **	Oct 16-18	Barack Obama	41.5%	John McCain	43.5%	2
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 29	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	59%	21
Arizona State University/ Cronkite/Eight	Sept 25-28	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	45%	7
American Research Group	Sept 11-14	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	56%	17
Walter Cronkite School/ Channel 8 (KAET)	Aug 20	Barack Obama	30%	John McCain	40%	10
Mason-Dixon	Aug 13-15	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	47%	6
Public Policy Polling(PPP)	July 30–31	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	52%	12
Rasmussen Reports	July 30	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	57%	19

Arkansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Arkansas Arkansas Arkansas is a state located in the southern region of the United States. Its name is an Algonquian name of the Quapaw Indians. Arkansas shares borders with six states , and its eastern border is largely defined by the Mississippi River... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
American Research Group	Oct 28-31	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	51%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 27	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	54%	10
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 21-22	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	52%	11
University of Arkansas	Oct 1-21	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	51%	15
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 22	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	51%	9
American Research Group	Sept 20-22	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	53%	12
Rasmussen Reports	July 17	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	52%	13

California

55 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

California California California is a state located on the West Coast of the United States. It is by far the most populous U.S. state, and the third-largest by land area... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Survey USA	Oct 29-31	Barack Obama	60%	John McCain	36%	24
Field Poll	Oct 18-28	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	33%	22
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 25	Barack Obama	61%	John McCain	34%	27
Public Policy Institute of California	Oct 12-19	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	33%	23
Survey USA	Oct 15-16	Barack Obama	59%	John McCain	35%	24
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 9	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	40%	16
Survey USA	Oct 4-5	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	39%	16
Survey USA	Sept 23-24	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	43%	10
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 22	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	39%	17
American Research Group	Sept 18-20	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	39%	14
Public Policy Institute of California	Sept 9-16	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	40%	10
Field Research Corporation	Sept 5-14	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	36%	16
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 21	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	41%	13
Public Policy Institute of California	Aug 12-19	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	39%	9
Rasmussen Reports	July 24	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10
Public Policy Institute of California	July 8–22	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	35%	15
Field Research Corporation	July 8–14	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	30%	24
Zogby International *	June 11–30	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	32%	20
Rasmussen Reports	June 23	Barack Obama	58%	John McCain	30%	28

Colorado

9 electoral votes
chart
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Colorado Colorado Colorado is a U.S. state that encompasses much of the Rocky Mountains as well as the northeastern portion of the Colorado Plateau and the western edge of the Great Plains... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin	Others	%
Rasmussen/Fox News	Nov 2	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
American Research Group	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	45%	7
Public Policy Polling	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	44%	10
Denver Post/Mason-Dixon	Oct 28-29	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Marist College	Oct 27-28	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 23-28	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	45%	8
Allstate/National Journal/FD	Oct 23-27	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	44%	4
Politico/InsiderAdvantage	Oct 26	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	45%	8
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 26	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	46%	4
Associated Press/GfK	Oct 22-26	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%	9
Rocky Mountain News/ CBS4 News/ Public Opinion Strategies	Oct 21-23	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	40%	12
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Oct 20	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	46%	5
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 19	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	46%	5
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 16	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	45%	7
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 11-14	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
Suffolk University	Oct 10-13	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%	4
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	Oct 8-12	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	43%	9
Public Policy Polling	Oct 8-10	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Oct 6	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6
Rasmussen Reports Fox News	Oct 5	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6
Mason Dixon/Denver Post	Sept 29-Oct 1	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	44%	0
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Sept 28	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	48%	1
American Research Group	Sept 23-25	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%	3
Insider Advantage/ Poll Position	Sept 23	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%	9
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 23	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
CNN/Time Magazine	Sept 21-23	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
Ciruli Associates/ Economic Development Council of Colorado	Sept 19-23	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	43%	1
Public Policy Polling	Sept 20-21	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	Sept 14-21	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
Insider Advantage/ Poll Position	Sept 17	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%	10
Allstate/National Journal/FD	Sept 11-15	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	44%	1
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 14	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	48%	2
American Research Group	Sept 10-13	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	46%	2
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Sept 10	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%	3
Public Policy Polling	Sept 9	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	46%	1
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 7	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%	3
Tarrance Group **	Sept 2-3	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	47%	2
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Aug 24-26	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%	1
Hill Research Consultants **	Aug 23-24	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	40%	3
Suffolk University	Aug 21-24	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	39%	5
Quinnipiac University	Aug 15-21	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%	1
6	Ralph Nader	2%
	Other	8%
Mason Dixon	Aug 13-15	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	43%	3
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 13	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	49%	1
Rocky Mtn News/CBS4	Aug 11-13	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	44%		Bob Barr	3%
						3	Ralph Nader	2%
							Other	2%
Public Policy Polling	Aug 5-7	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	44%	4
FrederickPolls	July 16–22	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	41%	4
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	July 14–22	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	46%	2	Other	3%
Rasmussen Reports	July 21	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
Public Policy Polling	July 9–10	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%	4
Zogby International *	June 11–30	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	38%		Bob Barr	8%
						2	Ralph Nader	2%
							Other	4%

Connecticut

7 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Connecticut Connecticut Connecticut is a state in the New England region of the northeastern United States. It is bordered by Rhode Island to the east, Massachusetts to the north, and the state of New York to the west and the south .Connecticut is named for the Connecticut River, the major U.S. river that approximately... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Hartford Courant/ University of Connecticut	Oct 18-22	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	31%	25
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 14	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	39%	17
Survey USA	Sept 24-25	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	38%	16
American Research Group	Sept 17-19	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	39%	15
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 16	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	41%	12
Rasmussen Reports	July 31	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	36%	15
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	June 30-July 2	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	35%	22
Rasmussen Reports	July 1	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	35%	17

Delaware

3 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Delaware Delaware Delaware is a U.S. state located on the Atlantic Coast in the Mid-Atlantic region of the United States. It is bordered to the south and west by Maryland, and to the north by Pennsylvania... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Survey USA	Oct 27-28	Barack Obama	63%	John McCain	33%	30
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 10	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	41%	15
West Chester University	Oct 6-8	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	38%	17
Survey USA	Sept 22-23	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	37%	20
Fairleigh Dickinson University	Sept 17-21	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	36%	20
American Research Group	Sept 13-15	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	40%	11
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 13	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	43%	12

District of Columbia

3 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

District of Columbia opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
American Research Group	Sept 11-13	Barack Obama	82%	John McCain	13%	69

Florida

27 electoral votes
chart
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Florida Florida Florida is a state in the southeastern United States, located on the nation's Atlantic and Gulf coasts. It is bordered to the west by the Gulf of Mexico, to the north by Alabama and Georgia and to the east by the Atlantic Ocean. With a population of 18,801,310 as measured by the 2010 census, it... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
SurveyUSA	Oct 31-Nov 3	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 31-Nov 3	Barack Obama	49.25%	John McCain	48%	1.2
Datamar Inc.	Nov 1-2	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48.2%	1.2
Rasmussen Reports	Nov 2	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	50%	1
Strategic Vision	Oct 31-Nov 2	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	47%	2
Public Policy Polling	Oct 31-Nov 2	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	48%	2
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 30-Nov 2	Barack Obama	47.5%	John McCain	46.2%	1.3
Quinnipiac University	Oct 27-Nov 2	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
American Research Group	Oct 29-31	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	46%	4
Datamar Inc.	Oct 29-30	Barack Obama	46.7%	John McCain	46.7%	0
Mason-Dixon	Oct 29-30	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	47%	2
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 23-28	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
Los Angeles Times/ Bloomberg	Oct 25-27	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	43%	7
Allstate/National Journal/FD	Oct 23-27	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	44%	1
Suffolk University	Oct 26	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 26	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
Datamar Inc.	Oct 25-26	Barack Obama	49.2%	John McCain	44.4%	4.8
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 23-26	Barack Obama	47.2%	John McCain	46.9%	0.3
Quinnipiac University	Oct 22-26	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
Associated Press/GfK	Oct 22-26	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	43%	2
Politico/ InsiderAdvantage	Oct 22	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%	1
Strategic Vision	Oct 20-22	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	48%	2
St. Petersburg Times/ Bay News 9/ Miami Herald	Oct 20-22	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%	7
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Oct 20-21	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	46%	1
Quinnipiac University	Oct 16-21	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Rasmussen Reports/	Oct 19	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	49%	1
Public Policy Polling	Oct 16-19	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%	1
SurveyUSA	Oct 16	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%	2
Research 2000 Times-Union South Florida Sun Sentinel	Oct 13-15	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 11-14	Barack obama	51%	John McCain	46%	5
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Oct 13	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	44%	4
Rasmussen Reports Fox News	Oct 12	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	46%	5
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 8	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
Strategic Vision	Oct 6-8	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	44%	8
Research 2000	Oct 6-8	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Oct 4-6	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%	2
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 5	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	45%	7
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Sept 30	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 28-30	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
Suffolk University/WSVN	Sept 27-30	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	42%	4
Quinnipiac University	Sept 27-29	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%	8
Rasmussen Reports/	Sept 28	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	48%	0
Public Policy Polling	Sept 27-28	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%	3
SurveyUSA	Sept 27-28	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
American Research Group	Sept 23-25	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	46%	1
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 24	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
Strategic Vision	Sept 20-22	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%	3
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 21	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	51%	5
NBC/Mason Dixon	Sept 16-18	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
Florida Times-Union/ South Florida Sun-Sentinel/ Research 2000	Sept 15-18	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	46%	1
SurveyUSA	Sept 16-17	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	51%	6
American Research Group	Sept 14-17	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	46%	0
Miami Herald/ St. Petersberg Times/ Schroth, Eldon & Associates/ The Polling Company	Sept 14-17	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	47%	2
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 14-16	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	48%	0
Allstate/National Journal/FD	Sept 11-15	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	44%	0
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 14	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	49%	5
Insider Advantage/ Poll Position	Sept 10	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	50%	8
Quinnipiac University	Sept 5-9	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	50%	7

Georgia

15 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Georgia Georgia (U.S. state) Georgia is a state located in the southeastern United States. It was established in 1732, the last of the original Thirteen Colonies. The state is named after King George II of Great Britain. Georgia was the fourth state to ratify the United States Constitution, on January 2, 1788... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Nov 2	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
Strategic Vision	Oct 31-Nov 2	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	50%	4
Public Policy Polling	Oct 31-Nov 2	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	50%	2
SurveyUSA/ 13WAMZ	Oct 30-Nov 2	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	52%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 30	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	52%	5
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 23-28	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	52%	5
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Oct 27	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Oct 23	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%	1
Mason-Dixon/NBC	Oct 22-23	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	49%	6
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 22	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	51%	5
Strategic Vision	Oct 20-22	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	51%	6
Democracy Corps/ Greenberg, Quinlan, Rosner **	Oct 16-19	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	46%	2
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 14-15	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	49%	6
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 11-14	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	51%	6
SurveyUSA	Oct 12	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	51%	8
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Oct 9	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 7	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	54%	9
Strategic Vision	Oct 5-7	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	50%	7
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Sept 29-Oct 1	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	50%	7
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Sept 30	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	50%	6
SurveyUSA	Sept 28-29	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	52%	8
American Research Group	Sept 18-21	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	57%	18
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 18	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	54%	11
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Sept 17	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	51%	8
SurveyUSA	Sept 14-16	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	57%	16
Public Opinion Strategies	Sept 9-11	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	56%	21
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Sept 10	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	56%	18
Strategic Vision	Sept 7-9	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	52%	13
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 14	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	53%	9
Rasmussen Reports	July 17	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	53%	11
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position/ Majority Opinion Research	July 2	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	46%	2

Hawaii

4 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004)

Hawaii Hawaii Hawaii is the newest of the 50 U.S. states , and is the only U.S. state made up entirely of islands. It is the northernmost island group in Polynesia, occupying most of an archipelago in the central Pacific Ocean, southwest of the continental United States, southeast of Japan, and northeast of... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 23	Barack Obama	68%	John McCain	27%	41
American Research Group	Sept 7-12	Barack Obama	63%	John McCain	32%	31
Survey USA	Feb 26-29	Barack Obama	61%	John McCain	31%	30

Idaho

4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Idaho Idaho Idaho is a state in the Rocky Mountain area of the United States. The state's largest city and capital is Boise. Residents are called "Idahoans". Idaho was admitted to the Union on July 3, 1890, as the 43rd state.... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Harstead Strategic Research	Oct 19-22	Barack Obama	32%	John McCain	55%	23
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Sept 16-17	Barack Obama	33%	John McCain	62%	29
American Research Group	Sept 8-10	Barack Obama	25%	John McCain	68%	43
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 9	Barack Obama	29%	John McCain	68%	39
Greg Smith & Associates	Aug 18-22	Barack Obama	29%	John McCain	52%	23
Research 2000/Daily Kos	July 28–30	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	53%	16

Illinois

21 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004)

Illinois Illinois Illinois is the fifth-most populous state of the United States of America, and is often noted for being a microcosm of the entire country. With Chicago in the northeast, small industrial cities and great agricultural productivity in central and northern Illinois, and natural resources like coal,... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports	Nov 1	Barack Obama	60%	John McCain	38%	22
Research 2000	Oct 20-23	Barack Obama	59%	John McCain	35%	24
Big Ten Poll	Oct 19-22	Barack Obama	61%	John McCain	32%	29
Chicago Tribune	Oct 16-18	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	32%	24
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 13	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	39%	17
St Louis Post-Dispatch/ Research 2000	Sept 15-18	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	36%	20
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 17	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	40%	16
Big Ten Poll	Sept 14-17	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	37%	16
American Research Group	Sept 13-16	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 12	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	40%	15
Rasmussen Reports	July 8	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	41%	11

Indiana

11 electoral votes
chart
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Indiana Indiana Indiana is a US state, admitted to the United States as the 19th on December 11, 1816. It is located in the Midwestern United States and Great Lakes Region. With 6,483,802 residents, the state is ranked 15th in population and 16th in population density. Indiana is ranked 38th in land area and is... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 31-Nov 3	Barack Obama	45.1%	John McCain	50.4%	5.3
Public Policy Polling	Oct 31-Nov 2	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	48%	1
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 30-Nov 2	Barack Obama	43.9%	John McCain	49.1%	5.2
American Research Group	Oct 28-31	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	48%	0
SurveyUSA/ Mike Downs Center	Oct 27-30	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%	0
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 28-29	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
Indianapolis Star/WTHR/ Selzer & Co.	Oct 26-28	Barack Obama	45.9%	John McCain	45.3%	0.6
Research 2000/WISH-TV	Oct 24-28	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%	0
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 23-26	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	50.2%	6.2
Research 2000/ South Bend Tribune/ WSBT-TV	Oct 23-25	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%	1
Howey/Gauge	Oct 23-25	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	47%	2
Survey USA	Oct 21-22	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
Big Ten Poll	Oct 19-22	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%	10
Public Policy Polling	Oct 18-19	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%	2
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 7	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	50%	7
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 3-6	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	51%	5
Research 2000/WISH-TV	Sept 29-Oct 3	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	46%	0
Research 2000	Sept 28-29	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	46%	1
Survey USA	Sept 28-29	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%	3
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 17-18	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%	2
American Research Group	Sept 14-18	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%	3
Big Ten Poll	Sept 14-17	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	47%	4
Indianapolis Star/WTHR/ Selzer & Co.	Sept 14-16	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	44%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 14-16	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	51%	6
Howey/Gauge	Aug 29-30	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	45%	2
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 19-21	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	49%	6
Survey USA	Aug 16-18	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	50%	6

Iowa

7 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Iowa Iowa Iowa is a state located in the Midwestern United States, an area often referred to as the "American Heartland". It derives its name from the Ioway people, one of the many American Indian tribes that occupied the state at the time of European exploration. Iowa was a part of the French colony of New... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Des Moines Register/ Selzer & Co.	Oct 28-31	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	37%	17
SurveyUSA	Oct 28-29	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	40%	15
Research 2000/ KCCI-TV	Oct 27-29	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	39%	14
Marist College	Oct 23-24	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 23	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	44%	8
Mason-Dixon/NBC	Oct 22-23	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	40%	11
Quad City Times/ Research 2000	Oct 19-22	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	39%	15
Big Ten Poll	Oct 19-22	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	39%	13
SurveyUSA	Oct 8-9	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	41%	13
Research 2000/ KCCI-TV	Sept 29-30	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	39%	16
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 25	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%	8
Marist College	Sept 18-21	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%	10
American Research Group	Sept 17-20	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
SurveyUSA	Sept 17-18	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	43%	11
Quad-City Times/ Lee Enterprises	Sept 15-17	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	39%	14
Big Ten Poll	Sept 14-17	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	45%	0
Des Moines Register/ Selzer & Co.	Sept 8-10	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	40%	12
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Aug 31-Sept 2	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	40%	15
Hawkeye Poll	Aug 13	Barack Obama	49.5%	John McCain	43.1%	6.4
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 7	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Rasmussen Reports	July 10	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%	10

Kansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Kansas Kansas Kansas is a US state located in the Midwestern United States. It is named after the Kansas River which flows through it, which in turn was named after the Kansa Native American tribe, which inhabited the area. The tribe's name is often said to mean "people of the wind" or "people of the south... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
SurveyUSA	Oct 27-28	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	58%	21
SurveyUSA	Oct 21-22	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	53%	12
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 13	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	54%	13
SurveyUSA	Sept 21-22	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	53%	12
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 18	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	58%	20
American Research Group	Sept 7-10	Barack Obama	31%	John McCain	63%	32
SurveyUSA	Aug 18-20	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	58%	23
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 11	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	55%	14
Rasmussen Reports	July 14	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	58%	23

Kentucky

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Kentucky Kentucky The Commonwealth of Kentucky is a state located in the East Central United States of America. As classified by the United States Census Bureau, Kentucky is a Southern state, more specifically in the East South Central region. Kentucky is one of four U.S. states constituted as a commonwealth... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Survey USA	Nov 1	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	56%	16
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 29	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	51%	9
Louisville Courier-Journal/ Mason-Dixon	Oct 27-29	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	55%	12
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 27-29	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	56%	17
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 21	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	52%	8
Research 2000/ Lexington Herald-Leader/ WKYT-TV	Oct 19-21	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	55%	16
Survey USA	Oct 18-20	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	54%	13
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 15-16	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	53%	14
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 30	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	52%	10
Louisville Courier-Journal/ Mason-Dixon	Sept 22-25	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	53%	8
Survey USA	Sept 21-22	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	57%	19
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Sept 15-17	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	55%	18
American Research Group	Sept 8-12	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	57%	20
Survey USA	Aug 9-11	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	55%	18
Research 2000/Daily Kos	July 28–30	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	56%	21
Rasmussen Reports	July 29	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	52%	9

Louisiana

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Louisiana Louisiana Louisiana is a state located in the southern region of the United States of America. Its capital is Baton Rouge and largest city is New Orleans. Louisiana is the only state in the U.S. with political subdivisions termed parishes, which are local governments equivalent to counties... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Loyola University/ WAFB 9News	Oct 24-26	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	43%	3
SE Louisiana University	Oct 20-23	Barack Obama	38.3%	John McCain	50.6%	12.3
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 21	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	57%	16
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 25	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	55%	15
American Research Group	Sept 9-12	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	50%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 17	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	57%	18
Rasmussen Reports	July 9	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	56%	19

Maine

4 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004)

Maine Maine Maine is a state in the New England region of the northeastern United States, bordered by the Atlantic Ocean to the east and south, New Hampshire to the west, and the Canadian provinces of Quebec to the northwest and New Brunswick to the northeast. Maine is both the northernmost and easternmost... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports	Nov 1	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	43%	13
SurveyUSA	Oct 19-20	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	39%	15
Critical Insights	Oct 16-19	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	35%	21
Pan Atlantic SMS	Oct 13-16	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	39%	12
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 14-15	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	38%	17
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 2	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	46%	5
SurveyUSA	Sept 22-23	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 17	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	46%	4
American Research Group	Sept 8-10	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%	10
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	Sept 8-10	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	38%	14
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 12	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	39%	14
Rasmussen Reports	July 17	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	41%	8

Maryland

10 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Maryland Maryland Maryland is a U.S. state located in the Mid Atlantic region of the United States, bordering Virginia, West Virginia, and the District of Columbia to its south and west; Pennsylvania to its north; and Delaware to its east... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 20	Barack Obama	60%	John McCain	37%	23
American Research Group	Sept 17-19	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	39%	15
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies	Aug 29-Sept 5	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	38%	14
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 18	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	43%	10

Massachusetts

12 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Massachusetts Massachusetts The Commonwealth of Massachusetts is a state in the New England region of the northeastern United States of America. It is bordered by Rhode Island and Connecticut to the south, New York to the west, and Vermont and New Hampshire to the north; at its east lies the Atlantic Ocean. As of the 2010... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Survey USA	Oct 28	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	39%	17
Survey USA	Oct 14	Barack Obama	59%	John McCain	35%	24
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 13	Barack Obama	62%	John McCain	34%	28
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 23	Barack Obama	58%	John McCain	38%	20
Survey USA	Sept 22-23	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	39%	16
American Research Group	Sept 20-22	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	39%	16
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 5	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	38%	16
Suffolk University	July 31-Aug 3	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	38%	9

Michigan

17 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Michigan Michigan Michigan is a U.S. state located in the Great Lakes Region of the United States of America. The name Michigan is the French form of the Ojibwa word mishigamaa, meaning "large water" or "large lake".... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin	Others	%
Selzer/Detroit Free Press/WDIV	Oct 28-31	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	37%	16
Public Policy Polling	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	42%	13
Strategic Vision	Oct 27-29	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	41%	13
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 28	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	43%	10
Detroit News/ EPIC-MRA	Oct 26-28	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	38%	12
Big Ten Poll	Oct 19-22	Barack Obama	58%	John McCain	36%	22
Detroit News/ EPIC-MRA	Oct 19-22	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	37%	14
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	October 8–12	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	38%	16
Rasmussen Reports	October 8	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	40%	16
Rossman/Denno-Noor/ MIRS	October 1–4	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	39%	5	Other	~4%
Public Policy Polling	September 29- October 1	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%	10
Selzer/Detroit Free Press/ WDIV	September 22–24	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	38%	13
Strategic Vision	September 22–24	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	September 21–23	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	43%	6
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Sept 18-23	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	46%	0
EPIC-MRA/ Detroit News	Sept 20-22	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	38%	10
Allstate/National Journal/ FD	Sept 18-22	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	39%	8
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Sept 21	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	Sept 14-21	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	44%	4
American Research Group	Sept 16-19	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%	2
Marketing Resource Group of Lansing	Sept 15-19	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	46%	3
Marist College	Sept 16-17	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	43%	9
EPIC-MRA/ Detroit News	September 14–17	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	42%	3
Big Ten Poll	Sept 14-17	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	44%	4
Rasmussen Reports	September 10	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	46%	5
InsiderAdantagev/ Poll Position	September 10	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	45%	1
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Rsearch	September 7–9	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	42%	3
Public Policy Polling	September 6–7	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	46%	1
Strategic Vision	September 5–7	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	44%	1
EPIC-MRA/ Detroit News	Aug 18-21	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	41%	2
Selzer/ Detroit Free Press/ WDIV	Aug 17-20	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	39%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 7	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
Public Policy Polling	July 23–27	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	43%	3
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	July 14–22	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	42%	4
Detroit News/ EPIC-MRA	July 13–16	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	41%	2
Rasmussen Reports	July 10	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	42%	8

Minnesota

10 electoral votes
chart
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Minnesota Minnesota Minnesota is a U.S. state located in the Midwestern United States. The twelfth largest state of the U.S., it is the twenty-first most populous, with 5.3 million residents. Minnesota was carved out of the eastern half of the Minnesota Territory and admitted to the Union as the thirty-second state... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
SurveyUSA	October 30-Nov 1	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%	3
Star Tribune/Princeton Survey Research Associates International	October 29–31	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	42%	11
Public Policy Polling	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	41%	16
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 27-29	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	38%	15
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 28	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	43%	12
NBC News/Mason Dixon	Oct 27-28	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	40%	8
University of Minnesota/ Minnesota Public Radio News	Oct 24-28	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	37%	19
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 22	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	41%	15
Big Ten Poll	Oct 19-22	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	38%	19
St. Cloud State University	Oct 14-22	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	37%	5
National Journal/FD	Oct 16-20	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	40%	10
SurveyUSA	October 16–18	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	44%	6
Star Tribune/Princeton Survey Research Associates International	October 16–17	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	41%	11
Research 2000/Daily Kos	October 15–16	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	39%	13
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	October 8–12	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	40%	11
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 7	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	45%	7
American Research Group	Oct 4-7	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	46%	1
Minnesota Public Radio News/Humphrey Institute	Oct 3-5	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	40%	14
Star Tribune/ Princeton Survey Research Associates International	Sept 30- October 2	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	37%	18
SurveyUSA	Sept 30- October 1	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%	1
Minnesota Public Radio News/Humphrey Institute	Sept 29- October 1	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%	4
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 28-30	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	43%	11
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	Sept 14-21	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
American Research Group	Sept 18-20	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%	1
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 18	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	44%	8
Big Ten Poll	Sept 14-17	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
Star Tribune Minnesota/ Princeton Survey Research Associates International	Sept 10-12	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	45%	0
Survey USA	Sept 10-11	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	47%	2
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Aug 31- September 2	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	41%	12
Minnesota Public Radio/ University of Minnesota	Aug 7-17	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	38%	10
Survey USA	Aug 13-14	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 13	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
Rasmussen Reports	July 22	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	39%	13
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	July 14–22	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	44%	2
Rasmussen Reports	July 10	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	37%	17

Mississippi

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Mississippi Mississippi Mississippi is a U.S. state located in the Southern United States. Jackson is the state capital and largest city. The name of the state derives from the Mississippi River, which flows along its western boundary, whose name comes from the Ojibwe word misi-ziibi... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	Oct 27-29	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	53%	13
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 27	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	53%	8
Press-Register/ University of South Alabama	Oct 13-23	Barack Obama	33%	John McCain	46%	13
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	Oct 14-15	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	50%	10
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 30	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	52%	8
American Research Group	Sept 13-16	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	55%	16
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	Sept 8-10	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	55%	18
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 21	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	56%	13
Rasmussen Reports	July 28	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	54%	12
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	July 21–23	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	51%	9

Missouri

for earlier results
11 electoral votes
chart
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Missouri Missouri Missouri is a US state located in the Midwestern United States, bordered by Iowa, Illinois, Kentucky, Tennessee, Arkansas, Oklahoma, Kansas and Nebraska. With a 2010 population of 5,988,927, Missouri is the 18th most populous state in the nation and the fifth most populous in the Midwest. It... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 31-Nov 3	Barack Obama	48.8%	John McCain	48.8%	0
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Nov 2	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	49%	0
Public Policy Polling	Oct 31-Nov 2	Barack Obama	49.4%	John McCain	48.6%	0.8
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 30-Nov 2	Barack Obama	47.4%	John McCain	45.7%	1.7
Survey USA	Oct 30-Nov 2	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	48%	0
American Research Group	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	48%	0
Politico/ Insider Advantage	Oct 29	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	50%	3
Mason-Dixon/NBC	Oct 28-29	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%	1
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 23-28	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	50%	2
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 26	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%	1
Survey USA	Oct 25-26	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	48%	0
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 23-26	Barack Obama	48.2%	John McCain	45.7%	2.5
Mason-Dixon/NBC	Oct 22-23	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	46%	1
Research 2000/ Post-Dispatch	Oct 20-23	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%	1
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 19	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Suffolk University	Oct 17-19	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	45%	1
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 15	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	46%	6
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 11-14	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	49%	1
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 12	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
Public Policy Polling	Oct 11-12	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%	2
SurveyUSA	Oct 10-12	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%	8
American Research Group	Oct 4-6	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 5	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 28-30	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	48%	1
Survey USA	Sept 23-24	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	48%	2
St Louis Post-Dispatch/ Research 2000	Sept 22-24	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
St Louis Post-Dispatch/ Research 2000	Sept 15-18	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	49%	4
American Research Group	Sept 11-15	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	50%	5
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 11	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	51%	5
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 7-9	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	48%	4
Public Policy Polling	Aug 13-17	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	50%	10
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 7	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	50%	6
Survey USA	July 29–31	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	49%	5
Research 2000/ St. Louis Post Dispatch	July 7–10	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	43%	5
Rasmussen Reports	July 7	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	47%	5
Public Policy Polling	July 2–5	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%	3

Montana

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Montana Montana Montana is a state in the Western United States. The western third of Montana contains numerous mountain ranges. Smaller, "island ranges" are found in the central third of the state, for a total of 77 named ranges of the Rocky Mountains. This geographical fact is reflected in the state's name,... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin	Other	%
Public Policy Polling	Oct 31-Nov 2	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%	1	Ron Paul	4%
American Research Group	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
Rsearch 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	48%	4
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 29	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	50%	4
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Oct 23-25	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	48%	4
Montana State University	Oct 16-20	Barack Obama	44.4%	John McCain	40.2%	4.2	Ron Paul^‡	4.2%
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 15-16	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	49%	4
American Research Group	Oct 6-8	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	50%	5
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 1	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	52%	8
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Sept 22-24	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	52%	13
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 21-23	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	49%	9	Bob Barr	1%
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 21-23	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	49%		Ralph Nader	1%
American Research Group	Sept 7-9	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%	2
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 8	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	53%	11
Rasmussen Reports	July 31	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%	0

‡ Ron Paul replaced Chuck Baldwin on the ballot in Montana.

Nebraska

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Nebraska Nebraska Nebraska is a state on the Great Plains of the Midwestern United States. The state's capital is Lincoln and its largest city is Omaha, on the Missouri River.... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 30	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	56%	19
American Research Group	Sept 12-17	Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	60%	26
Rasmussen Reports	July 28	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	55%	19
Rasmussen Reports	June 23	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	52%	16

Nevada

5 electoral votes
chart
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Nevada Nevada Nevada is a state in the western, mountain west, and southwestern regions of the United States. With an area of and a population of about 2.7 million, it is the 7th-largest and 35th-most populous state. Over two-thirds of Nevada's people live in the Las Vegas metropolitan area, which contains its... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin	Others	%
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 31-Nov 3	Barack Obama	53.2%	John McCain	42.4%	10.8
Public Policy Polling	Oct 31-Nov 2	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 30-Nov 2	Barack Obama	50.7%	John McCain	42.9%	7.8
Las Vegas Review-Journal/ Mason-Dixon	Oct 28-29	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%	4
Reno Gazette-Journal/ Channel 2	Oct 23-28	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	45%	5
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 23-28	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	45%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 27	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	46%	4
Suffolk University	Oct 23-26	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	40%	10
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 23-26	Barack Obama	48.2%	John McCain	44%	4.2
Associated Press/GfK	Oct 22-26	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	40%	12
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 19-21	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	46%	5
Politico/ InsiderAdvantage	Oct 20	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%	0
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 16	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	45%	5
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Oct 13	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%	3
Las Vegas Review-Journal/ Mason-Dixon	Oct 8-9	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Oct 6	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	47%	2
Reno Gazette-Journal/ Channel 2 News/ Research 2000	Oct 3-6	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	43%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 2	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Sept 30	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%	1
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 28-30	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
American Research Group	Sept 27-29	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%	2
Suffolk University	Sept 17-21	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	46%	1
Project New West/ Myers Research/ Grove Insight **	Sept 14-19	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
American Research Group	Sept 12-14	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 11	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Sept 10	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	46%	1
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Aug 24-26	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Research 2000/ Reno Gazette-Journal/KTVN	Aug 18-20	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	43%	1
Mason-Dixon/ Las Vegas Review Journal	Aug 13-15	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	46%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 11	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%	3
Rasmussen Reports	July 16	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2

New Hampshire

4 electoral votes
chart
(Republican in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004)

New Hampshire New Hampshire New Hampshire is a state in the New England region of the northeastern United States of America. The state was named after the southern English county of Hampshire. It is bordered by Massachusetts to the south, Vermont to the west, Maine and the Atlantic Ocean to the east, and the Canadian... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin	Others	%
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 30	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
SurveyUSA	Oct 29-30	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	42%	11
Univ. of New Hampshire/ WMUR	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	39%	14
American Research Group	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	41%	15
Concord Monitor/ Research 2000	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
Suffolk University	Oct 27-29	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%	13
Strategic Vision	Oct 27-29	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%	9
Univ. of New Hampshire/ WMUR	Oct 25-27	Barack Obama	58%	John McCain	33%	25
Univ. of New Hampshire/ WMUR	Oct 24-26	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	39%	16
Associated Press/GfK	Oct 22-26	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	37%	18
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Oct 23-25	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	39%	11
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 23	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	46%	4
Marist College	Oct 22-23	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	45%	5
University of New Hampshire/ Boston Globe	Oct 18-22	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	39%	15
Concord Mintor/ Research 2000	Oct 17-19	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	43%	7
American Research Group	Oct 6-8	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	43%	9
CNN/Time Magazin/ Opinion Research	Oct 3-6	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	45%	8
Survey USA	Oct 4-5	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%	13
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 1	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	43%	10
St. Anselm/SRBI	Sept 25-30	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	37%	12
Concord Monitor/ Research 2000	Sept 22-24	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	44%	4
Strategic Vision	Sept 22-24	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	45%	1
Suffolk University	Sept 20-24	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	45%	1
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 23	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%	2
Allstate/National Journal/FD	Sept 18-22	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	43%	1
Marist College	Sept 17-21	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6
University of New Hampshire	Sept 14-21	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	47%	2
American Research Group	Sept 13-15	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%	3			Others	1%
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 9	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	43%	5
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 20	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	46%	1
American Research Group	Aug 18-20	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	45%	1
Rasmussen Reports	July 23	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
American Research Group	July 19–21	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
University of New Hampshire	July 11–20	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	43%	3

New Jersey

15 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

New Jersey New Jersey New Jersey is a state in the Northeastern and Middle Atlantic regions of the United States. , its population was 8,791,894. It is bordered on the north and east by the state of New York, on the southeast and south by the Atlantic Ocean, on the west by Pennsylvania and on the southwest by Delaware... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports	Nov 2	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	42%	15
Monmouth University/ Gannett New Jersey	Oct 29-31	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	34%	21
SurveyUSA	Oct 29-30	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10
Fairleigh Dickinson University	Oct 23-29	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	35%	18
The Record/Research 2000	Oct 26-28	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	38%	16
Strategic Vision	Oct 24-26	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	38%	15
Marist College	Oct 20-21	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	39%	17
Quinnipiac University	Oct 16-19	Barack Obama	59%	John McCain	36%	23
Monmouth University/ Gannett New Jersey	Oct 15-18	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	38%	17
SurveyUSA	Oct 12	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	40%	15
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 7	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	42%	8
Fairleigh Dickinson University	Sept 29- October 5	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	37%	13
SurveyUSA	Sept 27-28	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10
Strategic Vision	Sept 26-28	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	39%	9
American Research Group	Sept 19-21	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	42%	9
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 16	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	42%	13
Strategic Vision	Sept 14-16	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%	4
Monmouth University/ Gannett New Jersey	Sept 11-14	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	41%	8
Quinnipiac University	Sept 10-14	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%	3
The Record/ Research 2000	Sept 9-11	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%	9
Marist College	Sept 5-8	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%	3
Fairleigh Dickinson University	Sept 4-7	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	41%	6
Quinnipiac University	Aug 4-10	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%	10
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 4	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10
Monmouth University/ Gannett New Jersey	July 17–21	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	36%	14
Strategic Vision	July 11–13	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	38%	9
Rasmussen Reports	July 7	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	44%	3

New Mexico

5 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

New Mexico New Mexico New Mexico is a state located in the southwest and western regions of the United States. New Mexico is also usually considered one of the Mountain States. With a population density of 16 per square mile, New Mexico is the sixth-most sparsely inhabited U.S... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin	Others	%
SurveyUSA	Oct 29-31	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	45%	7
Albuquerque Journal/ Research & Polling	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%	8
Public Policy Polling	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	58%	John McCain	41%	17
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 28	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	44%	10
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 13	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	42%	13
SurveyUSA	Oct 12-13	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	45%	7
Albuquerque Journal/ Research & Polling	Sept 29- October 2	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	40%	5			Ralph Nader	1%
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 1	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
SurveyUSA	Sept 29-30	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	44%	8
Public Policy Polling	Sept 17-19	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	42%	11
SurveyUSA	Sept 14-16	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	44%	8
American Research Group	Sept 14-16	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
Allstate/National Journal/ FD	Sept 11-15	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 8	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%	2
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Aug 24-26	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%	13
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 20	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	44%	4
Mason-Dixon	Aug 13-15	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	45%	4
Rasmussen Reports	July 24	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	43%	6

New York

31 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

New York New York New York is a state in the Northeastern region of the United States. It is the nation's third most populous state. New York is bordered by New Jersey and Pennsylvania to the south, and by Connecticut, Massachusetts and Vermont to the east... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Survey USA	Oct 27-28	Barack Obama	62%	John McCain	33%	29
Marist College	Oct 21-22	Barack Obama	65%	John McCain	29%	36
Siena College	Oct 19-21	Barack Obama	62%	John McCain	31%	31
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 14	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	37%	20
Survey USA	Oct 11-12	Barack Obama	64%	John McCain	31%	33
Survey USA	Sept 23-24	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	38%	19
American Research Group	Sept 14-16	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	38%	17
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 15	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	42%	13
Siena College	Sept 8-10	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	41%	5
Siena College	Aug 11-14	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	39%	8
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 4	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	36%	19
Quinnipiac University	July 31-Aug 4	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	36%	21
Siena College	July 17–29	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	26%	18
Siena College	July 7–10	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	37%	13

North Carolina

15 electoral votes
chart
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

North Carolina North Carolina North Carolina is a state located in the southeastern United States. The state borders South Carolina and Georgia to the south, Tennessee to the west and Virginia to the north. North Carolina contains 100 counties. Its capital is Raleigh, and its largest city is Charlotte... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
American Research Group	Oct 31-Nov 3	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	48%	1
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 31-Nov 3	Barack Obama	49.5%	John McCain	49.1%	0.4
Rasmussen Reports	Nov 2	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	50%	1
Survey USA	Oct 30-Nov 2	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	49%	1
Public Policy Polling	Oct 31-Nov 2	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	49%	1
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 30-Nov 2	Barack Obama	47.7%	John McCain	49.3%	1.6
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 29	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	48%	2
Politico/ Insider Advantage	Oct 29	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	48%	0
Mason-Dixon/NBC	Oct 28-29	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
Civitas Institute/ TelOpinion	Oct 27-29	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	46%	1
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 23-28	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	46%	6
Allstate/National Journal/FD	Oct 23-27	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%	4
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 26	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	49%	1
Public Policy Polling	Oct 25-26	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	48%	1
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 23-26	Barack Obama	49.7%	John McCain	46.4%	3.3
Associated Press/GfK	Oct 22-26	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%	2
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Oct 23-25	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%	0
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 23	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	50%	2
WSOC-TV	Oct 20-21	Barack Obama	48.4%	John McCain	46.4%	2
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 19-21	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
InsiderAdvantage/ Politico	Oct 20	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	48%	1
SurveyUSA/WTVD-TV	Oct 18-20	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%	0
Civitas Institute/ TelOpinion	Oct 18-20	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%	3
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 19	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	48%	3
Public Policy Polling	Oct 18-19	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
Winthrop University/ETV	Sept 28- October 19	Barack Obama	44.6%	John McCain	44.2%	0.4
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	Oct 14-15	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	44%	2
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Oct 13	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%	2
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 12	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	48%	0
Public Policy Polling	Oct 11-12	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%	3
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 8	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	48%	1
Civitas/TelOpinion	Oct 6-8	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	43%	5
WSOC-TV	Oct 6-7	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47.8%	1.8
SurveyUSA	Oct 5-6	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 3-6	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	49%	0
Public Policy Polling	Oct 4-5	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	44%	6
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 30	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
American Research Group	Sept 27-29	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
Public Policy Polling	28	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 23	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	47%	2
Civitas Institute/ Tel Opinion Research	20	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	45%	0
Public Policy Polling	Sept 17-19	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	46%	0
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 18	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	50%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 14-16	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
American Research Group	Sept 13-16	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	52%	11
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	Sept 8-10	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	55%	17
Civitas Institute/ Tel Opinion Research	Sept 6-10	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%	3
Public Policy Polling	Sept 9	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	48%	4
SurveyUSA	Sept 6-8	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	58%	20
Garin Hart Yang	Sept 5-7	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
Democracy Corps/ Greenberg Quinlan Rosner	Aug 20-26	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%	3
Public Policy Polling	Aug 23	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	45%	3
InsiderAdvantage	Aug 19	Barack Obama	42.8%	John McCain	44.5%	1.7
Zogby International *	Aug 15-19	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	39%	8
Civitas Institute/ Tel Opinion Research	Aug 14-17	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	46%	6
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 13	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	50%	6
Survey USA	Aug 9-11	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	49%	4
Research 2000/Daily Kos	July 28–30	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	47%	4
Public Policy Polling	July 23–27	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%	3
Civitas Institute/ Tel Opinion Research	July 14–16	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	43%	3
Rasmussen Reports	July 15	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%	3
Survey USA	July 12–14	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	50%	5

North Dakota

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

North Dakota North Dakota North Dakota is a state located in the Midwestern region of the United States of America, along the Canadian border. The state is bordered by Canada to the north, Minnesota to the east, South Dakota to the south and Montana to the west. North Dakota is the 19th-largest state by area in the U.S.... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 28-29	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%	1
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 14-15	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	45%	0
The Bismarck Tribune	Oct 13-14	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	41%	3
Minnesota State University/ Fargo Forum	Oct 6-8	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	43%	2
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Sept 16-17	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	53%	13
American Research Group	Sept 15-17	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	52%	9
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 8	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	55%	14
North Dakota United Transportation Union/ DFM Research **	Aug 23-27	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	40%	3
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	July 21–23	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	45%	3
Rasmussen Reports	July 8	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%	1

Ohio

20 electoral votes
chart
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Ohio Ohio Ohio is a Midwestern state in the United States. The 34th largest state by area in the U.S.,it is the 7th‑most populous with over 11.5 million residents, containing several major American cities and seven metropolitan areas with populations of 500,000 or more.The state's capital is Columbus... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin	Others	%
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 31-Nov 3	Barack Obama	49.4%	John McCain	47.4%	2
Rasmussen Reports	Nov 2	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	49%	0
Strategic Vision	Oct 31-Nov 2	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	48%	2
Public Policy Polling	Oct 31-Nov 2	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	48%	2
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 30-Nov 2	Barack Obama	50.2%	John McCain	43.9%	6.3
SurveyUSA	Oct 30-Nov 2	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%	2
University of Cinncinati	Oct 29-Nov 2	Barack Obama	51.5%	John McCain	45.7%	5.8
Quinnipiac University	Oct 27-Nov 2	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	43%	7
Columbus Dispatch	Oct 22-31	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	46%	6
Mason-Dixon	Oct 28-29	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	47%	2
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 23-28	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
SurveyUSA	Oct 26-27	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
Los Angeles Times/ Bloomberg	Oct 25-27	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	40%	9
Allstate/National Journal/ FD	Oct 23-27	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	41%	7
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 26	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
Marist College	Oct 24-26	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%	3
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 23-26	Barack Obama	49.7%	John McCain	45.1%	4.6
Quinnipiac University	Oct 22-26	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	42%	9
AP/GfK	Oct 22-26	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	41%	7
Public Policy Polling	Oct 21-23	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
Ohio University	Oct 12-23	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	41%	16
Politico/ InsiderAdvantage	Oct 22	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10
Strategic Vision	Oct 20-22	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%	3
Big Ten Poll	Oct 19-22	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	41%	12
University of Cincinnati/ Ohio News Organization	Oct 18-22	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 19-21	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	46%	4
Quinnipiac University	Oct 16-21	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	38%	14
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 19	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%	2
Suffolk University	Oct 16-19	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	42%	9
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Oct 16-17	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	46%	1
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 14	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	49%	0
SurveyUSA	Oct 12-13	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	45%	5
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 12	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	47%	2
InsiderAdvantage/ PollPosition	Oct 9	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Strategic Vision	Oct 6-8	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%	2
Marist College	Oct 5-8	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
University of Cincinnati/ Ohio News Organization	Oct 4-8	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	48%	2
American Research Group	Oct 4-7	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 3-6	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 5	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
Public Policy Polling	Oct 4-5	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	43%	6
ABC News/ Washington Post	Oct 3-5	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6
Columbus Dispatch	Sept 24-Oct 4	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%	7
Democracy Corps/ Greenberg Quinlan Rosner **	Sept 29-Oct 1	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	43%	6
Insider Advantage/ PollPosition	Sept 29	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
SurveyUSA	Sept 28-29	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	49%	1
Quinnipiac University	Sept 27-29	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	42%	8
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Sept 28	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 23	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%	1
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Sept 22	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	46%	0
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Sept 21	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	50%	4
Big Ten Poll	Sept 14-17	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	45%	1
University of Cincinnati/ Ohio News Organization	Sept 12-16	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	48%	6
Marist College	Sept 11-15	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
Allstate/National Journal/ FD	Sept 11-15	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	42%	1
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 14	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 13-14	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	47%	2
Public Policy Polling	Sept 13-14	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	48%	4
SurveyUSA	Sept 12-14	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	49%	4
American Research Group	Sept 10-13	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	50%	6
Suffolk University	Sept 10-13	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	46%	4
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Sept 10	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
University of Cincinnati	Sept 5-10	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	48%	4			Other	5%
Strategic Version	Sept 7-9	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	48%	4
Quinnipiac University	Sept 5-9	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 7	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	51%	7
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Aug 31-Sept 2	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
Quinnipiac University	Aug 17-24	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	43%	1
The Columbus Dispatch	Aug 12-21	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	42%	1
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 20	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	48%	5
Public Policy Polling	Aug 12-14	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	45%	0
Quinnipiac University	July 23–29	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	44%	2
Rasmussen Reports	July 21	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	52%	10
Public Policy Polling	July 17–20	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	40%	8

Oklahoma

7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Oklahoma Oklahoma Oklahoma is a state located in the South Central region of the United States of America. With an estimated 3,751,351 residents as of the 2010 census and a land area of 68,667 square miles , Oklahoma is the 28th most populous and 20th-largest state... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
SurveyUSA	Oct 28-29	Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	63%	29
TVPoll.com	Oct 24-26	Barack Obama	34.8%	John McCain	61.8%	27
SurveyUSA/KFOR-TV	Oct 18-19	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	59%	24
TVPoll.com	Oct 10-12	Barack Obama	31.9%	John McCain	63.0%	31.1
TVPoll.com	Oct 4-5	Barack Obama	29.1%	John McCain	65.5%	36.4
SurveyUSA	Sept 28-29	Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	64%	30
TVPoll.com	Sept 26-28	Barack Obama	26.5%	John McCain	67.6%	41.1
TVPoll.com	Sept 20-22	Barack Obama	26.2%	John McCain	65.8%	39.6
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Sept 16-18	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	59%	23
American Research Group	Sept 15-18	Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	61%	27
TVPoll.com	Sept 14	Barack Obama	26.9%	John McCain	69.1%	42.2
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 11	Barack Obama	32%	John McCain	63%	31
TVPoll.com	Sept 7	Barack Obama	27.9%	John McCain	65.9%	38
SurveyUSA	Sept 5-7	Barack Obama	32%	John McCain	65%	33
Sooner Poll/ Tulsa World	July 19–23	Barack Obama	24%	John McCain	56%	32

Oregon

7 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Oregon Oregon Oregon is a state in the Pacific Northwest region of the United States. It is located on the Pacific coast, with Washington to the north, California to the south, Nevada on the southeast and Idaho to the east. The Columbia and Snake rivers delineate much of Oregon's northern and eastern... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 30	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	42%	12
SurveyUSA	Oct 29-30	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	38%	19
Public Policy Polling	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	42%	15
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 27-29	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	39%	16
SurveyUSA	Oct 25-26	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	38%	19
Riley Research	Oct 10-20	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	34%	14
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	Oct 14-15	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	38%	15
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 14	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	41%	13
SurveyUSA	Oct 11-12	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	40%	17
Grove Insight **	Oct 7-9	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	39%	13
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 9	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	43%	11
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Sept 22-24	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	39%	14
Survey USA	Sept 22-23	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	41%	11
American Research Group	Sept 19-22	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	41%	11
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 15	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
Portland Tribune/ Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall	Sept 11-14	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	40%	10
Hoffman Research Group **	Sept 8-9	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	39%	6
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 7	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10
Survey USA	Aug 2-4	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%	3
Rasmussen Reports	July 15	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	40%	9

Pennsylvania

21 electoral votes
chart
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Pennsylvania Pennsylvania The Commonwealth of Pennsylvania is a U.S. state that is located in the Northeastern and Mid-Atlantic regions of the United States. The state borders Delaware and Maryland to the south, West Virginia to the southwest, Ohio to the west, New York and Ontario, Canada, to the north, and New Jersey to... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin	Others	%
SurveyUSA	Oct 31-Nov 3	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	43%	9
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 31-Nov 3	Barack Obama	51.2%	John McCain	41.4%	9.8
Strategic Vision	Oct 31-Nov 2	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
Public Policy Polling	Oct 31-Nov 2	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	45%	8
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 30-Nov 2	Barack Obama	53.7%	John McCain	40%	13.7
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Oct 29-Nov 2	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	46%	6
Quinnipiac University	Oct 27-Nov 2	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10
Rasmussen Reports	Nov 1	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	46%	6
SurveyUSA	Oct 29-31	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
American Research Group	Oct 29-31	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Oct 27-31	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	44%	8
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 30	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Oct 26-30	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	43%	10
Mason-Dixon/NBC	Oct 28-29	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%	4
Strategic Vision	Oct 27-29	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Oct 25-29	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%	13
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Oct 27-28	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%	4
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 23-28	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	43%	12
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 27	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	46%	7
Marist College	Oct 26-27	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	41%	14
Politico/ InsiderAdvantage	Oct 26	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	42%	9
Quinnipiac University	Oct 22-26	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	41%	12
Associated Press/GfK	Oct 22-26	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	40%	12
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Oct 22-26	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%	13
Franklin & Marshall College	Oct 21-26	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%	13
Temple University	Oct 20-26	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%	9
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Oct 19-23	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	40%	12
Strategic Vision	Oct 20-22	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	43%	7
Big Ten Poll	Oct 19-22	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	41%	11
SurveyUSA	Oct 21	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	41%	12
Quinnipiac University	Oct 16-21	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%	13
National Journal/FD	Oct 16-20	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%	10
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Oct 15-19	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	41%	12
Susquehanna Polling and Research/ Pittsburgh Tribune-Review	Oct 16-18	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	40%	8
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Oct 11-15	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	37%	16
SurveyUSA	Oct 11-13	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	40%	15
Marist College	Oct 5-8	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	41%	12
Strategic Vision	Oct 5-7	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	40%	14
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Oct 3-7	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	38%	12
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 6	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	41%	13
SurveyUSA	Oct 5-6	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	40%	15
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Oct 1-5	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	38%	11
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Sept 30- October 3	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	39%	12
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Sept 27- October 1	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%	9
Quinnipiac University	Sept 27-29	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	39%	15
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Sept 25-29	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	41%	8
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Sept 28	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	42%	8
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Sept 24-28	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%	7
Franklin & Marshall	Sept 23-28	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	38%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 24	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
SurveyUSA	Sept 23-24	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	44%	6
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Sept 21-24	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%	4
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 21-23	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%	8	Bob Barr	1%
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 21-23	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%		Ralph Nader	3%
American Research Group	Sept 20-22	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	46%	4
Strategic Vision	Sept 20-22	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	46%	1
Allstate/National Journal/FD	Sept 18-22	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	41%	2
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 21	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%	3
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Sept 16-18	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	44%	2
Big Ten Poll	Sept 14-17	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	45%	0
Marist College	Sept 11-15	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 14	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%	0
Quinnipiac University	Sept 5-9	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%	3
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 8	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
Strategic Vision	Sept 5-7	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Aug 24-26	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	43%	5
Quinnipiac University	Aug 17-24	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 19	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%	3
Susquehanna Polling & Research	Aug 11-14	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	41%	5
Franklin & Marshall College	Aug 4-10	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	41%	5
Quinnipiac University	July 23–29	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%	7
Strategic Vision	July 25–27	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	40%	9
Rasmussen Reports	July 23	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6

Rhode Island

4 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Rhode Island Rhode Island The state of Rhode Island and Providence Plantations, more commonly referred to as Rhode Island , is a state in the New England region of the United States. It is the smallest U.S. state by area... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Rhode Island College	Sept 17-24	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	34%	13
Brown University	Sept 15-16	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	34%	13
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 13	Barack Obama	58%	John McCain	39%	19
American Research Group	Sept 11-13	Barack Obama	59%	John McCain	33%	26
Brown University	Aug 18-20	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	30%	20

South Carolina

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

South Carolina South Carolina South Carolina is a state in the Deep South of the United States that borders Georgia to the south, North Carolina to the north, and the Atlantic Ocean to the east. Originally part of the Province of Carolina, the Province of South Carolina was one of the 13 colonies that declared independence... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Survey USA	Oct 28-29	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	52%	8
NBC/Princeton Survey Research	Oct 25-28	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	53%	11
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 20	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	54%	11
Winthrop University/ETV	Sept 28-Oct 19	Barack Obama	34.9%	John McCain	55.1%	20.2
Survey USA	Oct 12-13	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	55%	14
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Sept 22-24	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	54%	15
Survey USA	Sept 21-22	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	58%	19
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 18	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	51%	6
American Research Group	Sept 14-17	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	59%	22
Research 2000/Daily Kos	July 22–23	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	53%	13
Public Policy Polling	July 9–11	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	45%	6

South Dakota

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

South Dakota South Dakota South Dakota is a state located in the Midwestern region of the United States. It is named after the Lakota and Dakota Sioux American Indian tribes. Once a part of Dakota Territory, South Dakota became a state on November 2, 1889. The state has an area of and an estimated population of just over... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 30	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	53%	9
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 22-24	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	50%	9
Argus Leader Media/KELO-TV	Oct 13-15	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	48%	7
American Research Group	Sept 19-21	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	55%	16
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 9	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	54%	17
Rasmussen Reports	July 9	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	47%	4

Tennessee

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Tennessee Tennessee Tennessee is a U.S. state located in the Southeastern United States. It has a population of 6,346,105, making it the nation's 17th-largest state by population, and covers , making it the 36th-largest by total land area... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 21-22	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	54%	16
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 16	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	54%	12
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 29	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	58%	19
Middle Tennessee State University	Sept 15-27	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	48%	12
Mason-Dixon	Sept 22-24	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	55%	16
American Research Group	Sept 16-19	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	59%	23
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 20	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	60%	25
Ayres, McHenry & Associates **	Aug 10-12	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	51%	15

Texas

34 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Texas Texas Texas is the second largest U.S. state by both area and population, and the largest state by area in the contiguous United States.The name, based on the Caddo word "Tejas" meaning "friends" or "allies", was applied by the Spanish to the Caddo themselves and to the region of their settlement in... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
University of Texas	Oct 15-22	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	51%	11
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 21	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	54%	10
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 14-15	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	52%	12
American Research Group	Oct 5-8	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	57%	19
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 29	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	52%	9
American Research Group	Sept 13-16	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	57%	19
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 21	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	54%	10
University of Texas	July 18–30	Barack Obama	33%	John McCain	43%	10
Rasmussen Reports	July 29	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	52%	8

Utah

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Utah Utah Utah is a state in the Western United States. It was the 45th state to join the Union, on January 4, 1896. Approximately 80% of Utah's 2,763,885 people live along the Wasatch Front, centering on Salt Lake City. This leaves vast expanses of the state nearly uninhabited, making the population the... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Deseret News/KSL-TV Dan Jones & Associates	Oct 24-30	Barack Obama	32%	John McCain	57%	25
American Research Group	Sept 10-13	Barack Obama	29%	John McCain	65%	36
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 10	Barack Obama	32%	John McCain	64%	32
Deseret News/ Dan Jones & Associates	Sept 8-11	Barack Obama	24%	John McCain	62%	38
Mason Dixon	Aug 13-15	Barack Obama	23%	John McCain	62%	39

Vermont

Winner: Barack Obama
3 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Vermont Vermont Vermont is a state in the New England region of the northeastern United States of America. The state ranks 43rd in land area, , and 45th in total area. Its population according to the 2010 census, 630,337, is the second smallest in the country, larger only than Wyoming. It is the only New England... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 6	Barack Obama	65%	John McCain	32%	33
American Research Group	Sept 18-22	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	38%	18
Research 2000	Sept 14	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	36%	19
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 13	Barack Obama	60%	John McCain	36%	24

Virginia

13 electoral votes
chart
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Virginia Virginia The Commonwealth of Virginia , is a U.S. state on the Atlantic Coast of the Southern United States. Virginia is nicknamed the "Old Dominion" and sometimes the "Mother of Presidents" after the eight U.S. presidents born there... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin	Others	%
American Research Group	Oct 31-Nov 3	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 31-Nov 3	Barack Obama	51.7%	John McCain	45.3%	6.4
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Nov 2	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
Public Policy Polling	Oct 31-Nov 2	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	46%	6
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 30-Nov 2	Barack Obama	50.7%	John McCain	44.6%	6.1
SurveyUSA	Oct 30-Nov 1	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	46%	4
Mason-Dixon/ Richmond Times-Dispatch	Oct 29-30	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	44%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 23-28	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	44%	9
Marist College	Oct 26-27	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
Allstate/National Journal/FD	Oct 23-27	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	44%	4
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 26	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
SurveyUSA	Oct 25-26	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	43%	9
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 23-26	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	44.8%	7.2
Associated Press/GfK	Oct 22-26	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%	7
Roanoke College	Oct 19-26	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	39%	9
News/ Washington Post	Oct 22-25	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	44%	8
Public Policy Polling	Oct 21-23	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%	8
Virginia Commonwealth University	Oct 20-22	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	40%	11
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Oct 20-21	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 19-21	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	44%	10
SurveyUSA	Oct 18-19	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6
Winthrop University/ETV	Sept 28-Oct 19	Barack Obama	44.6%	John McCain	43.6%	1
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 16	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	44%	10
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 11-14	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	43%	10
Christopher Newport University	Oct 11-14	Barack Obama	49.2%	John McCain	43.2%	6
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 12	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
Public Policy Polling	Oct 6-7	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%	8
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 5	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	48%	2
SurveyUSA	Oct 4-5	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	43%	10
Suffolk University	Oct 3-5	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	39%	12
Mason-Dixon/ Richmond Times-Dispatch	Sept 28-Oct 1	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 28- 30	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	44%	9
Insider Advantage/ Poll Position	Sept 29	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6
American Research Group	Sept 27-29	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Sept 28	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 25	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	45%	5
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Sept 17- 22	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%	3
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Sept 21	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	50%	2
SurveyUSA	Sept 19- 21	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6
ABC News/ Washington Post	Sept 18- 21	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%	3
American Research Group	Sept 17- 20	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	48%	2
Insider Advantage/ Poll Position	Sept 17	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	48%	2
Allstate/National Journal/FD	Sept 11-15	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	48%	7
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 14	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	48%	0
Public Policy Polling	Sept 13-14	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%	2
SurveyUSA	Sept 12-14	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	46%	4
Christopher Newport University	Sept 10-14	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	48%	9
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 9	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	49%	6
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 7	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%	2
SurveyUSA	Sept 5-7	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%	2
Public Policy Polling	Aug 20-22	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
InsiderAdvantage/ Majority Opinion Research	Aug 12	Barack Obama	42.6%	John McCain	43.1%	0.5
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 12	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
SurveyUSA	Aug 8-10	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
Public Policy Polling	July 17–20	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	44%	2
Rasmussen Reports	July 16	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1

Washington

11 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Washington opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Strategic Vision	Oct 31-Nov 2	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	40%	15
SurveyUSA	Oct 30-Nov 2	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	40%	16
The Washington Poll/ Pacific Market Research	Oct 27-31	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	39%	12
SurveyUSA	Oct 26-27	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	39%	17
Strategic Vision	Oct 25-26	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	42%	12
The Washington Poll/ Pacific Market Research	Oct 18-26	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	34%	21
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 22	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	43%	11
Elway Poll	Oct 16-19	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	36%	19
SurveyUSA	Oct 12-13	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	40%	16
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 2	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	43%	10
SurveyUSA	Sept 21-22	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	43%	11
American Research Group	Sept 16-18	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	44%	14
Strategic Vision	Sept 14-16	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	42%	5
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 10	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	47%	2
Elway Poll	Sept 6-8	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	37%	9
SurveyUSA	Sept 5-7	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
SurveyUSA	Aug 11-12	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 6	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	42%	12
Elway Poll	July 27–31	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	35%	12
Strategic Vision	July 25–27	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	37%	11
SurveyUSA	July 13–15	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	39%	16
Moore Information	July 9–10	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	37%	10
Rasmussen Reports	July 9	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%	8

West Virginia

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

West Virginia West Virginia West Virginia is a state in the Appalachian and Southeastern regions of the United States, bordered by Virginia to the southeast, Kentucky to the southwest, Ohio to the northwest, Pennsylvania to the northeast and Maryland to the east... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin	Other	%
American Research Group	Oct 31-Nov 3	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	53%	11
Public Policy Polling	Oct 29-30	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	55%	13
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 23-26	Barack Obama	40.4%	John McCain	50.3%	9.9
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	Oct 22-24	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	49%	6
Wesleyan College/ The State Journal	Oct 20-21	Barack Obama	43.5%	John McCain	49.2%	5.7
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 19-21	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	53%	9
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 20	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	52%	9
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Oct 16-17	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	47%	6
Public Policy Polling	Oct 16-17	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	50%	8
Rainmaker Media Group	Oct 14-15	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	42%	1
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Oct 13	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%	2
American Research Group	Oct 4-8	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	42%	8
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 24	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	50%	8
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 21-23	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	49%
American Research Group	Sept 14-16	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	49%	4
Mark Blankenship Enterprises	Sept 6-7	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	44%	5

Wisconsin

10 electoral votes
chart
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Wisconsin Wisconsin Wisconsin is a U.S. state located in the north-central United States and is part of the Midwest. It is bordered by Minnesota to the west, Iowa to the southwest, Illinois to the south, Lake Michigan to the east, Michigan to the northeast, and Lake Superior to the north. Wisconsin's capital is... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Strategic Vision	Oct 31-Nov 2	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%	13
SurveyUSA	Oct 28-29	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	39%	16
Research 2000/ WISC-TV	Oct 27-28	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	42%	11
UW Badger Poll	Oct 21-28	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10
Strategic Vision	Oct 24-26	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%	9
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 23	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
Big Ten Poll	Oct 19-22	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%	13
Research 2000/ WISC-TV	Oct 20-21	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	41%	11
National Journal/FD	Oct 16-20	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%	13
SurveyUSA	Oct 18-19	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%	8
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Oct 16-17	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	39%	12
Wisconsin Public Radio/ St Norbert College	Oct 9-17	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	38%	13
University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee	Oct 8-15	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	36%	15
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	Oct 8-12	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	37%	17
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 6	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	44%	10
Research 2000	Oct 5-6	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%	10
SurveyUSA	Oct 5-6	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 3-6	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	46%	5
Strategic Vision	Sept 22-26	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	40%	9
WISC-TV/Research 2000	Sept 23-24	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	43%	6
American Research Group	Sept 18-21	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	45%	5
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	Sept 14-21	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%	7
Big Ten Poll	Sept 14-17	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	44%	1
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 14-16	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 15	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%	2
Strategic Vision	Sept 5-7	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	43%	3
Strategic Vision	Aug 8-10	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	42%	5
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 5	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
Wisconsin Policy Research Institute	Aug 3-4	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	38%	6
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	July 14–22	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	39%	11
Rasmussen Reports	July 8	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10

Wyoming

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Wyoming Wyoming Wyoming is a state in the mountain region of the Western United States. The western two thirds of the state is covered mostly with the mountain ranges and rangelands in the foothills of the Eastern Rocky Mountains, while the eastern third of the state is high elevation prairie known as the High... opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 27-29	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	61%	25
SurveyUSA/Roll Call	Oct 18-19	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	58%	21
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 14-16	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	58%	23
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Sept 22-24	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	57%	21
American Research Group	Sept 9-11	Barack Obama	28%	John McCain	66%	38
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 10	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	58%	19
Mason Dixon	Aug 13-15	Barack Obama	25%	John McCain	62%	37

Latest results (using latest polling when available)

This results section uses only the latest polls for each state. It is for indicative purposes only, and is highly susceptible to polling errors. The numbers in parentheses indicate the number of electoral votes awarded to each state. A total of 538 electoral votes are distributed among the states and DC. Margins of 10% or more are considered "safe"; margins of 5% to 9.9% are considered "likely" and margins of 0.1% to 4.9% are considered "leaning". Margins of multiple polls concluded the same day are averaged out. Because the list is revised after newer polls are released, it is highly volatile and should only be taken as examples.
Barack Obama
Barack Obama
Barack Hussein Obama II is the 44th and current President of the United States. He is the first African American to hold the office. Obama previously served as a United States Senator from Illinois, from January 2005 until he resigned following his victory in the 2008 presidential election.Born in...

− Joe Biden
Joe Biden
Joseph Robinette "Joe" Biden, Jr. is the 47th and current Vice President of the United States, serving under President Barack Obama...

Total states (28 states & D.C. − 356 electoral votes)
Safe states (19 states & D.C. − 233 electoral votes)
- California (55)
- Connecticut (7)
- Delaware (3)
- District of Columbia (3)
- Hawaii (4)
- Illinois (21)
- Iowa (7)
- Maine (4)
- Maryland (10)
- Massachusetts (12)
- Michigan (17)
- Nevada (5)
- New Hampshire (4)
- New Jersey (15)
- New York (31)
- Oregon (7)
- Rhode Island (4)
- Vermont (3)
- Washington (11)
- Wisconsin (10)
Likely states (3 states − 39 electoral votes)
- New Mexico (5)
- Pennsylvania (21)
- Virginia (13)
Leaning states (6 states − 84 electoral votes)
- Colorado (9)
- Florida (27)
- Minnesota (10)
- Montana (3)
- North Carolina (15)
- Ohio (20)

John McCain

John Sidney McCain III is the senior United States Senator from Arizona. He was the Republican nominee for president in the 2008 United States election....

− Sarah Palin

Sarah Palin

Sarah Louise Palin is an American politician, commentator and author. As the Republican Party nominee for Vice President in the 2008 presidential election, she was the first Alaskan on the national ticket of a major party and first Republican woman nominated for the vice-presidency.She was...

Total states (21 states − 171 electoral votes)
Safe states (13 states − 106 electoral votes)
- Alabama (9)
- Alaska (3)
- Idaho (4)
- Kansas (6)
- Kentucky (8)
- Mississippi (6)
- Nebraska (5)
- Oklahoma (7)
- Tennessee (11)
- Texas (34)
- Utah (5)
- West Virginia (5)
- Wyoming (3)
Likely states (4 states − 28 electoral votes)
- Arkansas (6)
- Indiana (11)
- South Carolina (8)
- South Dakota (3)
Leaning states (4 states − 37 electoral votes)
- Arizona (10)
- Georgia (15)
- Louisiana (9)
- North Dakota (3)

Tied

Total states (1 state − 11 electoral votes)
- Missouri (11)

Maps of recent polling data

Map and totals updated at 11-3-08 11:10AM EST. Maps are based on a weighted average for the previous 10 polling results, and as such may be slow to show changes in countrywide opinion - click on the image to view its history. The second map is altered to convey the proportional amount of electoral votes of each state. The number of electoral votes of a given state is based on its population. Candidates must win at least 270 electoral votes to win the election, and the House of Representatives

United States Congress

The United States Congress is the bicameral legislature of the federal government of the United States, consisting of the Senate and the House of Representatives. The Congress meets in the United States Capitol in Washington, D.C....

votes in the event no one qualifies.

Safe Obama - over 10% (243)	Likely Obama - over 5% (291) (48)	Leans Obama - over 1% (338) (47)	Tossup - within 1% (29)	Leans McCain - over 1% (171) (39)	Likely McCain - over 5% (132) (14)	Safe McCain - over 10% (118)
District of Columbia (3) - 69.0% Hawaii (4) - 38.3% New York (31) - 29.0% Vermont (3) - 27.4% Delaware (3) - 23.8% Illinois (21) - 22.8% California (55) - 22.7% Massachusetts (12) - 20.3% Connecticut (7) - 20.1% Maryland (10) - 18.2% Rhode Island (4) - 17.0% New Jersey (15) - 16.5% Oregon (7) - 15.4% Washington (11) - 14.6% Maine (4) - 14.0% Michigan (17) - 13.8% Iowa (7) - 13.0% New Hampshire (4) - 12.9% Minnesota (10) - 11.9% Wisconsin (10) - 11.3% New Mexico (5) - 10.1%	Pennsylvania (21) - 7.4% Colorado (9) - 7.2% Nevada (5) - 6.1% Virginia (13) - 5.6%	Ohio (20) - 4.6% Florida (27) - 3.1%	North Carolina (15) - 0.9% Obama Missouri (11) - 0.1% McCain North Dakota (3) - 0.5% McCain	Arizona (10) - 4.7% Georgia (15) - 4.1% Montana (3) - 2.5% Indiana (11) - 1.3%	Arkansas (6) - 9.7% South Dakota (3) - 9.0% West Virginia (5) - 7.9%	Oklahoma (7) - 29.3% Utah (5) - 26.2% Idaho (4) - 25.2% Wyoming (3) - 23.6% Alabama (9) - 23.4% Nebraska (5) - 20.7% Kansas (6) - 16.8% Alaska (3) - 16.7% Tennessee (11) - 15.2% Kentucky (8) - 13.7% Texas (34) - 11.9% South Carolina (8) - 11.5% Mississippi (6) - 11.0% Louisiana (9)- 10.2%

Totals

Obama leads: 338 electoral votes
McCain leads: 171 electoral votes

Election Day projection

FINAL UPDATE: 22:32, 4 November 2008 (UTC)

Data derived from Nate Silver
Nate Silver
Nathaniel Read "Nate" Silver is an American statistician, psephologist, and writer. Silver first gained public recognition for developing PECOTA, a system for forecasting the performance and career development of Major League Baseball players, which he sold to and then managed for Baseball...

's FiveThirtyEight.com
FiveThirtyEight.com
FiveThirtyEight is a polling aggregation website with a blog created by Nate Silver. Sometimes colloquially referred to as 538 dot com or just 538, the website takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college...

weighted averages and statistical polling analysis, which determines what the best guess as to what will happen on Election Day is rather than what would happen if the election were held today. (Methodology)
Each state is colored according to which candidate is currently projected to win, and both the state's total electoral votes and the winning candidate's projected margin of victory are listed.

External links

FiveThirtyEight.com: Detailed analysis of state-by-state general election polling
Electoral-Vote.com
Pollster.com Graphic display of aggregated polls
Election-Projection.net 2008 state-by-state and Electoral College Vote Projections
Rasmussen Reports: Balance of Power Calculator
Real Clear Politics
Princeton Election Consortium
Survey USA
CNN's Electoral Map
American Research Group's Ballot Lead Calculator

The source of this article is wikipedia, the free encyclopedia. The text of this article is licensed under the GFDL.

Alabama

Alaska

Arizona

Arkansas

California

Colorado

Connecticut

Delaware

District of Columbia

Florida

Georgia

Hawaii

Idaho

Illinois

Indiana

Iowa

Kansas

Kentucky

Louisiana

Maine

Maryland

Massachusetts

Michigan

Minnesota

Mississippi

Missouri

Montana

Nebraska

Nevada

New Hampshire

New Jersey

New Mexico

New York

North Carolina

North Dakota

Ohio

Oklahoma

Oregon

Pennsylvania

Rhode Island

South Carolina

South Dakota

Tennessee

Texas

Utah

Vermont

Virginia

Washington

West Virginia

Wisconsin

Wyoming

See also

Latest results (using latest polling when available)

Maps of recent polling data

Election Day projection

External links