United States Senate election in Florida, 2010
Encyclopedia

Polling

Poll Source Dates Administered Glenn Burkett Maurice Ferre Jeff Greene Kendrick Meek
Quinnipiac August 21–22, 2010 –– 3% 29% 39%
Public Policy Polling August 21–22, 2010 –– 4% 27% 51%
Mason-Dixon August 17–19, 2010 –– 5% 30% 42%
Quinnipiac August 11–16, 2010 –– 6% 28% 35%
Ipsos/Florida Newspapers August 6–10, 2010 –– 4% 35% 31%
Mason Dixon August 2–4, 2010 –– –– 29% 33%
Quinnipiac July 22–27, 2010 –– 4% 33% 23%
Public Policy Polling July 16–18, 2010 4% 6% 25% 28%
Quinnipiac June 2–8, 2010 –– 3% 27% 29%

Results

Background

Upon Senator Martinez's announcement that he would not run for reelection, early speculation surrounded former Governor Jeb Bush
Jeb Bush
John Ellis "Jeb" Bush is an American politician who served as the 43rd Governor of Florida from 1999 to 2007. He is a prominent member of the Bush family: the second son of former President George H. W. Bush and former First Lady Barbara Bush; the younger brother of former President George W...

. It was thought that if Bush decided to run, other potential Republican candidates would allow Bush to run uncontested. After consideration, Bush decided not to run.

Former House Speaker Marco Rubio was the first Republican to enter the race back in May but the National Republican Senatorial Committee
National Republican Senatorial Committee
The National Republican Senatorial Committee is the Republican Hill committee for the United States Senate, working to elect Republicans to that body. The NRSC was founded in 1916 as the Republican Senatorial Campaign Committee...

 Chairman John Cornyn
John Cornyn
John Cornyn, III is the junior United States Senator for Texas, serving since 2003. He is a member of the Republican Party. He was elected Chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee for the 111th U.S. Congress....

 announced the NRSC's endorsement of Charlie Crist
Charlie Crist
Charles Joseph "Charlie" Crist, Jr. is an American politician who was the 44th Governor of Florida. Prior to his election as governor, Crist previously served as Florida State Senator, Education Commissioner, and Attorney General...

. Other Republicans mentioned as potential candidates include Florida House
Florida House of Representatives
The Florida House of Representatives is the lower house of the Florida Legislature, the state legislature of the U.S. state of Florida. The House is composed of 120 members representing an equal number of districts, with each district having an average population of 156,677.The House convenes at...

 Majority Leader Adam Hasner
Adam Hasner
Adam Hasner , served as a State Representative for District 87 in the Florida House of Representatives until 2010. District 87 includes the coastal communities in the southern portion of Palm Beach County and the northern part of Broward County, including Boca Raton, Delray Beach, Deerfield Beach...

, Representatives
United States House of Representatives
The United States House of Representatives is one of the two Houses of the United States Congress, the bicameral legislature which also includes the Senate.The composition and powers of the House are established in Article One of the Constitution...

 Connie Mack IV
Connie Mack IV
Cornelius Harvey McGillicuddy IV popularly known as Connie Mack IV is the U.S. Representative for , serving since 2005. He is a member of the Republican Party. The district includes Fort Myers and Naples....

, and Dr. Belinda Noah, a prominent lawyer and adjunct law professor. Bob Smith
Robert C. Smith
Robert C. "Bob" Smith is an American politician who has served in both the United States House of Representatives and the Senate. He is a member of the Republican Party.-Early life:Smith was born in Trenton, New Jersey...

, a former United States Senator from New Hampshire
New Hampshire
New Hampshire is a state in the New England region of the northeastern United States of America. The state was named after the southern English county of Hampshire. It is bordered by Massachusetts to the south, Vermont to the west, Maine and the Atlantic Ocean to the east, and the Canadian...

, announced he was running for the seat. Joe Scarborough
Joe Scarborough
Charles Joseph "Joe" Scarborough is an American cable news and talk radio host, lawyer, author, and former politician. He is currently the host of Morning Joe on MSNBC, and previously hosted Scarborough Country on the same channel...

, a former Congressman and current MSNBC
MSNBC
MSNBC is a cable news channel based in the United States available in the US, Germany , South Africa, the Middle East and Canada...

 TV host, told the Sarasota Herald-Tribune
Sarasota Herald-Tribune
The Sarasota Herald-Tribune is a daily newspaper located in Sarasota, Florida.It is owned by The New York Times Company, who purchased it in 1982, and part of its regional news group. Along with Comcast, the newspaper operates a local 24-hour...

that he may run for office again, and was considering running for this seat, though an MSNBC spokesman refuted that Scarborough might run. On the air, while interviewing White House Press Secretary
White House Press Secretary
The White House Press Secretary is a senior White House official whose primary responsibility is to act as spokesperson for the government administration....

 Robert Gibbs
Robert Gibbs
Robert Lane Gibbs was the 28th White House Press Secretary. Gibbs was the communications director for then-U.S. Senator Barack Obama and Obama's 2008 presidential campaign...

, Scarborough dismissed the idea that he would run.

Mel Martinez retired before the end of his term, leaving Crist in the position to appoint a replacement, George LeMieux
George LeMieux
George Stephen LeMieux is a former United States Senator from Florida. He was Chairman of the Florida-based law firm of Gunster Yoakley & Stewart, P.A. and served as Chief of Staff to Governor Charlie Crist, was former Deputy Florida Attorney General, and is credited with spearheading Crist's...

, a Republican regarded as a placeholder for Crist. Democrat, Kendrick Meek expressed disappointment, asserting that Crist should have appointed someone qualified rather than the top names "in his cell phone." The Democratic Party of Florida issued an email the same day titled, "George LeMieux (R-Cronyism)", echoing the disapproval of Crist's choice, who was the Deputy Attorney General
Deputy Attorney General
Deputy Attorney General is the second-highest-ranking official in a department of justice or of law, in various governments of the world. In those governments, the Deputy Attorney General oversees the day-to-day operation of the department, and may act as Attorney General during the absence of...

 under Crist, and his Chief of Staff.

After being behind in the polls, Rubio began to cut into Crist's lead, mostly as a reaction to Crist's support of the stimulus bill
American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009
The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, abbreviated ARRA and commonly referred to as the Stimulus or The Recovery Act, is an economic stimulus package enacted by the 111th United States Congress in February 2009 and signed into law on February 17, 2009, by President Barack Obama.To...

, which Rubio opposed. Crist subsequently fell behind Rubio by over 20 points. On April 16, Crist's campaign manager, Connie Mack, resigned. Ostensibly as a reaction to Crist's veto of a controversial education bill that tied teacher's pay to their students' test scores, it is seen as a reaction to Crist's increasingly poor showing in the polls. Speculation began that Crist would drop out of the Republican primary and run as an independent
Independent (politician)
In politics, an independent or non-party politician is an individual not affiliated to any political party. Independents may hold a centrist viewpoint between those of major political parties, a viewpoint more extreme than any major party, or they may have a viewpoint based on issues that they do...

 before April 30, the Florida filing deadline. Polling showed that although Crist was trailing Rubio considerably in the Republican primary, were he to run as an independent, the three-way race would become more competitive; Rubio was currently leading Meek and Crist in aggregate three-way polling as of June 2010.

On 28 April, Crist campaign officials confirmed that Crist would be running as an independent and planned to drop out of the Republican primary.

The primary was held on August 24, 2010.

Candidates

These candidates have formally qualified to appear on the Florida Republican Primary ballot.
  • William Escoffery
  • William Billy Kogut
  • Marco Rubio
    Marco Rubio
    Marco Antonio Rubio is the junior United States Senator from Florida . A member of the Republican Party, he previously served as Speaker of the Florida House of Representatives ....

    , former Speaker of the Florida House of Representatives
    Florida House of Representatives
    The Florida House of Representatives is the lower house of the Florida Legislature, the state legislature of the U.S. state of Florida. The House is composed of 120 members representing an equal number of districts, with each district having an average population of 156,677.The House convenes at...

  • Marion Thorpe

Endorsements

All made while Crist was running as a Republican
Crist

All made while Crist was running as a Independent
Crist
Rubio

Polling

Poll Source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of Error
Charlie Crist Marco Rubio Other Undecided
Research 2000 January 26–28, 2009 600 ± 4.0% 57% 4% 11% 28%
Quinnipiac University June 2–7, 2009 486 ± 4.5% 54% 23% 1% 21%
Quinnipiac University August 12–17, 2009 446 ± 4.6% 55% 26% 1% 18%
Rasmussen Reports August 19, 2009 470 ± 5.0% 53% 31% 5% 11%
Quinnipiac University October 12–18, 2009 396 ± 4.9% 50% 35% 1% 12%
Rasmussen Reports October 20, 2009 466 ± 4.5% 49% 35% 4% 12%
Research 2000 November 16–18, 2009 600 ± 4.0% 47% 37% –– 16%
Rasmussen Reports December 14, 2009 431 ± 5.0% 43% 43% 5% 9%
Quinnipiac University January 26, 2010 673 ± 3.8% 44% 47% –– 8%
Rasmussen Reports January 27, 2010 449 ± 5.0% 37% 49% 3% 11%
Rasmussen Reports February 18, 2010 442 ± 5.0% 36% 54% 4% 7%
Public Policy Polling March 5–8, 2010 492 ± 4.4% 28% 60% –– 12%
The Florida Times Union March 9, 2010 512 ± 4.0% 26% 60% 4% ––
Rasmussen Reports March 18, 2010 494 ± 4.5% 34% 56% 1% 8%
Rasmussen Reports April 8, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 28% 57% 3% 12%
Quinnipiac University April 8–13, 2010 497 ± 4.4% 33% 56% 1% 10%

Results

Major

These candidates have gotten at least 5% in pre-election polling
  • Charlie Crist
    Charlie Crist
    Charles Joseph "Charlie" Crist, Jr. is an American politician who was the 44th Governor of Florida. Prior to his election as governor, Crist previously served as Florida State Senator, Education Commissioner, and Attorney General...

     (I), Governor
  • Kendrick Meek
    Kendrick Meek
    Kendrick Brett Meek is an American politician who was the U.S. Representative for from 2003 to 2011. He was the Democratic nominee in the 2010 Senate election for the seat of Mel Martinez, but he lost in a three way race to Republican Marco Rubio along with Independent Charlie Crist.-Early life,...

     (D), U.S. Congressman
  • Marco Rubio
    Marco Rubio
    Marco Antonio Rubio is the junior United States Senator from Florida . A member of the Republican Party, he previously served as Speaker of the Florida House of Representatives ....

     (R), former Speaker of the Florida House of Representatives
    Florida House of Representatives
    The Florida House of Representatives is the lower house of the Florida Legislature, the state legislature of the U.S. state of Florida. The House is composed of 120 members representing an equal number of districts, with each district having an average population of 156,677.The House convenes at...


Minor

qualified with the 112,446 signatures to appear on ballot.
  • Alexander Snitker
    Alexander Snitker
    Alexander Snitker was the Libertarian Party candidate in the 2010 Florida U.S. Senate election for the seat being vacated by Republican George LeMieux. He was the first Libertarian U.S. Senate candidate to appear on the ballot in Florida's history.-Background:Snitker was born Waukon, Iowa to...

     (Libertarian
    Libertarian Party (United States)
    The Libertarian Party is the third largest and fastest growing political party in the United States. The political platform of the Libertarian Party reflects its brand of libertarianism, favoring minimally regulated, laissez-faire markets, strong civil liberties, minimally regulated migration...

    ), Marine veteran
  • Lewis Jerome Armstrong (I)
  • Sue Askeland (I)
  • Bobbie Bean (I)
  • Bernie DeCastro (Constitution
    Constitution Party (United States)
    The Constitution Party is a paleoconservative political party in the United States. It was founded as the U.S. Taxpayers' Party by Howard Philips in 1991. Phillips was the party's candidate in the 1992, 1996 and 2000 presidential elections...

    )
  • Bruce Ray Riggs (I)
  • Rick Tyler (I)

Write-Ins

These candidates have qualified for the General Election as Write In Candidates.
  • Piotr Blass
  • George Drake
  • Howard Knepper
  • Carol Ann Joyce LaRosa
  • Richard Lock
  • Robert Monroe
  • Belinda Quarterman-Noah

Campaign

Charlie Crist has argued "If you want somebody on the far right, you get Marco Rubio. If you want someone on the far left, you have Kendrick Meek. If you want someone who will fight for you and apply common sense, you have me."
Meek argued "Marco Rubio has always been the Tea Party candidate and yesterday Charlie Crist says he wants to crash the Tea Party, too. I'm the only candidate who's fighting for the middle class." Rubio argued "If you like 'Obamacare,' if you like the stimulus plan, you can vote for Charlie Crist or Kendrick Meek."

It was reported that President
President of the United States
The President of the United States of America is the head of state and head of government of the United States. The president leads the executive branch of the federal government and is the commander-in-chief of the United States Armed Forces....

 Bill Clinton
Bill Clinton
William Jefferson "Bill" Clinton is an American politician who served as the 42nd President of the United States from 1993 to 2001. Inaugurated at age 46, he was the third-youngest president. He took office at the end of the Cold War, and was the first president of the baby boomer generation...

 convinced Meek to drop out of the race in October while they campaigned together, as Meek and Crist appeared to be splitting the Democratic vote, allowing Rubio to win. Meek has denied the report.

In the final week of the campaign, a close advisor to Crist confirmed that Crist would caucus with the Democrats if elected to the Senate.

Debates

There have been four debates between the three candidates so far.

Friday, September 17
WLTV-Univision 23 Debate
Miami, FL

Tuesday, September 28
WTVT-FOX 13 Tampa Bay Debate
Tampa, FL

Wednesday, October 6
ABC News, WFTV-ABC 9 Orlando & WFTS-ABC 28 Tampa
Moderated by George Stephanopoulos
George Stephanopoulos
George Robert Stephanopoulos is an American television journalist and a former political advisor.Stephanopoulos is most well known as the chief political correspondent for ABC News – the news division of the broadcast television network ABC – and a co-anchor of ABC News's morning news...

 and two local media panelists
Orlando, FL

Wednesday, October 20
Leadership Florida Debate
Ft. Lauderdale, FL

Sunday, October 24
CNN/St. Petersburg Times Debate
Moderated by Candy Crowley
Tampa, FL

Tuesday, October 26
NBC News & WESH-NBC 2 Orlando Debate
Moderated by David Gregory
Orlando, FL

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report
Cook Political Report
The Cook Political Report is an independent, non-partisan online newsletter that analyzes elections and campaigns for the United States House of Representatives, the United States Senate, Governor's offices and the American Presidency. The Cook Political Report is led by a staff of five...

Safe R October 29, 2010
Rothenberg
Stuart Rothenberg
Stuart Rothenberg is an American editor, publisher, and political analyst best known for his Washington-based, biweekly, self-proclaimed non-partisan political newsletter The Rothenberg Political Report...

Solid R October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics
RealClearPolitics
RealClearPolitics is a political news and polling data aggregator based in Chicago, Illinois. The site's founders say their goal is to give readers "ideological diversity." They have described themselves as frustrated with what they perceive as anti-conservative, anti-Christian media bias, and...

Safe R October 29, 2010
Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports is an American media company that publishes and distributes information based on public opinion polling. Founded by pollster Scott Rasmussen in 2003, the company updates daily indexes including the President's job approval rating, and provides public opinion data, analysis, and...

Solid R October 27, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Sabato’s Crystal Ball is a free, nonpartisan weekly online newsletter and comprehensive website in the United States that analyzes the current American political scene and predicts electoral outcomes for U.S House of Representatives, U.S. Senate, governors, and U.S. president races...

Solid R October 28, 2010
CQ Politics
Congressional Quarterly
Congressional Quarterly, Inc., or CQ, is a privately owned publishing company that produces a number of publications reporting primarily on the United States Congress...

Likely R October 29, 2010

Polling

Poll source
Opinion poll
An opinion poll, sometimes simply referred to as a poll is a survey of public opinion from a particular sample. Opinion polls are usually designed to represent the opinions of a population by conducting a series of questions and then extrapolating generalities in ratio or within confidence...

Dates administered Margin of
error
Independent
Independent (politician)
In politics, an independent or non-party politician is an individual not affiliated to any political party. Independents may hold a centrist viewpoint between those of major political parties, a viewpoint more extreme than any major party, or they may have a viewpoint based on issues that they do...

Republican Democratic
Charlie Crist
Charlie Crist
Charles Joseph "Charlie" Crist, Jr. is an American politician who was the 44th Governor of Florida. Prior to his election as governor, Crist previously served as Florida State Senator, Education Commissioner, and Attorney General...

Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
Marco Antonio Rubio is the junior United States Senator from Florida . A member of the Republican Party, he previously served as Speaker of the Florida House of Representatives ....

Kendrick Meek
Kendrick Meek
Kendrick Brett Meek is an American politician who was the U.S. Representative for from 2003 to 2011. He was the Democratic nominee in the 2010 Senate election for the seat of Mel Martinez, but he lost in a three way race to Republican Marco Rubio along with Independent Charlie Crist.-Early life,...

Miami Herald January 31, 2010 ± 3.46% 26% 31% 24%
Public Policy Polling March 5–8, 2010 ± 3.4% 27% 34% 25%
Research 2000 March 15–17, 2010 ± 5.0% 29% 32% 27%
Rasmussen Reports March 18, 2010 –– 22% 42% 25%
Quinnipiac April 8–13, 2010 ± 4.4% 32% 30% 24%
Rasmussen Reports April 21, 2010 ± 4.5% 30% 37% 22%
McLaughlin & Associates April 24–25, 2010 –– 33% 29% 15%
Rasmussen Reports May 3, 2010 ± 4.5% 38% 34% 17%
Rasmussen Reports May 16, 2010 ± 4.5% 31% 39% 18%
St. Petersburg Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9 May 14–18, 2010 ± 4.0% 30% 27% 15%
Rasmussen Reports June 7, 2010 ± 4.5% 41% 37% 13%
Quinnipiac June 1–7, 2010 ± 4.7% 40% 33% 14%
Florida Chamber of Commerce June 9–13, 2010 ± 4.0% 42% 31% 14%
Rasmussen Reports July 6, 2010 ± 4.5% 33% 37% 18%
Ipsos/Reuters July 9–11, 2010 ± 4.0% 34% 29% 18%
Public Policy Polling July 16–18, 2010 ± 3.26% 38% 29% 13%
Rasmussen Reports July 21, 2010 ± 4.0% 33% 35% 20%
Quinnipiac July 22–27, 2010 ± 3.2% 39% 33% 13%
The Florida Poll/NY Times July 24–28, 2010 ± 4.0% 41% 30% 12%
McLaughlin & Associates July 31-August 1, 2010 ± 4.0% 38% 36% 16%
Rasmussen Reports August 9, 2010 ± 4.0% 33% 38% 21%
Ipsos/Florida Newspapers August 6–10, 2010 ± 4.0% 33% 29% 17%
Mason Dixon August 9–11, 2010 ± 4.0% 33% 38% 18%
Quinnipiac August 11–16, 2010 ± 3.0% 39% 32% 16%
Public Policy Polling August 21–22, 2010 ± 3.0% 32% 40% 17%
Rasmussen Reports August 25, 2010 ± 4.0% 30% 40% 21%
CNN September 2–7, 2010 ± 3.5% 34% 36% 24%
Sunshine State News September 1–7, 2010 ± 3.0% 29% 43% 23%
FOX News September 11, 2010 ± 3.0% 27% 43% 21%
Reuters/Ipsos September 10–12, 2010 ± 4.0% 26% 40% 21%
Rasmussen Reports September 14, 2010 ± 4.0% 30% 41% 23%
Mason-Dixon September 14, 2010 ± 4.0% 28% 40% 23%
RCP Average September 21–22, 2010 ± 4.0% 29% 40% 22%
Rasmussen Reports September 28, 2010 ± 4.0% 30% 41% 21%
TCpalm.com/ Zogby September 27–29, 2010 ± 3.5% 33% 39% 18%
CNN/Time September 30, 2010 ± 3.5% 31% 42% 23%
Quinnipiac University September 30, 2010 ± 2.9% 33% 46% 18%
Public Opinion Strategies September 27–30, 2010 ± 3.46% 33% 40% 16%
Mason Dixon October 4–6, 2010 ± 4.0% 27% 42% 21%
Rasmussen Reports October 7, 2010 ± 4.0% 25% 50% 19%
Quinnipiac University October 6–10, 2010 ± 3.0% 29% 45% 22%
Sunshine State News/VSS October 6–10, 2010 ± 4.6% 33% 44% 21%
Public Policy Polling October 9–10, 2010 ± 4.6% 33% 44% 21%
Suffolk University October 14–17, 2010 ± 4.4% 31% 39% 22%
Rasmussen Reports October 18, 2010 ± 4.0% 32% 43% 20%
CNN/Time/Opinion Research October 15–19, 2010 ± 2.5% 32% 46% 20%
St. Petersburg Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9 October 15–19, 2010 ± 4.1% 26% 41% 20%
Zogby October 18–21, 2010 ± 3.5% 33.3% 39.6% 18.1%
Quinnipiac University October 18–24, 2010 ± 3.5% 35% 42% 15%
Mason-Dixon October 25–27, 2010 ± 4.0% 28% 45% 21%
Sunshine State News/VSS October 26–27, 2010 ± 2.47% 27% 47% 23%
Rasmussen Reports October 27, 2010 ± 4.0% 30% 50% 16%
Quinnipiac University October 25–31, 2010 ± 3.2% 31% 45% 18%
Sunshine State News/VSS October 30–31, 2010 ± 2.49% 31% 48% 20%
Public Policy Polling October 30–31, 2010 ± 3.5% 30% 47% 21%

Fundraising

Candidate (Party) Receipts Disbursements Cash On Hand Debt
Marco Rubio (R) $21,231,831 $21,024,726 $207,105 $938,803
Charlie Crist (NPA) $13,655,044 $13,504,327 $150,715 $42,271
Kendrick Meek (D) $8,704,516 $8,083,976 $63,628 $96,507
Alexander Snitker (L) $42,014 $37,500 $5,008 $0
Bernie DeCastro (C) $51,886 $18,596 $33,270 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission

Results

External links


Debates
  • Florida Senate Democratic Primary Debate on C-SPAN
    C-SPAN
    C-SPAN , an acronym for Cable-Satellite Public Affairs Network, is an American cable television network that offers coverage of federal government proceedings and other public affairs programming via its three television channels , one radio station and a group of websites that provide streaming...

    , August 2, 2010
  • Florida Senate Democratic Primary Debate on C-SPAN
    C-SPAN
    C-SPAN , an acronym for Cable-Satellite Public Affairs Network, is an American cable television network that offers coverage of federal government proceedings and other public affairs programming via its three television channels , one radio station and a group of websites that provide streaming...

    , August 10, 2010

Official campaign websites
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