Colorado gubernatorial election, 2010
Encyclopedia
The 2010 Colorado gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010 to elect the Governor of Colorado
Governor of Colorado
The Governor of Colorado is the head of the executive branch of Colorado's government and the commander-in-chief of the state's military forces. The governor has a duty to enforce state laws, and the power to either approve or veto bills passed by the Colorado General Assembly, to convene the...

, who will serve a four-year term to begin in January 2011. John Hickenlooper
John Hickenlooper
John Wright Hickenlooper is an American politician and current Governor of Colorado. A Democrat, he was previously the Mayor of Denver, Colorado from 2003 to 2011.-Early life, education and career:...

 won the race with over 50% of the vote. Incumbent Democratic
Democratic Party (United States)
The Democratic Party is one of two major contemporary political parties in the United States, along with the Republican Party. The party's socially liberal and progressive platform is largely considered center-left in the U.S. political spectrum. The party has the lengthiest record of continuous...

 Governor Bill Ritter announced that he would not run for re-election in 2010. Dan Maes
Dan Maes
Daniel B. Maes , is an American businessman and politician of Dutch descent. He was the Republican candidate in the 2010 Colorado gubernatorial election. Maes lives in Evergreen.-Early life, education and career:...

 claimed the Republican
Republican Party (United States)
The Republican Party is one of the two major contemporary political parties in the United States, along with the Democratic Party. Founded by anti-slavery expansion activists in 1854, it is often called the GOP . The party's platform generally reflects American conservatism in the U.S...

 nomination in the primary with 50.6% of the vote and a 1.3% margin over rival Scott McInnis
Scott McInnis
Stephen Scott Emory McInnis is a lawyer and former Republican member of the U.S. House of Representatives from Colorado. In August, 2010, McInnis lost his bid to be gubernatorial nominee after a plagiarism accusation and apology hurt his standing.-Education and professional history:Born in...

. In claiming victory, Maes called on Constitution Party
Constitution Party (United States)
The Constitution Party is a paleoconservative political party in the United States. It was founded as the U.S. Taxpayers' Party by Howard Philips in 1991. Phillips was the party's candidate in the 1992, 1996 and 2000 presidential elections...

 candidate and former Republican Congressman Tom Tancredo
Tom Tancredo
Thomas Gerard "Tom" Tancredo is an American politician from Colorado, who represented the state's sixth congressional district in the United States House of Representatives from 1999 to 2009, as a Republican...

 to "stop your campaign tonight." John Hickenlooper
John Hickenlooper
John Wright Hickenlooper is an American politician and current Governor of Colorado. A Democrat, he was previously the Mayor of Denver, Colorado from 2003 to 2011.-Early life, education and career:...

 was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.

Declined

  • Bill Ritter, incumbent Governor
  • Ken Salazar
    Ken Salazar
    Kenneth Lee "Ken" Salazar is the current United States Secretary of the Interior, in the administration of President Barack Obama. A member of the Democratic Party, he previously served as a United States Senator from Colorado from 2005 to 2009. He and Mel Martinez were the first Hispanic U.S...

    , United States Secretary of the Interior
    United States Secretary of the Interior
    The United States Secretary of the Interior is the head of the United States Department of the Interior.The US Department of the Interior should not be confused with the concept of Ministries of the Interior as used in other countries...

    , former Senator
  • Andrew Romanoff
    Andrew Romanoff
    Harlan Andrew Romanoff is an American politician. A Democrat, he was a member of the Colorado House of Representatives from 2000 to 2008, serving as Speaker from 2005 to 2008...

    , former Speaker of the Colorado House of Representatives

Candidates

  • Scott McInnis
    Scott McInnis
    Stephen Scott Emory McInnis is a lawyer and former Republican member of the U.S. House of Representatives from Colorado. In August, 2010, McInnis lost his bid to be gubernatorial nominee after a plagiarism accusation and apology hurt his standing.-Education and professional history:Born in...

    , lawyer, former Congressman
    United States House of Representatives
    The United States House of Representatives is one of the two Houses of the United States Congress, the bicameral legislature which also includes the Senate.The composition and powers of the House are established in Article One of the Constitution...

     from Glenwood Springs
  • Dan Maes
    Dan Maes
    Daniel B. Maes , is an American businessman and politician of Dutch descent. He was the Republican candidate in the 2010 Colorado gubernatorial election. Maes lives in Evergreen.-Early life, education and career:...

    , businessman from Evergreen, claimed victory August 10 in the primary with 100% of precincts reporting

Results

Declined

  • John Suthers
    John Suthers
    John William Suthers is the current Attorney General of Colorado. He is a practicing Catholic and member of the Republican Party.-Background:Suthers was born in Denver, Colorado and adopted a month later by a Colorado Springs couple....

    , Colorado Attorney General
    Colorado Attorney General
    The Attorney General of the State of Colorado is the chief legal officer for the state of Colorado, and the head of the Colorado Department of Law...

  • Josh Penry
    Josh Penry
    Josh Penry is the former minority leader of the Colorado Senate. Elected in 2006, Penry was the youngest member of the Colorado state Senate. According to The Denver Post, Penry played a leadership role in opposing regulation for the oil and gas industry and a labor bill. Penry has been...

    , State Senator
  • Tom Tancredo
    Tom Tancredo
    Thomas Gerard "Tom" Tancredo is an American politician from Colorado, who represented the state's sixth congressional district in the United States House of Representatives from 1999 to 2009, as a Republican...

    , former Congressman
    United States House of Representatives
    The United States House of Representatives is one of the two Houses of the United States Congress, the bicameral legislature which also includes the Senate.The composition and powers of the House are established in Article One of the Constitution...


Pre-primary polling and developments

While a head-to-head polling matchup of McInnis against Maes by Survey USA was not reported for July 2010, the McInnis plagiarism story and the entry of Tom Tancredo into the race led to a changed landscape in advance of the August 10 Republican primary. "When asked who would be the 'strongest Republican gubernatorial candidate,' ... Tancredo easily led the pack of six choices with 29 percent. McInnis followed with 19 percent, and ... Maes, had 13 percent. Another 17 percent ... were not sure," in the Survey USA poll commissioned by the Denver Post and 9News. While Tancredo's run was on the Constitution Party
Constitution Party (United States)
The Constitution Party is a paleoconservative political party in the United States. It was founded as the U.S. Taxpayers' Party by Howard Philips in 1991. Phillips was the party's candidate in the 1992, 1996 and 2000 presidential elections...

 ticket, he spoke as a Republican in responding to the poll results. "Tancredo, originally a McInnis supporter, has said that both Maes and McInnis should 'both eventually drop out' of the race even if it's after one wins the primary. 'Neither can win the general election,' he said. Tancredo said he was 'surprised and flattered' by the poll results. 'I want us as a party to get this governor's seat,' he said. 'If I can do it, believe me, I will.'" Tancredo was delivered a "message, signed by tea party
Tea Party movement
The Tea Party movement is an American populist political movement that is generally recognized as conservative and libertarian, and has sponsored protests and supported political candidates since 2009...

, 9-12 Project
9-12 Project
The 9-12 Project is a non-political group created by American television and radio personality Glenn Beck. It was launched on the Friday 13 March 2009 episode of Glenn Beck, the eponymous talk show on Fox News Channel...

 and constitutionalist groups, [which] read in part: 'Withdraw your ultimatum, stay in the Republican Party, let the process play out for the governor's race within the rules already set forth, and continue to help us improve this party, its candidates, and the process — in other words to trust and respect the newly awakened, energized and informed voters of Colorado.'" As of late July, both McInnis and Maes had rejected Tancredo's ultimatum that they withdraw before or after the primary. And "political observers — and even state GOP chairman Dick Wadhams
Dick Wadhams
Dick Wadhams is a Republican political consultant, known for his role in guiding John Thune to an upset victory over then United States Senate Minority Leader Tom Daschle...

 — were already predicting [Tancredo]'s entry into the race sounded the death knell for the party's gubernatorial bid and may cause problems for state legislative races. 'It's difficult if not impossible to beat ... Hickenlooper with Tancredo in the race,' said Wadhams, noting that Tancredo will siphon just enough votes away from the GOP nominee to give Hickenlooper a win." Post-primary polling (see below), however, has shown growing support for Tancredo with Maes in danger of receiving a vote share in the single digits.

McInnis vs. Maes

Poll source Dates administered Dan Maes (R) Scott McInnis (R)
Public Policy Polling August 7–8, 2010 40% 41%
Survey USA August 1, 2010 43% 39%
Survey USA June 15–17, 2010 29% 57%

Candidates

  • Jaimes Brown
  • Dan "Kilo" Sallis, 2008 vice presidential candidate of the Boston Tea Party
    Boston Tea Party (political party)
    The Boston Tea Party is a U.S. political party named after the Boston Tea Party of 1773. Its ideology is libertarian.A group of former Libertarian Party members founded the party in 2006...


Results

Candidates

  • Tom Tancredo (ACP)
    • For Lt. Governor: Former State Rep. Pat Miller
  • Jaimes Brown (L)
    • For Lt. Governor: Ken Wyble
  • Jason R. Clark (UAF)
  • Paul Fiorino (I)
    • For Lt. Governor: Heather McKibbin
  • John Hickenlooper (D)
    • For Lt. Governor: Colorado State University-Pueblo President Joe Garcia
  • Dan Maes (R)
    • For Lt. Governor: Former State Rep. Tambor Williams

Polling and Predictions

Poll source Dates administered John Hickenlooper (D) Dan Maes (R) Tom Tancredo (ACP)
Public Policy Polling October 30-31, 2010 47% 8% 43%
Rasmussen Reports October 29, 2010 49% 5% 42%
Public Policy Polling October 21-23, 2010 47% 5% 44%
Magellan Strategies October 22, 2010 44% 9% 43%
Rasmussen Reports October 15, 2010 42% 12% 38%
Rasmussen Reports October 3, 2010 43% 16% 35%
Public Policy Polling September 30-October 2, 2010 47% 13% 33%
Survey USA September 28-30, 2010 46% 15% 34%
Fox News September 25, 2010 44% 15% 34%
CNN/Time September 17–21, 2010 47% 21% 29%
Rasmussen Reports September 14, 2010 46% 21% 25%
Rasmussen Reports August 29, 2010 36% 24% 14%
Ipsos/Reuters August 20–22, 2010 41% 33% 16%
45% 45% ––
Rasmussen Reports August 11, 2010 43% 31% 18%
Public Policy Polling August 7–8, 2010 48% 23% 22%
50% 38% ––
Rasmussen Reports August 2, 2010 42% 27% 24%
Survey USA July 27–29, 2010 46% 24% 24%
50% 41% ––
Rasmussen Reports July 15, 2010 46% 43% ––
Survey USA June 15–17, 2010 44% 45% ––
Rasmussen Reports June 14, 2010 41% 41% ––

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report
Cook Political Report
The Cook Political Report is an independent, non-partisan online newsletter that analyzes elections and campaigns for the United States House of Representatives, the United States Senate, Governor's offices and the American Presidency. The Cook Political Report is led by a staff of five...

Lean D November 1, 2010
Rothenberg
Stuart Rothenberg
Stuart Rothenberg is an American editor, publisher, and political analyst best known for his Washington-based, biweekly, self-proclaimed non-partisan political newsletter The Rothenberg Political Report...

D favored October 31, 2010
RealClearPolitics
RealClearPolitics
RealClearPolitics is a political news and polling data aggregator based in Chicago, Illinois. The site's founders say their goal is to give readers "ideological diversity." They have described themselves as frustrated with what they perceive as anti-conservative, anti-Christian media bias, and...

Leans D October 31, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Sabato’s Crystal Ball is a free, nonpartisan weekly online newsletter and comprehensive website in the United States that analyzes the current American political scene and predicts electoral outcomes for U.S House of Representatives, U.S. Senate, governors, and U.S. president races...

Leans D October 28, 2010
CQ Politics
Congressional Quarterly
Congressional Quarterly, Inc., or CQ, is a privately owned publishing company that produces a number of publications reporting primarily on the United States Congress...

Leans D November 1, 2010
Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports is an American media company that publishes and distributes information based on public opinion polling. Founded by pollster Scott Rasmussen in 2003, the company updates daily indexes including the President's job approval rating, and provides public opinion data, analysis, and...

Leans D November 1, 2010

General election results

External links


Debate
  • Colorado Republican Gubernatorial Primary Debate on C-SPAN
    C-SPAN
    C-SPAN , an acronym for Cable-Satellite Public Affairs Network, is an American cable television network that offers coverage of federal government proceedings and other public affairs programming via its three television channels , one radio station and a group of websites that provide streaming...

    , July 29, 2010

Official campaign websites
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