Opinion polling in the next United Kingdom general election
Encyclopedia
In the run up to the general election of 2010, several polling organisations carried out opinion polling in regards to voting intention in Great Britain
(i.e. the UK excluding Northern Ireland
, which is usually excluded from such voting intention surveys). Results of such polls are displayed below.
The election took place on 6 May 2010, coinciding with the local elections
. The previous general election
was held on 5 May 2005.
Rumours in autumn 2007 that Gordon Brown
was about to call a general election imminently put all polling organisations, the press and political parties on an election footing, but he eventually announced that he would not seek a dissolution. According to many media and political figures, this was because he believed that Labour was likely to lose its majority in a snap general election. Gordon Brown has maintained that Labour would have won but he did not believe an early election was in the national interest.
Therefore, the first past the post system means that the number of MPs elected may not reflect the overall popular vote share across the parties. Thus, it is not necessarily the party with the largest share of the popular vote that ends up with the largest number of MPs. (See details of the elections in 1951
and February 1974
) Since 1935 no party has achieved more than 50% of the popular vote in a UK general election. The voting system favours parties with relatively concentrated support: a widely distributed vote leaves a party at risk of getting a large vote share but doing poorly in terms of numbers of seats (as the SDP-Liberal Alliance
did in the 1980s), whereas parties with localised votes can win seats with a relatively small share of the vote.
That said, in previous elections, approximate forecasting of results were achieved by assuming that the swing
in each individual constituency will be the same across the country. This system, known as uniform national swing
(UNS) is used by much of the media in the UK to assess and extrapolate electoral fortunes from opinion poll data, though there has been criticism that such predictions may be naive and unreliable, even from providers of such data. By using UNS projections, several media commentators and politicians have suggested that significant swings towards the Liberal Democrats in the opinion polls may not necessarily amount to significant gains in terms of parliamentary seats, including predictions that even if the Liberal Democrats had the most votes, and Labour the least, it could be the case that Labour retains the most seats while the Lib Dems have the fewest.
Normally governments can easily survive for a full parliamentary term on a majority of more than 20 seats over all other parties. Below that level there is a danger of by-elections and MPs crossing the floor
of the House reducing the government to a minority such that it would be at increased risk of losing a vote of no confidence
.
In early 2006, opinion polls were increasingly mixed with small leads given alternately to Labour and Conservative. From the May 2006 local elections, in which Labour suffered significant losses, the Conservatives took a small single-digit lead in opinion polls. Labour regained the lead in June 2007 following the resignation of Tony Blair and the appointment of Gordon Brown as prime minister. From November 2007, the Conservatives again took the lead and, from then, extended their lead into double digits, particularly in response to the MPs' expenses scandal, although there was some evidence that the lead narrowed slightly towards the end of 2009. By the end of February 2010, Ipsos MORI, ICM, YouGov and ComRes polls had all found a sufficient narrowing of the Conservative lead for media speculation about a hung parliament
to return.
From 15 April 2010, following the first televised debate of the party leaders, however, polling data changed dramatically, with the Lib Dem vote proportion rising to 28–33%, and the Conservative vote proportion falling. In some polls, the Liberal Democrats took the lead from the Conservatives. Under UNS projections, this made a hung parliament highly probable, if Lib Dem performance had persisted.
After the second debate on 22 April the polls, on average, placed the Conservatives in the lead on 33%, the Liberal Democrats in second on 30% and Labour in third on 28%. If these polls had reflected the election day results on a uniform swing nationwide, Labour would have had the most seats in a hung Parliament.
collected for the BBC
, Sky
and ITV
news services were announced. Data were gathered from individuals at 130 polling stations around the country. The results of the poll initially suggested a hung parliament with the Conservative Party 19 seats from a controlling majority; this was later adjusted to 21 seats. The distribution of seats amongst the Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrats and other parties was initially suggested to be 307, 255, 59 and 29 respectively, although the seat numbers were later changed to 303, 251, 69, and 27 respectively.
Initial reaction to the exit poll by various commentators was of surprise at the apparent poor prospects for the Liberal Democrats because it was odds with many opinion polls undertaken in the previous weeks. However, the actual results showed that the exit poll was a good predictor.
A later BBC Exit poll (05:36 BST) predicted the Conservatives on 306, 20 short of an overall majority, Labour on 262, and Liberal Democrats on 55.
are in Blue, Labour
in Red, Liberal Democrat
Yellow and Others in Grey. Other polling houses may show different results, and all polls are subject to a margin of error
and possible house bias.
The following graph shows YouGov poll results since the calling of the general election.
The following graph shows ComRes
poll results recorded over the period April 11 – May 6, 2010, including annotations of the three TV debates.
The figure given in the 'lead' column before the televised leaders' debates is the lead held by Labour
or the Conservatives
over the second placed of the two parties. For figures after the first debate, after which the Liberal Democrats
were placed in first or second position in some polls, the second placed party is also noted in the column where applicable.
Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council
, and abide by its disclosure rules. BPIX is not a member of the BPC, and does not publish detailed methodology and findings.
Great Britain
Great Britain or Britain is an island situated to the northwest of Continental Europe. It is the ninth largest island in the world, and the largest European island, as well as the largest of the British Isles...
(i.e. the UK excluding Northern Ireland
Northern Ireland
Northern Ireland is one of the four countries of the United Kingdom. Situated in the north-east of the island of Ireland, it shares a border with the Republic of Ireland to the south and west...
, which is usually excluded from such voting intention surveys). Results of such polls are displayed below.
The election took place on 6 May 2010, coinciding with the local elections
United Kingdom local elections, 2010
The 2010 United Kingdom local elections were held on Thursday 6 May 2010, when the 2010 general election also took place. Direct elections were held to all 32 London boroughs, all 36 metropolitan boroughs, 76 second-tier district authorities, 20 unitary authorities and various Mayoral posts, all in...
. The previous general election
United Kingdom general election, 2005
The United Kingdom general election of 2005 was held on Thursday, 5 May 2005 to elect 646 members to the British House of Commons. The Labour Party under Tony Blair won its third consecutive victory, but with a majority of 66, reduced from 160....
was held on 5 May 2005.
Rumours in autumn 2007 that Gordon Brown
Gordon Brown
James Gordon Brown is a British Labour Party politician who was the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom and Leader of the Labour Party from 2007 until 2010. He previously served as Chancellor of the Exchequer in the Labour Government from 1997 to 2007...
was about to call a general election imminently put all polling organisations, the press and political parties on an election footing, but he eventually announced that he would not seek a dissolution. According to many media and political figures, this was because he believed that Labour was likely to lose its majority in a snap general election. Gordon Brown has maintained that Labour would have won but he did not believe an early election was in the national interest.
Background
Since each MP is elected separately by the first past the post voting system, it is impossible to precisely project a clear election outcome from overall UK shares of the vote. Not only can individual constituencies vary markedly from overall voting trends, but individual countries and regions within the UK may have a very different electoral contest that is not properly reflected in overall share of the vote figures.Therefore, the first past the post system means that the number of MPs elected may not reflect the overall popular vote share across the parties. Thus, it is not necessarily the party with the largest share of the popular vote that ends up with the largest number of MPs. (See details of the elections in 1951
United Kingdom general election, 1951
The 1951 United Kingdom general election was held eighteen months after the 1950 general election, which the Labour Party had won with a slim majority of just five seats...
and February 1974
United Kingdom general election, February 1974
The United Kingdom's general election of February 1974 was held on the 28th of that month. It was the first of two United Kingdom general elections held that year, and the first election since the Second World War not to produce an overall majority in the House of Commons for the winning party,...
) Since 1935 no party has achieved more than 50% of the popular vote in a UK general election. The voting system favours parties with relatively concentrated support: a widely distributed vote leaves a party at risk of getting a large vote share but doing poorly in terms of numbers of seats (as the SDP-Liberal Alliance
SDP-Liberal Alliance
The SDP–Liberal Alliance was an electoral pact formed by the Social Democratic Party and the Liberal Party in the United Kingdom which was in existence from 1981 to 1988, when the bulk of the two parties merged to form the Social and Liberal Democrats, later referred to as simply the Liberal...
did in the 1980s), whereas parties with localised votes can win seats with a relatively small share of the vote.
That said, in previous elections, approximate forecasting of results were achieved by assuming that the swing
Swing (politics)
An electoral swing analysis shows the extent of change in voter support from one election to another. It is an indicator of voter support for individual candidates or political parties, or voter preference between two or more candidates or parties...
in each individual constituency will be the same across the country. This system, known as uniform national swing
Uniform national swing
Uniform national swing, or UNS is a system for translating opinion polls, which give overall vote proportions, to expected eventual parliamentary seats in a constituency based first past the post system, as in the UK general elections...
(UNS) is used by much of the media in the UK to assess and extrapolate electoral fortunes from opinion poll data, though there has been criticism that such predictions may be naive and unreliable, even from providers of such data. By using UNS projections, several media commentators and politicians have suggested that significant swings towards the Liberal Democrats in the opinion polls may not necessarily amount to significant gains in terms of parliamentary seats, including predictions that even if the Liberal Democrats had the most votes, and Labour the least, it could be the case that Labour retains the most seats while the Lib Dems have the fewest.
Normally governments can easily survive for a full parliamentary term on a majority of more than 20 seats over all other parties. Below that level there is a danger of by-elections and MPs crossing the floor
Crossing the floor
In politics, crossing the floor has two meanings referring to a change of allegiance in a Westminster system parliament.The term originates from the British House of Commons, which is configured with the Government and Opposition facing each other on rows of benches...
of the House reducing the government to a minority such that it would be at increased risk of losing a vote of no confidence
Motion of no confidence
A motion of no confidence is a parliamentary motion whose passing would demonstrate to the head of state that the elected parliament no longer has confidence in the appointed government.-Overview:Typically, when a parliament passes a vote of no...
.
Polling since 2005
Immediately following the previous general election, the Labour party held a double-digit lead in opinion polls. However, over the course of 2005, this lead was eroded somewhat. By December 2005, the Conservative party showed its first small leads in opinion polls following the controversial 90 days detention proposals and the election of David Cameron to the leadership of the Conservative party.In early 2006, opinion polls were increasingly mixed with small leads given alternately to Labour and Conservative. From the May 2006 local elections, in which Labour suffered significant losses, the Conservatives took a small single-digit lead in opinion polls. Labour regained the lead in June 2007 following the resignation of Tony Blair and the appointment of Gordon Brown as prime minister. From November 2007, the Conservatives again took the lead and, from then, extended their lead into double digits, particularly in response to the MPs' expenses scandal, although there was some evidence that the lead narrowed slightly towards the end of 2009. By the end of February 2010, Ipsos MORI, ICM, YouGov and ComRes polls had all found a sufficient narrowing of the Conservative lead for media speculation about a hung parliament
Hung parliament
In a two-party parliamentary system of government, a hung parliament occurs when neither major political party has an absolute majority of seats in the parliament . It is also less commonly known as a balanced parliament or a legislature under no overall control...
to return.
From 15 April 2010, following the first televised debate of the party leaders, however, polling data changed dramatically, with the Lib Dem vote proportion rising to 28–33%, and the Conservative vote proportion falling. In some polls, the Liberal Democrats took the lead from the Conservatives. Under UNS projections, this made a hung parliament highly probable, if Lib Dem performance had persisted.
After the second debate on 22 April the polls, on average, placed the Conservatives in the lead on 33%, the Liberal Democrats in second on 30% and Labour in third on 28%. If these polls had reflected the election day results on a uniform swing nationwide, Labour would have had the most seats in a hung Parliament.
Exit poll
At 10 pm on election day, coinciding with the closure of the polls, the results of an exit pollExit poll
An election exit poll is a poll of voters taken immediately after they have exited the polling stations. Unlike an opinion poll, which asks whom the voter plans to vote for or some similar formulation, an exit poll asks whom the voter actually voted for. A similar poll conducted before actual...
collected for the BBC
BBC News
BBC News is the department of the British Broadcasting Corporation responsible for the gathering and broadcasting of news and current affairs. The department is the world's largest broadcast news organisation and generates about 120 hours of radio and television output each day, as well as online...
, Sky
Sky News
Sky News is a 24-hour British and international satellite television news broadcaster with an emphasis on UK and international news stories.The service places emphasis on rolling news, including the latest breaking news. Sky News also hosts localised versions of the channel in Australia and in New...
and ITV
ITV News
ITV News is the branding of news programmes on the British television network ITV. Since 1955, ITV's news bulletins have been produced by Independent Television News . The channel's news coverage has won awards from the Royal Television Society, Emmy Awards and BAFTAs. Between 2004 and 2008, the...
news services were announced. Data were gathered from individuals at 130 polling stations around the country. The results of the poll initially suggested a hung parliament with the Conservative Party 19 seats from a controlling majority; this was later adjusted to 21 seats. The distribution of seats amongst the Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrats and other parties was initially suggested to be 307, 255, 59 and 29 respectively, although the seat numbers were later changed to 303, 251, 69, and 27 respectively.
Initial reaction to the exit poll by various commentators was of surprise at the apparent poor prospects for the Liberal Democrats because it was odds with many opinion polls undertaken in the previous weeks. However, the actual results showed that the exit poll was a good predictor.
A later BBC Exit poll (05:36 BST) predicted the Conservatives on 306, 20 short of an overall majority, Labour on 262, and Liberal Democrats on 55.
Graphical summaries
The following graph shows ICM poll results since the last general election. Results for ConservativeConservative Party (UK)
The Conservative Party, formally the Conservative and Unionist Party, is a centre-right political party in the United Kingdom that adheres to the philosophies of conservatism and British unionism. It is the largest political party in the UK, and is currently the largest single party in the House...
are in Blue, Labour
Labour Party (UK)
The Labour Party is a centre-left democratic socialist party in the United Kingdom. It surpassed the Liberal Party in general elections during the early 1920s, forming minority governments under Ramsay MacDonald in 1924 and 1929-1931. The party was in a wartime coalition from 1940 to 1945, after...
in Red, Liberal Democrat
Liberal Democrats
The Liberal Democrats are a social liberal political party in the United Kingdom which supports constitutional and electoral reform, progressive taxation, wealth taxation, human rights laws, cultural liberalism, banking reform and civil liberties .The party was formed in 1988 by a merger of the...
Yellow and Others in Grey. Other polling houses may show different results, and all polls are subject to a margin of error
Margin of error
The margin of error is a statistic expressing the amount of random sampling error in a survey's results. The larger the margin of error, the less faith one should have that the poll's reported results are close to the "true" figures; that is, the figures for the whole population...
and possible house bias.
The following graph shows YouGov poll results since the calling of the general election.
The following graph shows ComRes
ComRes
ComRes is a polling and research consultancy with British origins. The company has its registered company headquarters in London, United Kingdom and also has offices in Brussels, Edinburgh and Cardiff...
poll results recorded over the period April 11 – May 6, 2010, including annotations of the three TV debates.
Poll results
Poll results are initially listed in reverse chronological order showing the most recent first, using the date the fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication.The figure given in the 'lead' column before the televised leaders' debates is the lead held by Labour
Labour Party (UK)
The Labour Party is a centre-left democratic socialist party in the United Kingdom. It surpassed the Liberal Party in general elections during the early 1920s, forming minority governments under Ramsay MacDonald in 1924 and 1929-1931. The party was in a wartime coalition from 1940 to 1945, after...
or the Conservatives
Conservative Party (UK)
The Conservative Party, formally the Conservative and Unionist Party, is a centre-right political party in the United Kingdom that adheres to the philosophies of conservatism and British unionism. It is the largest political party in the UK, and is currently the largest single party in the House...
over the second placed of the two parties. For figures after the first debate, after which the Liberal Democrats
Liberal Democrats
The Liberal Democrats are a social liberal political party in the United Kingdom which supports constitutional and electoral reform, progressive taxation, wealth taxation, human rights laws, cultural liberalism, banking reform and civil liberties .The party was formed in 1988 by a merger of the...
were placed in first or second position in some polls, the second placed party is also noted in the column where applicable.
Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council
British Polling Council
The British Polling Council is an association of market research companies whose opinion polls are regularly published or broadcast in media in the United Kingdom...
, and abide by its disclosure rules. BPIX is not a member of the BPC, and does not publish detailed methodology and findings.
2010
| Date(s) Conducted | |Sample Size | Labour Labour Party (UK) The Labour Party is a centre-left democratic socialist party in the United Kingdom. It surpassed the Liberal Party in general elections during the early 1920s, forming minority governments under Ramsay MacDonald in 1924 and 1929-1931. The party was in a wartime coalition from 1940 to 1945, after... | Conservative Conservative Party (UK) The Conservative Party, formally the Conservative and Unionist Party, is a centre-right political party in the United Kingdom that adheres to the philosophies of conservatism and British unionism. It is the largest political party in the UK, and is currently the largest single party in the House... | Liberal Democrats Liberal Democrats The Liberal Democrats are a social liberal political party in the United Kingdom which supports constitutional and electoral reform, progressive taxation, wealth taxation, human rights laws, cultural liberalism, banking reform and civil liberties .The party was formed in 1988 by a merger of the... | Other | Election Results (GB only) | N/A 65.3% Turnout |
29.7% 258 seats |
36.9% 306 seats |
23.6% 57 seats |
9.8% 10 seats |
7% over Lab |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 May | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 1,216 | 29% | 36% | 27% | 8% | 7% over Lab |
| 4–5 May | YouGov/The Sun | 6,483 | 28% | 35% | 28% | 9% | 7% over Lab/LD |
| 4–5 May | Harris Interactive/Daily Mail | 4,014 | 29% | 35% | 27% | 7% | 6% over Lab |
| 4–5 May | Populus/The Times | 2,505 | 28% | 37% | 27% | 8% | 9% over Lab |
| 4–5 May | Angus Reid Public Opinion/PoliticalBetting.com | 2,283 | 24% | 36% | 29% | 11% | 7% over LD |
| 4–5 May | Opinium/Daily Express | 1,383 | 27% | 35% | 26% | 12% | 8% over Lab |
| 4–5 May | ComRes/ITV/The Independent | 1,025 | 28% | 37% | 28% | 7% | 9% over Lab/LD |
| 3–4 May | ICM/The Guardian | 1,527 | 28% | 36% | 26% | 10% | 8% over Lab |
| 3–4 May | YouGov/The Sun | 1,461 | 30% | 35% | 24% | 11% | 5% over Lab |
| 29 Apr–4 May | TNS-BMRB | 1,864 | 27% | 33% | 29% | 11% | 4% over LD |
| 28 Apr–4 May | Harris Interactive/Metro | 786 | 26% | 36% | 28% | 10% | 8% over LD |
| 2–3 May | ComRes/ITV/The Independent | 1,024 | 29% | 37% | 26% | 8% | 8% over Lab |
| 2–3 May | YouGov/The Sun | 1,455 | 28% | 35% | 28% | 9% | 7% over Lab/LD |
| 30 Apr – 3 May | Opinium/Daily Express | 1,870 | 28% | 33% | 27% | 12% | 5% over Lab |
| 1–2 May | YouGov/The Sun | 1,475 | 28% | 34% | 29% | 9% | 5% over LD |
| 1–2 May | ComRes/ITV/The Independent | 1,024 | 29% | 37% | 26% | 8% | 8% over Lab |
| 30 Apr – 2 May | ICM/The Guardian | 1,026 | 28% | 33% | 28% | 12% | 5% over Lab/LD |
| 30 Apr – 1 May | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,483 | 27% | 35% | 28% | 10% | 7% over LD |
| 30 Apr – 1 May | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror | 1,019 | 28% | 38% | 25% | 9% | 10% over Lab |
| 30 Apr – 1 May | BPIX/Mail on Sunday | 2,136 | 27% | 34% | 30% | 9% | 4% over LD |
| 30 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 1,412 | 28% | 34% | 28% | 10% | 6% over Lab/LD |
| 30 Apr | ICM/Sunday Telegraph | 1,019 | 29% | 36% | 27% | 8% | 7% over Lab |
| 29–30 Apr | Angus Reid Public Opinion/Sunday Express | 1,874 | 23% | 35% | 29% | 13% | 6% over LD |
| 29–30 Apr | Harris Interactive/Daily Mail | 1,020 | 24% | 33% | 32% | 11% | 1% over LD |
| 29 Apr | The third and final Prime Ministerial debate was held. It featured Gordon Brown, David Cameron and Nick Clegg, and was produced by the BBC, being broadcast on BBC One and Sky News. |
||||||
| 28–29 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 1,623 | 27% | 34% | 28% | 11% | 6% over LD |
| 27–28 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 1,530 | 27% | 34% | 31% | 8% | 3% over LD |
| 28 Apr | Gordon Brown is caught on a microphone making unguarded comments in which he describes a voter he had just met on the campaign trail, Gillian Duffy, as a "sort of bigoted woman". |
||||||
| 26–27 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 1,598 | 29% | 33% | 28% | 10% | 4% over Lab |
| 26–27 Apr | ComRes/ITV News/The Independent | 1,006 | 29% | 36% | 26% | 9% | 7% over Lab |
| 26–27 Apr | Populus/The Times | 1,510 | 27% | 36% | 28% | 8% | 8% over LD |
| 21–27 Apr | TNS-BMRB | 2,078 | 27% | 34% | 30% | 9% | 4% over LD |
| 25–26 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 1,491 | 28% | 33% | 29% | 10% | 4% over LD |
| 25–26 Apr | ComRes/ITV News/The Independent | 1,005 | 29% | 33% | 29% | 9% | 4% over Lab |
| 23–26 Apr | Opinium/Daily Express | 1,942 | 25% | 34% | 28% | 13% | 6% over LD |
| 23–26 Apr | Angus Reid Public Opinion/The Economist | 2,433 | 23% | 33% | 30% | 14% | 3% over LD |
| 20–26 Apr | Harris Interactive/Metro | 1,678 | 25% | 32% | 30% | 13% | 2% over LD |
| 24–25 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 1,466 | 28% | 34% | 30% | 8% | 4% over LD |
| 24–25 Apr | ComRes/ITV News/The Independent | 1,003 | 28% | 32% | 31% | 9% | 1% over LD |
| 23–25 Apr | ICM/The Guardian | 1,031 | 28% | 33% | 30% | 8% | 3% over LD |
| 23–24 Apr | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,412 | 27% | 35% | 28% | 9% | 7% over LD |
| 23–24 Apr | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror | 1,006 | 28% | 34% | 29% | 9% | 5% over LD |
| 23–24 Apr | BPIX/Mail on Sunday | 2,139 | 26% | 34% | 30% | 10% | 4% over LD |
| 23 Apr | ICM/Sunday Telegraph | 1,020 | 26% | 35% | 31% | 8% | 4% over LD |
| 23 Apr | Ipsos MORI/News of the World | 1,245 | 30% | 36% | 23% | 11% | 6% over Lab |
| 22–23 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 1,381 | 29% | 34% | 29% | 8% | 5% over Lab/LD |
| 22–23 Apr | Harris Interactive/Daily Mail | 1,048 | 26% | 34% | 29% | 11% | 5% over LD |
| 22 Apr | The second televised Prime Ministerial debate, of three in the election campaign, was held featuring Gordon Brown, David Cameron and Nick Clegg, and was produced by Sky, being broadcast on Sky News and the BBC News Channel. |
||||||
| 21–22 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 1,576 | 29% | 34% | 28% | 9% | 5% over Lab |
| 20–21 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 1,545 | 27% | 33% | 31% | 9% | 2% over LD |
| 19–20 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 1,595 | 26% | 31% | 34% | 9% | 3% over Con |
| 19–20 Apr | Angus Reid Public Opinion/PoliticalBetting.com | 1,953 | 23% | 32% | 33% | 12% | 1% over Con |
| 19–20 Apr | ComRes/ITV News/The Independent | 1,015 | 25% | 35% | 27% | 13% | 8% over LD |
| 19–20 Apr | Populus/The Times | 1,501 | 28% | 32% | 31% | 9% | 1% over LD |
| 18–20 Apr | Ipsos MORI/The Standard | 1,253 | 28% | 32% | 32% | 8% | 0% |
| 14–20 Apr | TNS-BMRB | 1,953 | 29% | 34% | 30% | 7% | 4% over LD |
| 18–19 Apr | ComRes/ITV News/The Independent | 1,012 | 26% | 35% | 26% | 13% | 9% over Lab/LD |
| 18–19 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 1,509 | 27% | 33% | 31% | 8% | 2% over LD |
| 16–19 Apr | Opinium/Daily Express | 1,957 | 26% | 32% | 29% | 13% | 3% over LD |
| 16–19 Apr | Angus Reid Public Opinion/PoliticalBetting.com | 2,004 | 24% | 32% | 32% | 12% | 0% |
| 14–19 Apr | Harris Interactive/Metro | 1,792 | 26% | 31% | 30% | 13% | 1% over LD |
| 17–18 Apr | ComRes/ITV News/The Independent | 1,003 | 28% | 32% | 28% | 12% | 4% over Lab/LD |
| 17–18 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 1,433 | 26% | 32% | 33% | 8% | 1% over Con |
| 16–18 Apr | ICM/The Guardian | 1,024 | 28% | 33% | 30% | 9% | 3% over LD |
| 16–17 Apr | BPIX/Mail on Sunday | 2,149 | 28% | 31% | 32% | 9% | 1% over Con |
| 16–17 Apr | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,490 | 30% | 33% | 29% | 8% | 3% over Lab |
| 16–17 Apr | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror | 1,006 | 27% | 31% | 29% | 13% | 2% over LD |
| 15–16 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 1,290 | 28% | 33% | 30% | 9% | 3% over LD |
| 15 Apr | ComRes/ITV News | 4,032 | 28% | 35% | 24% | 13% | 7% over Lab |
| 15 Apr | The first ever televised Prime Ministerial debate, and the first of three in the election campaign, was held. The debate featured Gordon Brown, David Cameron and Nick Clegg, and was produced and broadcast by ITV. |
||||||
| 14–15 Apr | ICM/Sunday Telegraph | 1,033 | 29% | 34% | 27% | 10% | 5% |
| 14–15 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 1,490 | 31% | 37% | 22% | 10% | 6% |
| 14 Apr | The Liberal Democrats launch their 2010 election manifesto. | ||||||
| 13–14 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 1,578 | 32% | 41% | 18% | 9% | 9% |
| 13 Apr | The Conservative Party launches its 2010 election manifesto. | ||||||
| 12–13 Apr | ComRes/ITV News/The Independent | 1,001 | 29% | 35% | 21% | 15% | 6% |
| 12–13 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 1,583 | 31% | 39% | 20% | 9% | 8% |
| 8–13 Apr | Harris Interactive/Metro | 1,523 | 27% | 36% | 23% | 14% | 9% |
| 7–13 Apr | TNS-BMRB | 1,916 | 33% | 36% | 22% | 9% | 3% |
| 12 Apr | Populus/The Times | 1,525 | 33% | 36% | 21% | 9% | 3% |
| 12 Apr | The Labour Party launches its 2010 election manifesto. | ||||||
| 11–12 Apr | ComRes/ITV News/The Independent | 1,002 | 31% | 36% | 19% | 14% | 5% |
| 11–12 Apr | Angus Reid Public Opinion/PoliticalBetting.com | 2,006 | 28% | 38% | 22% | 12% | 10% |
| 11–12 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 1,493 | 33% | 39% | 20% | 8% | 6% |
| 9–12 Apr | Opinium/Daily Express | 1,825 | 31% | 39% | 17% | 13% | 8% |
| 10–11 Apr | ComRes/ITV News/The Independent | 1,004 | 30% | 37% | 20% | 13% | 7% |
| 10–11 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 1,455 | 31% | 37% | 20% | 12% | 6% |
| 9-11 Apr | ICM/The Guardian | 1,024 | 31% | 37% | 20% | 11% | 6% |
| 9–10 Apr | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,431 | 32% | 40% | 18% | 10% | 8% |
| 9–10 Apr | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror | 1,001 | 32% | 39% | 16% | 13% | 7% |
| 9–10 Apr | BPIX/Mail on Sunday | 2,051 | 31% | 38% | 20% | 11% | 7% |
| 8–9 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 1,527 | 30% | 40% | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| 7–8 Apr | Harris Interative/Daily Mail | 1,012 | 27% | 37% | 22% | 14% | 10% |
| 7–8 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 1,626 | 31% | 40% | 18% | 11% | 9% |
| 7 Apr | ICM/Sunday Telegraph | 1,032 | 30% | 38% | 21% | 10% | 8% |
| 6–7 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 1,484 | 32% | 37% | 19% | 12% | 5% |
| 6–7 Apr | Angus Reid Public Opinion/PoliticalBetting.com | 2,193 | 26% | 37% | 22% | 14% | 11% |
| 6 Apr | Populus/The Times | 1,507 | 32% | 39% | 21% | 8% | 7% |
| 6 Apr | General election officially called: Prime Minister Gordon Brown announces HM The Queen has agreed to a dissolution of Parliament, allowing the general election to take place on 6 May. |
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| 5–6 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 1,456 | 32% | 40% | 17% | 11% | 8% |
| 31 Mar-6 Apr | Harris Interactive/Metro | 2,080 | 28% | 37% | 20% | 15% | 9% |
| 4–5 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 1,620 | 31% | 41% | 18% | 11% | 10% |
| 2–5 Apr | Opinium/Daily Express | 1,903 | 29% | 39% | 17% | 15% | 10% |
| 1–3 Apr | ICM/Guardian | 1,001 | 33% | 37% | 21% | 9% | 4% |
| 1–2 Apr | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,503 | 29% | 39% | 20% | 12% | 10% |
| 31 Mar-1 Apr | Angus Reid Public Opinion/Sunday Express | 1,991 | 27% | 38% | 20% | 15% | 11% |
| 31 Mar-1 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 1,552 | 31% | 39% | 19% | 11% | 8% |
| 30–31 Mar | ICM/Guardian | 1,003 | 29% | 38% | 23% | 10% | 9% |
| 30–31 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 1,615 | 32% | 38% | 19% | 11% | 6% |
| 30–31 Mar | Angus Reid Public Opinion/PoliticalBetting.com | 2,013 | 28% | 37% | 22% | 13% | 9% |
| 29–30 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 1,681 | 31% | 38% | 19% | 12% | 7% |
| 24–30 Mar | TNS-BMRB | 1,819 | 33% | 38% | 19% | 10% | 5% |
| 29 Mar | Ask the Chancellors is aired on Channel 4 Channel 4 Channel 4 is a British public-service television broadcaster which began working on 2 November 1982. Although largely commercially self-funded, it is ultimately publicly owned; originally a subsidiary of the Independent Broadcasting Authority , the station is now owned and operated by the Channel... . |
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| 28–29 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 1,614 | 32% | 39% | 18% | 11% | 7% |
| 26–29 Mar | Opinium/Daily Express | 1,780 | 28% | 38% | 18% | 16% | 10% |
| 23–29 Mar | Harris Interactive/Metro | 1,133 | 27% | 37% | 19% | 17% | 10% |
| 26–28 Mar | ComRes/The Independent | 1,001 | 30% | 37% | 20% | 13% | 7% |
| 25–26 Mar | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,533 | 32% | 37% | 19% | 13% | 5% |
| 25–26 Mar | BPIX/Mail on Sunday | 800 | 30% | 37% | 20% | 13% | 7% |
| 24–25 Mar | ICM/News of the World | 1,003 | 31% | 39% | 19% | 11% | 8% |
| 24–25 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 1,483 | 33% | 37% | 18% | 12% | 4% |
| 24 Mar | Labour Chancellor Chancellor of the Exchequer The Chancellor of the Exchequer is the title held by the British Cabinet minister who is responsible for all economic and financial matters. Often simply called the Chancellor, the office-holder controls HM Treasury and plays a role akin to the posts of Minister of Finance or Secretary of the... Alistair Darling Alistair Darling Alistair Maclean Darling is a Scottish Labour Party politician who has been a Member of Parliament since 1987, currently for Edinburgh South West. He served as the Chancellor of the Exchequer from 2007 to 2010... announces the budget for Her Majesty's Government. |
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| 23–24 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 1,554 | 34% | 36% | 17% | 13% | 2% |
| 22–23 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 1,756 | 33% | 37% | 18% | 12% | 4% |
| 22 Mar | It is announced that David Cameron David Cameron David William Donald Cameron is the current Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, First Lord of the Treasury, Minister for the Civil Service and Leader of the Conservative Party. Cameron represents Witney as its Member of Parliament .... 's wife, Samantha Samantha Cameron Samantha Gwendoline Cameron , often known simply as "Sam Cam", is a British business executive and wife of David Cameron, the current Conservative Party leader and Prime Minister of the United Kingdom.... , is pregnant. |
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| 21–22 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 1,560 | 32% | 36% | 20% | 12% | 4% |
| 19–22 Mar | Ipsos MORI/Daily Mirror | 1,503 | 30% | 35% | 21% | 14% | 5% |
| 19–22 Mar | Opinium/Daily Express | 1,975 | 30% | 37% | 15% | 18% | 7% |
| 17–22 Mar | Harris Interactive/Metro | 2,117 | 28% | 35% | 17% | 20% | 7% |
| 20 Mar | British Airways cabin crew begin the first of two multi-day strikes in opposition to a series of changes the airlines has introduced in an attempt to cut costs. |
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| 18–19 Mar | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,547 | 31% | 38% | 19% | 13% | 7% |
| 18 Mar | Gordon Brown admits that defence spending "did not rise in real terms every year under Labour", contradicting the evidence he gave to the Iraq Inquiry. | ||||||
| 17–18 Mar | ICM/News of the World | 1,002 | 32% | 38% | 19% | 10% | 6% |
| 17–18 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 1,671 | 32% | 36% | 20% | 12% | 4% |
| 16–17 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 1,676 | 32% | 36% | 20% | 11% | 4% |
| 15–16 Mar | Angus Reid Public Opinion/PoliticalBetting.com | 2,003 | 26% | 39% | 21% | 15% | 13% |
| 15–16 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 1,460 | 32% | 37% | 19% | 12% | 5% |
| 10–16 Mar | Harris Interactive/Metro | 1,934 | 28% | 36% | 18% | 18% | 8% |
| 14–15 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 1,466 | 32% | 37% | 21% | 10% | 5% |
| 12–15 Mar | Opinium/Daily Express | 1,951 | 28% | 39% | 16% | 17% | 11% |
| 12–14 Mar | ICM/The Guardian | 1,002 | 31% | 40% | 20% | 9% | 9% |
| 11–12 Mar | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,507 | 33% | 37% | 17% | 12% | 4% |
| 10–11 Mar | ICM/Sunday Telegraph | 1,007 | 31% | 38% | 21% | 10% | 7% |
| 10–11 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 1,434 | 34% | 37% | 17% | 12% | 3% |
| 9–10 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 1,473 | 32% | 37% | 17% | 14% | 5% |
| 9–10 Mar | Angus Reid Public Opinion/PoliticalBetting.com | 2,003 | 26% | 39% | 18% | 17% | 13% |
| 8–9 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 1,524 | 32% | 36% | 20% | 12% | 4% |
| 7–8 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 1,747 | 34% | 39% | 16% | 11% | 5% |
| 5–8 Mar | Opinium/Daily Express | 1,960 | 30% | 37% | 16% | 16% | 7% |
| 3–8 Mar | Harris Interactive/Metro | 1,498 | 29% | 37% | 18% | 16% | 8% |
| 4–5 Mar | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,558 | 33% | 38% | 17% | 12% | 5% |
| 4–5 Mar | BPIX/Mail on Sunday | 5,655 | 34% | 36% | 18% | 12% | 2% |
| 3–4 Mar | ICM/News of the World | 1,005 | 31% | 40% | 18% | 11% | 9% |
| 3–4 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 1,640 | 32% | 38% | 17% | 13% | 6% |
| 2–3 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 1,661 | 32% | 38% | 19% | 12% | 6% |
| 25 Feb – 3 Mar | TNS-BMRB | 1,973 | 31% | 39% | 19% | 11% | 8% |
| 1–2 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 1,479 | 33% | 38% | 16% | 13% | 5% |
| 28 Feb-1 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 1,505 | 32% | 39% | 17% | 12% | 7% |
| 26–28 Feb | ComRes/The Independent | 1,005 | 32% | 37% | 19% | 12% | 5% |
| 25–26 Feb | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,436 | 35% | 37% | 17% | 11% | 2% |
| 26 Feb | The Office of National Statistics revises fourth quarter GDP figures for 2009 from growth of 0.1% to 0.3%. | ||||||
| 24–25 Feb | YouGov/The Sun | 1,472 | 33% | 39% | 16% | 12% | 6% |
| 23–24 Feb | YouGov/The Sun | 1,473 | 32% | 38% | 19% | 10% | 6% |
| 18–24 Feb | TNS-BMRB | 1,954 | 32% | 36% | 21% | 12% | 4% |
| 22–23 Feb | YouGov/The Sun | 1,469 | 32% | 38% | 17% | 12% | 6% |
| 21–22 Feb | YouGov/The Sun | 1,578 | 33% | 39% | 17% | 12% | 6% |
| 19–22 Feb | Ipsos MORI/Daily Telegraph | 1,533 | 32% | 37% | 19% | 12% | 5% |
| 16–22 Feb | Harris Interative/Metro | 918 | 30% | 39% | 22% | 9% | 9% |
| 19–21 Feb | ICM/The Guardian | 1,004 | 30% | 37% | 20% | 13% | 7% |
| 18–19 Feb | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,472 | 33% | 39% | 17% | 11% | 6% |
| 16–19 Feb | Angus Reid Public Opinion/PoliticalBetting.com | 4,004 | 26% | 38% | 19% | 16% | 12% |
| 17–18 Feb | YouGov/The Sun | 1,558 | 32% | 39% | 18% | 11% | 7% |
| 16–17 Feb | ComRes/Theos | 1,085 | 30% | 38% | 20% | 11% | 8% |
| 16–17 Feb | Angus Reid Public Opinion/PoliticalBetting.com | 2,002 | 26% | 40% | 18% | 16% | 14% |
| 16–17 Feb | YouGov/The Sun | 2,145 | 30% | 39% | 18% | 13% | 9% |
| 10–11 Feb | ComRes/The Independent | 1,009 | 29% | 40% | 21% | 10% | 11% |
| 9–10 Feb | Angus Reid Public Opinion/PoliticalBetting.com | 2,002 | 25% | 38% | 20% | 16% | 13% |
| 5–7 Feb | Populus/The Times | 1,502 | 30% | 40% | 20% | 11% | 10% |
| 3–4 Feb | ICM/Sunday Telegraph | 1,001 | 30% | 39% | 20% | 11% | 9% |
| 29–31 Jan | ComRes/The Independent | 1,001 | 31% | 38% | 19% | 12% | 7% |
| 29–30 Jan | BPIX/Mail on Sunday | 1,524 | 30% | 39% | 18% | 13% | 9% |
| 28–29 Jan | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,054 | 31% | 38% | 19% | 12% | 7% |
| 26–28 Jan | YouGov/The People | 2,044 | 31% | 40% | 18% | 11% | 9% |
| 26–28 Jan | Ipsos MORI/Daily Mirror | 1,001 | 32% | 40% | 16% | 12% | 8% |
| 26–27 Jan | Angus Reid Public Opinion/PoliticalBetting.com | 2,004 | 24% | 40% | 19% | 16% | 16% |
| 26 Jan | The Office of National Statistics announces that the UK economy exited recession in the fourth quarter of 2009 with growth of 0.1%. | ||||||
| 22–24 Jan | ICM/The Guardian | 1,000 | 29% | 40% | 21% | 10% | 11% |
| 20–21 Jan | ComRes/Sunday Mirror | 1,004 | 29% | 38% | 19% | 14% | 9% |
| 20 Jan | The unemployment level unexpectedly falls to 7.8%, the first fall since May 2008. | ||||||
| 14–15 Jan | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,033 | 31% | 40% | 18% | 11% | 9% |
| 13–14 Jan | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday | 1,005 | 29% | 42% | 19% | 10% | 13% |
| 9–10 Jan | Angus Reid Strategies/PoliticalBetting.com | 2,010 | 24% | 40% | 20% | 17% | 16% |
| 8–10 Jan | Populus/The Times | 1,509 | 28% | 41% | 19% | 12% | 13% |
| 6–7 Jan | ICM/Sunday Telegraph | 1,003 | 30% | 40% | 18% | 12% | 10% |
| 6–7 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 2,832 | 30% | 42% | 16% | 12% | 12% |
| 6 Jan | Former Cabinet ministers Geoff Hoon and Patricia Hewitt call for a secret ballot on Gordon Brown's leadership. The plot receives little support from Labour MPs, although support for Brown from his cabinet ministers appears only lukewarm. |
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| 5–6 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 4,167 | 31% | 40% | 17% | 12% | 9% |
2009
| Date(s) Conducted | |Sample Size | Labour Labour Party (UK) The Labour Party is a centre-left democratic socialist party in the United Kingdom. It surpassed the Liberal Party in general elections during the early 1920s, forming minority governments under Ramsay MacDonald in 1924 and 1929-1931. The party was in a wartime coalition from 1940 to 1945, after... | Conservative Conservative Party (UK) The Conservative Party, formally the Conservative and Unionist Party, is a centre-right political party in the United Kingdom that adheres to the philosophies of conservatism and British unionism. It is the largest political party in the UK, and is currently the largest single party in the House... | Liberal Democrats | Other | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 1,848 | 30% | 40% | 17% | 12% | 10% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19–20 Dec | ComRes/The Independent | 1,006 | 29% | 38% | 19% | 14% | 9% |
| 16–18 Dec | Angus Reid Strategies/Political Betting.com | 2,010 | 24% | 40% | 20% | 15% | 16% |
| 15–17 Dec | YouGov/The People | 2,052 | 28% | 40% | 18% | 14% | 12% |
| 11–13 Dec | ICM/The Guardian | 1,009 | 31% | 40% | 18% | 11% | 9% |
| 11–13 Dec | Ipsos MORI/The Observer | 1,017 | 26% | 43% | 20% | 12% | 17% |
| 10–11 Dec | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,044 | 31% | 40% | 16% | 13% | 9% |
| 10–11 Dec | BPIX/Mail on Sunday | 2,036 | 30% | 41% | 17% | 12% | 11% |
| 9–10 Dec | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday | 1,001 | 24% | 41% | 21% | 14% | 17% |
| 8–10 Dec | Angus Reid Strategies/PoliticalBetting.com | 2,002 | 23% | 40% | 19% | 19% | 17% |
| 9 Dec | Alistair Darling delivers his Pre-Budget Report, which includes an increase in National Insurance contributions and a one-off 50% tax on bankers' bonuses Bankers' bonuses Bankers' bonuses are traditionally paid or awarded to some workers in the finance industry at the end of the bank's financial year. They are intended to reward employee behavior during that year that has increased the profits of the bank or some relevant part of its business , as shown by the annual... . |
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| 4–6 Dec | Populus/The Times | 1,505 | 30% | 38% | 20% | 12% | 8% |
| 3–4 Dec | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,095 | 27% | 40% | 18% | 15% | 13% |
| 2–3 Dec | ICM/Sunday Telegraph | 1,001 | 29% | 40% | 19% | 12% | 11% |
| 27–29 Nov | ComRes/The Independent | 1,003 | 27% | 37% | 20% | 16% | 10% |
| 24–26 Nov | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,004 | 29% | 39% | 19% | 13% | 10% |
| 20–23 Nov | Angus Reid Strategies/PoliticalBetting.com | 2,004 | 22% | 39% | 21% | 18% | 17% |
| 13–15 Nov | Ipsos MORI/The Observer | 1,006 | 31% | 37% | 17% | 13% | 6% |
| 13–15 Nov | ICM/The Guardian | 1,010 | 29% | 42% | 19% | 10% | 13% |
| 12–13 Nov | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,026 | 27% | 41% | 18% | 14% | 14% |
| 12 Nov | Glasgow North East by-election: Labour wins seat with a majority of over 8,000. | ||||||
| 11–12 Nov | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday | 1,007 | 25% | 39% | 17% | 19% | 14% |
| 6–8 Nov | Populus/The Times | 1,504 | 29% | 39% | 18% | 14% | 10% |
| 4–6 Nov | Angus Reid Strategies/PoliticalBetting.com | 2,000 | 24% | 38% | 20% | 17% | 14% |
| 4–5 Nov | YouGov/Channel 4 News | 1,021 | 27% | 41% | 17% | 16% | 14% |
| 3 Nov | Conservative leader David Cameron announces a future Conservative government would not offer a referendum on the Lisbon Treaty in the light of its ratification by all 27 EU countries. |
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| 28–29 Oct | ICM/Sunday Telegraph | 1,007 | 25% | 42% | 21% | 13% | 17% |
| 27–29 Oct | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,024 | 28% | 41% | 16% | 15% | 13% |
| 23–25 Oct | ComRes/The Independent | 1,004 | 27% | 40% | 18% | 15% | 13% |
| 22–23 Oct | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 1,314 | 27% | 40% | 19% | 14% | 13% |
| 22 Oct | The British National Party leader, Nick Griffin, appears on 'Question Time' for the first time. | ||||||
| 16–18 Oct | ICM/The Guardian | 1,002 | 27% | 44% | 18% | 11% | 17% |
| 16–18 Oct | Ipsos MORI | 996 | 26% | 43% | 19% | 11% | 17% |
| 15–16 Oct | Angus Reid Strategies/PoliticalBetting.com | 2,077 | 23% | 40% | 20% | 15% | 17% |
| 15–16 Oct | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,025 | 30% | 41% | 17% | 12% | 11% |
| 14–15 Oct | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday | 1,008 | 28% | 40% | 19% | 13% | 12% |
| 9-11 Oct | Populus/The Times | 1,509 | 30% | 40% | 18% | 12% | 10% |
| 8–9 Oct | BPIX/Mail on Sunday | 2,136 | 29% | 43% | 16% | 12% | 14% |
| 8–9 Oct | BPIX/Daily Mail | 2,215 | 28% | 42% | 18% | 12% | 14% |
| 8–9 Oct | YouGov/The Sun | 2,161 | 28% | 42% | 18% | 12% | 14% |
| 8–9 Oct | YouGov/Sky News | 1,064 | 27% | 44% | 17% | 12% | 17% |
| 7–9 Oct | ICM/News of the World | 1,008 | 26% | 45% | 18% | 10% | 19% |
| 7–8 Oct | YouGov/Sky News | 1,074 | 31% | 40% | 18% | 11% | 9% |
| 6–7 Oct | YouGov/Sky News | 1,039 | 29% | 43% | 17% | 11% | 14% |
| 5–6 Oct | YouGov/Sky News | 1,223 | 28% | 41% | 18% | 13% | 13% |
| 5–8 Oct | The Conservatives hold their 2009 party conference in Manchester | ||||||
| 4–5 Oct | YouGov/Sky News | 1,102 | 27% | 40% | 20% | 13% | 13% |
| 3 Oct | YouGov/The People | 2,027 | 28% | 40% | 18% | 14% | 12% |
| 1–2 Oct | YouGov/Sky News | 1,053 | 29% | 41% | 17% | 13% | 12% |
| 30 Sep-1 Oct | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday | 1,022 | 28% | 40% | 19% | 13% | 12% |
| 30 Sep-1 Oct | YouGov/Sky News | 1,085 | 26% | 40% | 20% | 15% | 14% |
| 29–30 Sep | YouGov/Sky News | 1,078 | 30% | 37% | 21% | 12% | 7% |
| 28–29 Sep | YouGov/Sky News | 1,024 | 29% | 40% | 18% | 13% | 11% |
| 27–28 Sep | YouGov/Sky News | 1,051 | 29% | 39% | 20% | 13% | 10% |
| 27 Sep-1 Oct | Labour hold their 2009 party conference in Brighton | ||||||
| 25–27 Sep | Ipsos MORI | 1,003 | 24% | 36% | 25% | 15% | 11% over LD |
| 25–27 Sep | ComRes/The Independent | 1,003 | 23% | 38% | 23% | 16% | 15% |
| 27 SepP | BPIX/Mail on Sunday | Unknown | 25% | 40% | 22% | 13% | 15% |
| 24–25 Sep | YouGov/Sky News | 1,059 | 24% | 40% | 21% | 14% | 16% |
| 23–24 Sep | YouGov/Sky News | 1,057 | 25% | 38% | 23% | 14% | 13% |
| 23–24 Sep | ICM/News of the World | 1,003 | 26% | 40% | 23% | 11% | 14% |
| 22–24 Sep | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,026 | 26% | 39% | 20% | 15% | 13% |
| 22–23 Sep | YouGov/Sky News | 1,036 | 28% | 38% | 19% | 15% | 10% |
| 21–22 Sep | YouGov/Sky News | 1,062 | 27% | 39% | 20% | 13% | 12% |
| 20–21 Sep | YouGov/Sky News | 1,081 | 30% | 39% | 17% | 14% | 9% |
| 19–23 Sep | The Liberal Democrats hold their 2009 party conference in Bournemouth | ||||||
| 18–20 Sep | ICM/The Guardian | 1,001 | 26% | 43% | 19% | 12% | 17% |
| 11–13 Sep | Populus/The Times | 1,506 | 27% | 41% | 18% | 14% | 14% |
| 10–11 Sep | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,009 | 27% | 41% | 17% | 15% | 14% |
| 4–6 Sep | ComRes/The Independent | 1,005 | 24% | 40% | 21% | 15% | 16% |
| 4–6 Sep | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 1,573 | 27% | 40% | 18% | 15% | 13% |
| 27–28 Aug | YouGov/The Sun | 1,996 | 28% | 42% | 17% | 14% | 14% |
| 25–27 Aug | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,199 | 26% | 42% | 18% | 14% | 16% |
| 21–23 Aug | Ipsos MORI | 1,013 | 26% | 43% | 17% | 13% | 17% |
| 21–23 Aug | ICM/The Guardian | 1,004 | 25% | 41% | 19% | 14% | 16% |
| 19–20 Aug | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday | 1,013 | 24% | 41% | 18% | 16% | 17% |
| 13–14 Aug | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,007 | 28% | 42% | 18% | 13% | 14% |
| 12–13 Aug | ICM/Sunday Mirror | 1,005 | 26% | 43% | 19% | 12% | 17% |
| 28–30 July | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,334 | 27% | 41% | 18% | 15% | 14% |
| 24–26 July | ComRes/The Independent | 1,008 | 24% | 42% | 18% | 16% | 18% |
| 23 July | Norwich North by-election Norwich North by-election, 2009 The 2009 Norwich North by-election was a by-election for the United Kingdom Parliament's House of Commons constituency of Norwich North. The by-election took place due to the resignation of Ian Gibson after being banned from standing as a Labour candidate for the next general election... : Labour lose seat vacated by Ian Gibson Ian Gibson (politician) Ian Gibson is a British Labour Party politician, who was the Member of Parliament for Norwich North from 1997 to 2009... following the MPs' expenses scandal to the Conservatives on a 16.5% swing. |
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| 21–23 July | YouGov/The People | 2,218 | 25% | 40% | 20% | 16% | 15% |
| 17–19 July | Ipsos MORI | 1,012 | 24% | 40% | 18% | 18% | 16% |
| 17–19 July | Populus/The Times | 1,504 | 26% | 38% | 20% | 16% | 12% |
| 16–17 July | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,956 | 25% | 42% | 18% | 15% | 17% |
| 15–16 July | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday | 1,010 | 23% | 38% | 22% | 16% | 15% |
| 10–11 July | ICM/The Guardian | 1,000 | 27% | 41% | 20% | 12% | 14% |
| 1–3 July | YouGov/Fabian Society | 2,001 | 26% | 39% | 19% | 17% | 13% |
| 26–28 June | ComRes/The Independent | 1,007 | 25% | 36% | 19% | 20% | 11% |
| 24–26 June | YouGov/The People | 2,017 | 24% | 40% | 17% | 19% | 16% |
| 23–25 June | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,233 | 25% | 38% | 18% | 19% | 13% |
| 19–21 June | Ipsos MORI | 1,004 | 21% | 38% | 19% | 23% | 17% |
| 17–18 June | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday | 1,012 | 22% | 39% | 18% | 21% | 17% |
| 10–17 June | Harris Interative/Metro | 2,081 | 20% | 35% | 16% | 29% | 15% |
| 12–14 June | Ipsos MORI/UNISON | 1,252 | 25% | 39% | 19% | 17% | 14% |
| 12–14 June | ICM/The Guardian | 1,006 | 27% | 39% | 18% | 15% | 12% |
| 11–12 June | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,902 | 24% | 40% | 18% | 19% | 16% |
| 9–10 June | Populus/The Times | 1,001 | 24% | 36% | 19% | 21% | 12% |
| 8 June | European Parliament election European Parliament election, 2009 (United Kingdom) The European Parliament election was the United Kingdom's component of the 2009 European Parliament election, the voting for which was held on Thursday 4 June 2009, coinciding with the 2009 local elections in England. Most of the results of the election were announced on Sunday 7 June, after... : Labour fall into third place in the popular vote behind Conservatives and UKIP United Kingdom Independence Party The United Kingdom Independence Party is a eurosceptic and right-wing populist political party in the United Kingdom. Whilst its primary goal is the UK's withdrawal from the European Union, the party has expanded beyond its single-issue image to develop a more comprehensive party platform.UKIP... . National vote shares: Conservatives 27% (25 seats, +1), UKIP 16% (13 seats, +1), Labour 15% (13 seats, −5), Liberal Democrats 14% (11 seats, +1), Others 28%. |
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| 5–7 June | ComRes/The Independent | 1,001 | 22% | 38% | 20% | 20% | 16% |
| 5 June | Local elections United Kingdom local elections, 2009 The 2009 United Kingdom local elections were elections held to all 27 County Councils, three existing Unitary Authorities and five new Unitary Authorities, all in England, on 4 June 2009... : Labour lose control of all their county councils. National vote shares: Conservatives 38%, Liberal Democrats 28%, Labour 23%. In the aftermath of these results, Gordon Brown reshuffles his cabinet. |
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| 3 June | Communities and Local Government Secretary Hazel Blears resigns from cabinet in order to help Labour "reconnect" with the people, leading to speculation about the future of PM Gordon Brown. |
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| 2–3 June | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 4,014 | 21% | 37% | 19% | 23% | 16% |
| 2 June | It is revealed that Home Secretary Jacqui Smith and 2 junior ministers are to stand down from government at the forthcoming cabinet reshuffle. | ||||||
| 29–31 May | ComRes/The Independent | 1,005 | 22% | 30% | 18% | 30% | 8% |
| 29–31 May | Ipsos MORI | 1,001 | 18% | 40% | 18% | 24% | 22% |
| 27–29 May | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 5,016 | 22% | 39% | 18% | 21% | 17% |
| 27–28 May | ICM/Sunday Telegraph | 1,013 | 22% | 40% | 25% | 13% | 15% over LD |
| 27–28 May | Populus/The Times | 1,001 | 21% | 41% | 15% | 23% | 20% |
| 19–20 May | Populus/ITV News | 1,000 | 27% | 39% | 17% | 18% | 12% |
| 15–17 May | ICM/The Guardian | 1,002 | 28% | 39% | 20% | 14% | 11% |
| 17 MayP | BPIX/Mail on Sunday | Unknown | 20% | 42% | 15% | 23% | 22% |
| 14–16 May | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,235 | 23% | 39% | 19% | 19% | 16% |
| 13–14 May | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday | 1,010 | 21% | 40% | 18% | 21% | 19% |
| 13–14 May | YouGov/The Sun | 1,814 | 22% | 41% | 19% | 18% | 19% |
| 8–10 May | Populus/The Times | 1,504 | 26% | 39% | 22% | 13% | 13% |
| 8–9 May | BPIX/Mail on Sunday | Unknown | 23% | 45% | 17% | 15% | 22% |
| 8 May | The Daily Telegraph begins publishing full details of MPs' expenses | ||||||
| 7–8 May | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,209 | 27% | 43% | 18% | 12% | 16% |
| 1–4 May | ICM/Taxpayers' Alliance | 1,002 | 27% | 41% | 21% | 11% | 14% |
| 24–26 April | ComRes/The Independent | 1,003 | 26% | 45% | 17% | 12% | 19% |
| 23–24 April | YouGov/Sunday People | 1,855 | 27% | 45% | 17% | 12% | 18% |
| 22–23 April | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 1,896 | 27% | 45% | 18% | 10% | 18% |
| 22 April | The government unveils its budget, including the introduction of a 50% tax rate and a large increase in public borrowing | ||||||
| 17–19 April | Ipsos MORI | 1,011 | 28% | 41% | 22% | 9% | 13% |
| 17–19 April | ICM/The Guardian | 1,005 | 30% | 40% | 19% | 11% | 10% |
| 16–18 April | BPIX/The Mail on Sunday | 1,889 | 26% | 45% | 17% | 12% | 19% |
| 15–16 April | Marketing Sciences/Sunday Telegraph | 1,007 | 26% | 43% | 21% | 10% | 17% |
| 12 April | Gordon Brown's aide Damian McBride resigns after it is revealed he wrote a series of emails proposing that false allegations be made about the private lives of several Tory MPs. |
||||||
| 3–5 April | Populus/The Times | 1,512 | 30% | 43% | 18% | 9% | 13% |
| 3–4 April | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,125 | 34% | 41% | 16% | 10% | 7% |
| 2 April | G-20 Leaders' Summit held in London and hosted by Gordon Brown US$1.1 trillion package announced to stimulate global economic growth |
||||||
| 27–29 March | ComRes/The Independent | 1,002 | 28% | 40% | 18% | 14% | 12% |
| 25–26 March | ICM/Sunday Telegraph | 1,003 | 31% | 44% | 18% | 8% | 13% |
| 24–26 March | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,104 | 31% | 41% | 17% | 11% | 10% |
| 18–19 March | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday | 1,002 | 30% | 41% | 17% | 12% | 11% |
| 13–15 March | ICM/The Guardian | 1,004 | 30% | 42% | 20% | 8% | 12% |
| 13–15 March | Ipsos MORI | 1,007 | 32% | 42% | 14% | 11% | 10% |
| 12–13 March | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,840 | 31% | 41% | 17% | 11% | 10% |
| 6–8 March | Populus/The Times | 1,504 | 30% | 42% | 19% | 9% | 12% |
| 27 Feb-1 Mar | ComRes/The Independent | 1,006 | 28% | 44% | 17% | 12% | 16% |
| 25 Feb | David Cameron's disabled elder son, Ivan, dies aged 6 | ||||||
| 24–26 Feb | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,063 | 31% | 41% | 15% | 12% | 10% |
| 20–22 Feb | ICM/The Guardian | 1,004 | 30% | 42% | 18% | 10% | 12% |
| 13–15 Feb | Ipsos MORI | 1,001 | 28% | 48% | 17% | 7% | 20% |
| 12–13 Feb | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,711 | 32% | 44% | 14% | 10% | 12% |
| 11–12 Feb | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday | 1,002 | 25% | 41% | 22% | 12% | 16% |
| 6–8 Feb | Populus/The Times | 1,504 | 28% | 42% | 18% | 12% | 14% |
| 4–5 Feb | ICM/Sunday Telegraph | 1,010 | 28% | 40% | 22% | 10% | 12% |
| 27–29 Jan | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,338 | 32% | 43% | 16% | 10% | 11% |
| 28 Jan | Hundreds of workers commence wildcat strikes at the Lindsey Oil Refinery in protest of contracts awarded to foreign companies at a time of high local levels of unemployment |
||||||
| 23–25 Jan | ICM/The Guardian | 1,003 | 32% | 44% | 16% | 8% | 12% |
| 23 Jan | The United Kingdom officially enters recession for the first time in 18 years | ||||||
| 21–22 Jan | ComRes/The Independent | 1,012 | 28% | 43% | 16% | 13% | 15% |
| 16–18 Jan | Ipsos MORI | 1,005 | 30% | 44% | 17% | 9% | 14% |
| 15–16 Jan | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,077 | 32% | 45% | 14% | 9% | 13% |
| 15 Jan | The Government announces that the controversial third runway at Heathrow airport will be built | ||||||
| 14–15 Jan | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday | 1,009 | 32% | 41% | 15% | 12% | 9% |
| 9-11 Jan | Populus/The Times | 1,500 | 33% | 43% | 15% | 9% | 10% |
| 7–8 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,835 | 34% | 41% | 15% | 10% | 7% |
2008
| Date(s) Conducted | |Sample Size | Labour Labour Party (UK) The Labour Party is a centre-left democratic socialist party in the United Kingdom. It surpassed the Liberal Party in general elections during the early 1920s, forming minority governments under Ramsay MacDonald in 1924 and 1929-1931. The party was in a wartime coalition from 1940 to 1945, after... | Conservative Conservative Party (UK) The Conservative Party, formally the Conservative and Unionist Party, is a centre-right political party in the United Kingdom that adheres to the philosophies of conservatism and British unionism. It is the largest political party in the UK, and is currently the largest single party in the House... | Liberal Democrats | Other | ComRes/The Independent | 1,000 | 34% | 39% | 16% | 11% | 5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16–18 Dec | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,241 | 35% | 42% | 14% | 9% | 7% |
| 12–14 Dec | Ipsos MORI | 1,000 | 35% | 39% | 15% | 11% | 4% |
| 12–14 Dec | ICM/The Guardian | 1,003 | 33% | 38% | 19% | 10% | 5% |
| 11–12 Dec | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,098 | 35% | 41% | 15% | 10% | 6% |
| 10–11 Dec | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday | 1,003 | 36% | 37% | 14% | 12% | 1% |
| 10–11 Dec | Ipsos MORI | 1,007 | 36% | 41% | 11% | 12% | 5% |
| 5–7 Dec | Populus/The Times | 1,505 | 35% | 39% | 17% | 9% | 4% |
| 28–30 Nov | ComRes/The Independent | 1,005 | 36% | 37% | 17% | 10% | 1% |
| 27–28 Nov | Ipsos MORI/The Observer | 1,017 | 32% | 43% | 15% | 10% | 11% |
| 25–26 Nov | ICM/The Guardian | 1,027 | 30% | 45% | 18% | 7% | 15% |
| 27 Nov | Conservative MP Damian Green is arrested over alleged leaks of Home Office information, prompting a widespread row over the circumstances surrounding his arrest |
||||||
| 24–25 Nov | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 1,556 | 36% | 40% | 14% | 10% | 4% |
| 24 Nov | 2008 Pre-Budget Report released, including a temporary cut in VAT to 15%, and the introduction of a new 45% income tax band from 2011 |
||||||
| 19–20 Nov | ICM/Sunday Mirror | 1,010 | 31% | 42% | 19% | 8% | 11% |
| 14–16 Nov | Ipsos MORI | 1,002 | 37% | 40% | 12% | 11% | 3% |
| 13–14 Nov | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,080 | 36% | 41% | 14% | 10% | 5% |
| 12–13 Nov | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday | 1,010 | 32% | 43% | 12% | 13% | 11% |
| 7–9 Nov | Populus/The Times | 1,503 | 35% | 41% | 16% | 8% | 6% |
| 5–6 Nov | ICM/Sunday Telegraph | 1,005 | 30% | 43% | 18% | 9% | 13% |
| 6 Nov | Glenrothes by-election: Labour unexpectedly hold seat with a 6,737 majority. Bank of England cuts interest rates by 1.5% to 3%. |
||||||
| 2 NovP | BPIX | ? | 31% | 45% | 13% | 11% | 14% |
| 27–29 Oct | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,271 | 33% | 42% | 15% | 10% | 9% |
| 24–26 Oct | ComRes/The Independent | 1,001 | 31% | 39% | 16% | 14% | 8% |
| 17–19 Oct | Ipsos MORI | 1,004 | 30% | 45% | 14% | 11% | 15% |
| 17–19 Oct | ICM/The Guardian | 1,007 | 30% | 42% | 21% | 7% | 12% |
| 16–18 Oct | BPIX | 2,046 | 30% | 46% | 13% | 11% | 16% |
| 15–17 Oct | YouGov/Daily Mirror | 2,029 | 34% | 42% | 14% | 10% | 8% |
| 15–16 Oct | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday | 1,005 | 31% | 40% | 16% | 14% | 9% |
| 9–10 Oct | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,941 | 33% | 43% | 14% | 10% | 10% |
| 8 Oct | Government announce £500bn bank rescue plan amid the ongoing global financial crisis |
||||||
| 3–5 Oct | Populus/The Times | 1,503 | 30% | 45% | 15% | 10% | 15% |
| 1–3 Oct | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,048 | 31% | 45% | 15% | 9% | 14% |
| 1 Oct | David Cameron makes his speech to the Conservative conference | ||||||
| 26–28 Sep | ComRes/The Independent | 1,017 | 29% | 41% | 18% | 12% | 12% |
| 24–26 Sep | BPIX | 2,020 | 31% | 43% | 17% | 9% | 12% |
| 24–25 Sep | ICM/The Guardian | 1,012 | 32% | 41% | 18% | 9% | 9% |
| 23–24 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 1,536 | 31% | 41% | 16% | 12% | 10% |
| 23 Sep | Gordon Brown delivers his keynote speech to Labour Conference | ||||||
| 17–18 Sep | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday | 1,010 | 27% | 39% | 21% | 12% | 12% |
| 17–19 Sep | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,227 | 24% | 44% | 20% | 12% | 20% |
| 17 Sep | Nick Clegg Nick Clegg Nicholas William Peter "Nick" Clegg is a British Liberal Democrat politician who is currently the Deputy Prime Minister, Lord President of the Council and Minister for Constitutional and Political Reform in the coalition government of which David Cameron is the Prime Minister... delivers his speech to Liberal Democrat conference |
||||||
| 12–14 Sep | Ipsos MORI | 1,017 | 24% | 52% | 12% | 12% | 28% |
| 10–12 Sep | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,161 | 27% | 46% | 16% | 11% | 19% |
| 3–4 Sep | ComRes/The Independent | 1,013 | 25% | 44% | 17% | 14% | 19% |
| 29–31 Aug | Populus/The Times | 1,506 | 27% | 43% | 18% | 12% | 16% |
| 26–27 Aug | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,267 | 26% | 45% | 16% | 13% | 19% |
| 20–21 Aug | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday | 1,014 | 25% | 46% | 16% | 13% | 21% |
| 15–17 Aug | ICM/The Guardian | 1,002 | 29% | 44% | 19% | 8% | 15% |
| 15–17 Aug | Ipsos MORI | 1,005 | 24% | 48% | 16% | 12% | 24% |
| 14–15 Aug | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,745 | 25% | 45% | 18% | 12% | 20% |
| 6–8 Aug | YouGov/News of the World | 2,031 | 26% | 46% | 17% | 11% | 20% |
| 31 Jul – 2 Aug | BPIX | 1,333 | 24% | 47% | 16% | 13% | 23% |
| 30 Jul – 1 Aug | ICM/Sunday Express | 1,001 | 29% | 45% | 16% | 10% | 16% |
| 29–31 July | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 1,949 | 25% | 47% | 16% | 12% | 22% |
| 25–27 July | Populus/The Times | 1,002 | 27% | 43% | 18% | 12% | 16% |
| 23–25 July | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,120 | 26% | 45% | 17% | 12% | 19% |
| 23–24 July | ComRes/The Independent | 1,021 | 24% | 46% | 18% | 12% | 22% |
| 24 July | Glasgow East by-election: Labour lose their 3rd safest Scottish seat to the SNP on a 22.5% swing |
||||||
| 18–20 July | Ipsos MORI | 1,016 | 27% | 47% | 15% | 11% | 20% |
| 18–20 July | ICM/The Guardian | 1,007 | 28% | 43% | 19% | 10% | 15% |
| 16–17 July | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday | 1,016 | 24% | 45% | 16% | 15% | 21% |
| 10–11 July | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,832 | 25% | 47% | 16% | 12% | 22% |
| 4–6 July | Populus/The Times | 1,507 | 28% | 41% | 19% | 12% | 13% |
| 25–26 June | ComRes/The Independent | 1,007 | 25% | 46% | 18% | 11% | 21% |
| 23–25 June | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,163 | 28% | 46% | 15% | 11% | 18% |
| 26 June | Henley by-election: Conservatives hold Boris Johnson's former seat, whilst Labour fall to fifth place behind Green Party and BNP |
||||||
| 20–22 June | ICM/The Guardian | 1,000 | 25% | 45% | 20% | 10% | 20% |
| 18–20 June | BPIX | 2,385 | 26% | 49% | 14% | 11% | 23% |
| 13–15 June | Ipsos MORI | 1,012 | 28% | 45% | 16% | 11% | 17% |
| 11–12 June | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday | 1,012 | 26% | 44% | 17% | 13% | 18% |
| 12–13 June | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,769 | 25% | 47% | 18% | 10% | 22% |
| 6–8 June | Populus/The Times | 1,508 | 25% | 45% | 20% | 10% | 20% |
| 4–5 June | ICM/The Sunday Telegraph | 1,023 | 26% | 42% | 21% | 11% | 16% |
| 30 May-1 June | ComRes/The Independent | 1,006 | 30% | 44% | 16% | 10% | 14% |
| 27–29 May | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,241 | 23% | 47% | 18% | 12% | 24% |
| 22 May | Crewe and Nantwich by-election: Conservatives gain seat from Labour with a 17% swing |
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| 16–18 May | ICM/The Guardian | 1,008 | 27% | 41% | 22% | 10% | 14% |
| 15–16 May | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,854 | 25% | 45% | 18% | 12% | 20% |
| 14–15 May | ComRes/The Independent on Sunday | 1,004 | 26% | 43% | 19% | 12% | 17% |
| 7–8 May | YouGov/The Sun | 1,571 | 23% | 49% | 17% | 11% | 26% |
| 2–4 May | Populus/The Times | 1,509 | 29% | 40% | 19% | 11% | 11% |
| 1 May | Local elections held across England & Wales in which Labour falls to 3rd place in the popular vote Labour loses London Mayoralty to the Conservatives |
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| 25–27 Apr | ComRes/The Independent | 1,005 | 26% | 40% | 20% | 14% | 14% |
| 23–24 Apr | ICM/The Sunday Telegraph | 1,010 | 29% | 39% | 20% | 12% | 10% |
| 21–23 Apr | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,073 | 26% | 44% | 17% | 13% | 18% |
| 17–22 Apr | Ipsos-MORI/The Observer | 1,059 | 31% | 40% | 19% | 10% | 9% |
| 18–20 Apr | ICM/The Gurdian | 1,000 | 34% | 39% | 19% | 8% | 5% |
| 16–17 Apr | Populus/Sunday Mirror | 1,006 | 30% | 40% | 19% | 11% | 10% |
| 10–11 Apr | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,755 | 28% | 44% | 17% | 11% | 16% |
| 8–10 Apr | Populus/The Times | 1,502 | 33% | 39% | 17% | 6% | 6% |
| 2–3 Apr | ICM/The Sunday Telegraph | 1,010 | 32% | 43% | 18% | 7% | 11% |
| 28–30 Mar | ComRes/The Independent | 1,004 | 31% | 38% | 17% | 14% | 7% |
| 25–27 Mar | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 1,926 | 29% | 43% | 17% | 11% | 14% |
| 13–18 Mar | Ipsos MORI | 1,983 | 35% | 40% | 18% | 7% | 5% |
| 14–16 Mar | ICM/The Guardian | 1,003 | 29% | 42% | 21% | 8% | 13% |
| 13–14 Mar | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,311 | 27% | 43% | 16% | 13% | 16% |
| 12–13 Mar | ICM/News of the World | 1,002 | 31% | 40% | 20% | 9% | 9% |
| 12 Mar | Alistair Darling delivers his first budget as Chancellor | ||||||
| 7–9 Mar | Populus/The Times | 1,502 | 34% | 37% | 19% | 10% | 3% |
| 25–27 Feb | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,011 | 33% | 40% | 16% | 11% | 7% |
| 21–26 Feb | Ipsos MORI | 2,063 | 37% | 39% | 16% | 8% | 2% |
| 22–24 Feb | ComRes/The Independent | 1,010 | 30% | 41% | 17% | 12% | 11% |
| 18–20 Feb | YouGov/The Economist | 2,118 | 34% | 40% | 16% | 11% | 6% |
| 15–17 Feb | ICM/The Guardian | 1,003 | 34% | 37% | 21% | 8% | 3% |
| 17 Feb | The Government nationalises troubled bank Northern Rock | ||||||
| 14–15 Feb | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,469 | 32% | 41% | 16% | 11% | 9% |
| 1–3 Feb | Populus/The Times | 1,504 | 31% | 40% | 17% | 12% | 9% |
| 30–31 Jan | ICM/The Sunday Telegraph | 1,012 | 32% | 37% | 21% | 10% | 5% |
| 25–27 Jan | ComRes/The Independent | 1,003 | 30% | 38% | 17% | 15% | 8% |
| 24 Jan | Peter Hain resigns as Work and Pensions and Wales Secretary | ||||||
| 21–23 Jan | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 1,992 | 33% | 41% | 16% | 10% | 8% |
| 17–22 Jan | Ipsos MORI | 2,045 | 38% | 37% | 16% | 9% | 1% |
| 18–20 Jan | ICM/The Guardian | 1,009 | 35% | 37% | 20% | 8% | 2% |
| 10–11 Jan | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,139 | 33% | 43% | 14% | 11% | 10% |
| 9–10 Jan | ICM/The Sunday Telegraph | 1,011 | 33% | 40% | 18% | 9% | 7% |
| 9–10 Jan | Ipsos MORI/The Sun | 1,006 | 32% | 42% | 15% | 11% | 10% |
| 4–6 Jan | Populus/The Times | 1,509 | 33% | 37% | 19% | 11% | 4% |
2007
| Date(s) Conducted | |Sample Size | Labour Labour Party (UK) The Labour Party is a centre-left democratic socialist party in the United Kingdom. It surpassed the Liberal Party in general elections during the early 1920s, forming minority governments under Ramsay MacDonald in 1924 and 1929-1931. The party was in a wartime coalition from 1940 to 1945, after... | Conservative Conservative Party (UK) The Conservative Party, formally the Conservative and Unionist Party, is a centre-right political party in the United Kingdom that adheres to the philosophies of conservatism and British unionism. It is the largest political party in the UK, and is currently the largest single party in the House... | Liberal Democrats | Other | ICM/The Guardian | 1,034 | 34% | 39% | 18% | 9% | 5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17–19 Dec | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,060 | 31% | 43% | 16% | 11% | 12% |
| 18 Dec | Nick Clegg wins Liberal Democrat leadership election | ||||||
| 14–16 Dec | ComRes/The Independent | 1,004 | 30% | 41% | 16% | 12% | 11% |
| 13–14 Dec | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,481 | 32% | 45% | 14% | 10% | 13% |
| 7–9 Dec | Populus/The Times | 1,506 | 32% | 40% | 16% | 11% | 8% |
| 29 Nov-7 Dec | Ipsos MORI | 1,859 | 35% | 42% | 14% | 9% | 7% |
| 28–29 Nov | ICM/News of the World | 1,011 | 30% | 41% | 19% | 10% | 11% |
| 26–29 Nov | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 4,004 | 32% | 43% | 14% | 11% | 11% |
| 23–27 Nov | Ipsos MORI | 1,933 | 32% | 41% | 17% | 10% | 9% |
| 23–25 Nov | ComRes/The Independent | 1,009 | 27% | 41% | 18% | 15% | 13% |
| 21–22 Nov | ICM/The Guardian | 1,005 | 31% | 37% | 21% | 10% | 6% |
| 21–22 Nov | YouGov/Channel 4 News | 1,600 | 32% | 41% | 14% | 13% | 9% |
| 20 Nov | Child Benefit Data Scandal: Revenue & Customs confirm they have lost two discs containing bank details of 7.25m child benefit claimants |
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| 14–16 Nov | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,983 | 35% | 41% | 13% | 11% | 6% |
| 8–10 Nov | ICM/Sunday Express | 1,001 | 35% | 43% | 15% | 7% | 8% |
| 2–4 Nov | Populus/The Times | 1,503 | 37% | 36% | 16% | 11% | 1% |
| 31 Oct-1 Nov | Ipsos MORI/The Sun | 1,013 | 35% | 40% | 13% | 12% | 5% |
| 26–28 Oct | ICM/The Guardian | 1,011 | 35% | 40% | 18% | 7% | 5% |
| 26–28 Oct | ComRes/The Independent | 1,002 | 33% | 42% | 15% | 10% | 8% |
| 22–24 Oct | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,105 | 38% | 41% | 11% | 10% | 3% |
| 18–23 Oct | Ipsos MORI/The Observer | 1,987 | 41% | 40% | 13% | 6% | 1% |
| 15 Oct | Sir Menzies Campbell resigns as Liberal Democrat leader | ||||||
| 10–11 Oct | ICM/Sunday Telegraph | 1,010 | 36% | 43% | 14% | 8% | 7% |
| 10 Oct | Ipsos MORI/The Sun | 1,007 | 38% | 41% | 11% | 10% | 3% |
| 5–6 Oct | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,757 | 38% | 41% | 11% | 10% | 3% |
| 5–7 Oct | Populus/The Times | 1,008 | 40% | 38% | 12% | 10% | 2% |
| 6 Oct | After weeks of speculation, Gordon Brown announces he will not be calling a general election "in the next period" |
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| 3–4 Oct | YouGov/Channel 4 News | 1,741 | 40% | 36% | 13% | 11% | 4% |
| 3–4 Oct | ICM/The Guardian | 1,008 | 38% | 38% | 16% | 8% | 0% |
| 2–3 Oct | Populus/The Times | 1,000 | 39% | 36% | 15% | 10% | 3% |
| 3 Oct | David Cameron delivers his speech to Conservative conference | ||||||
| 26–28 Sep | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,165 | 43% | 32% | 15% | 10% | 11% |
| 27–28 Sep | Ipsos MORI/The Observer | 1,000 | 41% | 34% | 16% | 9% | 7% |
| 26–27 Sep | Populus/The Times | 1,002 | 41% | 31% | 17% | 10% | 10% |
| 20–26 Sep | Ipsos MORI | 1,964 | 44% | 31% | 15% | 10% | 13% |
| 24–25 Sep | YouGov/Channel 4 News | 1,341 | 44% | 33% | 13% | 11% | 11% |
| 24 Sep | Gordon Brown delivers first conference speech as Labour leader | ||||||
| 20–22 Sep | Ipsos MORI/The Sun | 1,009 | 42% | 34% | 14% | 10% | 8% |
| 19–21 Sep | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,085 | 39% | 33% | 16% | 12% | 6% |
| 19–20 Sep | ICM/Sunday Mirror | 1,029 | 39% | 33% | 19% | 9% | 6% |
| 13–16 Sep | ICM/The Guardian | 1,005 | 40% | 32% | 20% | 8% | 8% |
| 13–14 Sep | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,942 | 39% | 34% | 15% | 12% | 5% |
| 11–12 Sep | ComRes/The Independent | 1,005 | 37% | 34% | 15% | 14% | 3% |
| 31 Aug-2 Sep | Populus/The Times | 1,506 | 37% | 36% | 18% | 9% | 1% |
| 29–31 Aug | YouGov/GMTV | 2,154 | 38% | 35% | 15% | 12% | 3% |
| 29–30 Aug | ComRes/The Independent | 1,016 | 35% | 36% | 14% | 14% | 1% |
| 23–29 Aug | Ipsos MORI/The Sun | 1,941 | 41% | 36% | 16% | 7% | 5% |
| 25–28 Aug | Populus/Conservative Party | 530 | 37% | 36% | 16% | 10% | 1% |
| 24–28 Aug | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,266 | 41% | 33% | 14% | 12% | 9% |
| 22–23 Aug | ICM/The Guardian | 1,016 | 39% | 34% | 18% | 9% | 5% |
| 9–10 Aug | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,966 | 42% | 32% | 14% | 12% | 10% |
| 8–10 Aug | ICM/Sunday Mirror | 1,007 | 39% | 33% | 18% | 10% | 6% |
| 8–9 Aug | Ipsos MORI/The Sun | 531 | 38% | 33% | 15% | 14% | 5% |
| 27–29 July | Populus/The Times | 1,511 | 39% | 33% | 15% | 13% | 6% |
| 27–29 July | Communicate/The Independent | 1,006 | 37% | 34% | 16% | 14% | 3% |
| 23–25 July | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 1,877 | 41% | 32% | 16% | 11% | 9% |
| 20–22 July | ICM/The Guardian | 1,005 | 38% | 32% | 20% | 10% | 6% |
| 19–20 July | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,664 | 40% | 33% | 15% | 12% | 7% |
| 12–17 July | Ipsos MORI/The Observer | 1,919 | 41% | 35% | 15% | 9% | 6% |
| 4–5 July | ICM/Sunday Mirror | 1,006 | 37% | 35% | 17% | 10% | 2% |
| 1 July | Populus/The Times | 1,504 | 37% | 34% | 18% | 11% | 3% |
| 30 June | Glasgow Airport Terrorist Attack | ||||||
| 28–29 June | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 1,886 | 38% | 35% | 15% | 12% | 3% |
| 29 June | Two cars bombs are discovered in central London | ||||||
| 27–28 June | ICM/The Guardian | 1,005 | 39% | 35% | 18% | 8% | 4% |
| 27 June | Gordon Brown is appointed Prime Minister | ||||||
| 22–24 June | Communicate/The Independent | 1,005 | 32% | 37% | 18% | 13% | 5% |
| 14–20 June | Ipsos MORI/The Observer | 1,970 | 39% | 36% | 15% | 10% | 3% |
| 14–15 June | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,753 | 35% | 37% | 14% | 14% | 2% |
| 1–3 June | Populus | 1,503 | 33% | 36% | 17% | 14% | 3% |
| 30–31 May | ICM/Sunday Telegraph | 1,014 | 32% | 37% | 21% | 10% | 5% |
| 25–28 May | Communicate/The Independent | 1,003 | 31% | 35% | 19% | 15% | 4% |
| 21–23 May | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,050 | 33% | 39% | 15% | 13% | 6% |
| 18–20 May | ICM/The Guardian | 1,003 | 32% | 34% | 21% | 12% | 2% |
| 11–13 May | Populus/The Times | 1,504 | 33% | 37% | 17% | 13% | 4% |
| 10–11 May | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,962 | 34% | 38% | 15% | 14% | 4% |
| 10 May | Tony Blair announces his resignation as Labour Party leader and Prime Minister |
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| 3 May | Election 2007: Labour lose Scottish Parliament election to the SNP | ||||||
| 23–25 Apr | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,019 | 32% | 37% | 18% | 14% | 5% |
| 19–25 Apr | Ipsos MORI/The Observer | 1,163 | 31% | 38% | 20% | 11% | 7% |
| 20–22 Apr | ICM/The Guardian | 1,005 | 30% | 37% | 21% | 12% | 7% |
| 13–15 Apr | Populus/The Times | 1,503 | 29% | 37% | 20% | 14% | 8% |
| 4–5 Apr | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,218 | 31% | 39% | 16% | 14% | 8% |
| 26–28 Mar | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,042 | 32% | 39% | 17% | 13% | 7% |
| 23–25 Mar | Communicate | 1,002 | 31% | 35% | 20% | 14% | 4% |
| 21–22 Mar | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,752 | 31% | 39% | 16% | 14% | 8% |
| 16–18 Mar | ICM/The Guardian | 1,011 | 31% | 41% | 18% | 10% | 10% |
| 15–16 Mar | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,897 | 32% | 38% | 16% | 14% | 6% |
| 9–15 Mar | Ipsos MORI | 1,983 | 33% | 41% | 17% | 9% | 8% |
| 2–4 Mar | Populus/The Times | 1,509 | 30% | 38% | 18% | 14% | 8% |
| 23–25 Feb | Communicate | 1,001 | 29% | 40% | 17% | 14% | 11% |
| 19–21 Feb | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,292 | 32% | 37% | 17% | 14% | 5% |
| 16–18 Feb | ICM/The Guardian | 1,000 | 31% | 40% | 19% | 10% | 9% |
| 8–9 Feb | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,019 | 32% | 37% | 18% | 14% | 5% |
| 2–4 Feb | Populus/The Times | 1,509 | 33% | 36% | 19% | 12% | 3% |
| 19–29 Jan | Ipsos MORI | 949 | 35% | 39% | 19% | 7% | 4% |
| 26–28 Jan | Communicate | 1,008 | 29% | 34% | 21% | 16% | 5% |
| 22–24 Jan | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,245 | 31% | 38% | 18% | 13% | 7% |
| 19–21 Jan | ICM/The Guardian | 1,004 | 31% | 37% | 23% | 9% | 6% |
| 5–7 Jan | Populus/The Times | 1,507 | 32% | 39% | 18% | 11% | 7% |
2006
| Date(s) Conducted | |Sample Size | Labour Labour Party (UK) The Labour Party is a centre-left democratic socialist party in the United Kingdom. It surpassed the Liberal Party in general elections during the early 1920s, forming minority governments under Ramsay MacDonald in 1924 and 1929-1931. The party was in a wartime coalition from 1940 to 1945, after... | Conservative Conservative Party (UK) The Conservative Party, formally the Conservative and Unionist Party, is a centre-right political party in the United Kingdom that adheres to the philosophies of conservatism and British unionism. It is the largest political party in the UK, and is currently the largest single party in the House... | Liberal Democrats | Other | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,918 | 32% | 37% | 15% | 15% | 5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18–20 Dec | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 1,874 | 33% | 37% | 17% | 13% | 4% |
| 19–20 Dec | Communicate | 1,009 | 37% | 36% | 14% | 14% | 1% |
| 15–17 Dec | ICM/The Guardian | 1,006 | 32% | 40% | 18% | 10% | 8% |
| 9–12 Dec | Ipsos MORI | 1,938 | 36% | 37% | 18% | 9% | 1% |
| 8–10 Dec | Populus/The Times | 1,513 | 33% | 34% | 19% | 14% | 1% |
| 28–30 Nov | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 1,979 | 32% | 37% | 16% | 15% | 5% |
| 29–30 Nov | ICM/News of the World | 1,006 | 31% | 39% | 20% | 10% | 8% |
| 24–26 Nov | Communicate | 1,004 | 36% | 34% | 17% | 12% | 2% |
| 17–19 Nov | ICM/The Guardian | 1,000 | 32% | 37% | 22% | 9% | 5% |
| 9–14 Nov | Ipsos MORI | 1,115 | 33% | 35% | 20% | 12% | 2% |
| 3–5 Nov | Populus/The Times | 1,510 | 33% | 36% | 20% | 11% | 3% |
| 24–26 Oct | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 1,722 | 32% | 39% | 16% | 13% | 7% |
| 20–22 Oct | Communicate | 977 | 32% | 38% | 14% | 15% | 6% |
| 20–22 Oct | ICM/The Guardian | 1,019 | 29% | 39% | 22% | 9% | 10% |
| 12–16 Oct | Ipsos MORI/Financial Times | 1,113 | 37% | 35% | 18% | 10% | 2% |
| 6–8 Oct | Populus/The Times | 1,515 | 35% | 36% | 18% | 11% | 1% |
| 4–5 Oct | ICM/Sunday Telegraph | 1,005 | 32% | 38% | 20% | 10% | 6% |
| 28–30 Sep | ICM/Sunday Mirror | 1,029 | 35% | 36% | 19% | 11% | 1% |
| 27–29 Sep | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 1,849 | 36% | 36% | 16% | 12% | 0% |
| 21–22 Sep | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,546 | 33% | 37% | 18% | 12% | 4% |
| 19–22 Sep | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 1,733 | 31% | 38% | 18% | 13% | 7% |
| 19–20 Sep | ICM/The Guardian | 1,066 | 32% | 36% | 22% | 10% | 4% |
| 13–14 Sep | ICM/Sunday Mirror | 1,003 | 33% | 37% | 21% | 8% | 4% |
| 13–14 Sep | YouGov/The Sun | 1,519 | 31% | 38% | 18% | 14% | 7% |
| 6–7 Sep | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 1,504 | 32% | 40% | 17% | 11% | 8% |
| 31 Aug – 6 Sep | Ipsos MORI/Sunday Times | 1,186 | 36% | 35% | 19% | 10% | 1% |
| 1–3 Sep | Populus/The Times | 1,504 | 32% | 36% | 20% | 13% | 4% |
| 22–24 Aug | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 1,757 | 31% | 38% | 18% | 13% | 7% |
| 18–20 Aug | ICM/The Guardian | 1,007 | 31% | 40% | 22% | 8% | 9% |
| 10 Aug | Government and Police reveal details of the transatlantic aircraft plot | ||||||
| 24–26 July | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 1,633 | 33% | 38% | 18% | 11% | 5% |
| 20–24 July | Ipsos MORI | 1,897 | 32% | 36% | 24% | 8% | 4% |
| 21–23 July | ICM/The Guardian | 1,001 | 35% | 39% | 17% | 9% | 4% |
| 7–9 July | Populus/The Times | 1,512 | 34% | 36% | 19% | 11% | 2% |
| 29 June | Blaenau Gwent by-election: Independents retain seat Bromley & Chiselhurst by-election: Conservatives hold safe seat but see their majority fall by 12,709 |
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| 28–29 June | ICM/Sunday Telegraph | 1,003 | 35% | 36% | 18% | 11% | 1% |
| 26–28 June | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 1,962 | 33% | 39% | 18% | 10% | 6% |
| 22–26 June | Ipsos MORI | 1,931 | 33% | 36% | 21% | 10% | 3% |
| 21–23 June | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,009 | 32% | 39% | 17% | 12% | 7% |
| 16–18 June | ICM/The Guardian | 1,005 | 32% | 37% | 21% | 9% | 5% |
| 8–12 June | Ipsos MORI/The Observer | 1,975 | 34% | 41% | 18% | 7% | 7% |
| 2–4 June | Populus/The Times | 1,505 | 34% | 37% | 18% | 11% | 3% |
| 25–30 May | Ipsos MORI | 1,984 | 31% | 41% | 18% | 10% | 10% |
| 23–25 May | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,102 | 32% | 38% | 16% | 14% | 6% |
| 19–21 May | ICM/The Guardian | 1,001 | 34% | 38% | 20% | 8% | 4% |
| 8–9 May | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 1,910 | 31% | 37% | 17% | 15% | 6% |
| 5–7 May | Populus/The Times | 1,516 | 30% | 38% | 20% | 11% | 8% |
| 5 May | Amid poor local election results, Tony Blair reshuffles his cabinet | ||||||
| 4 May | 2006 Local Elections: Labour suffer significant losses across the country |
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| 27 Apr-2 May | Ipsos MORI/Financial Times | 1,078 | 32% | 36% | 21% | 11% | 4% |
| 27–28 Apr | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,930 | 32% | 35% | 18% | 15% | 3% |
| 21–23 Apr | ICM/The Guardian | 1,006 | 32% | 34% | 24% | 10% | 2% |
| 20–22 Apr | Ipsos MORI/The Sun | 1,006 | 30% | 30% | 25% | 15% | 0% |
| 18–20 Apr | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,075 | 35% | 33% | 17% | 15% | 2% |
| 31 Mar-2 Apr | Populus/The Times | 1,503 | 36% | 34% | 21% | 10% | 2% |
| 27–29 Mar | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 1,873 | 36% | 36% | 18% | 10% | 0% |
| 16–21 Mar | Ipsos MORI | 1,155 | 39% | 34% | 19% | 8% | 5% |
| 16–18 Mar | ICM/Sunday Telegraph | 1,003 | 37% | 33% | 21% | 9% | 4% |
| 16–17 Mar | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,811 | 35% | 38% | 19% | 8% | 3% |
| 10–12 Mar | ICM/The Guardian | 1,006 | 37% | 34% | 21% | 8% | 3% |
| 3–5 Mar | Populus/The Times | 1,509 | 35% | 35% | 20% | 9% | 0% |
| 2 Mar | Sir Menzies Campbell elected leader of the Liberal Democrats | ||||||
| 21–22 Feb | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,019 | 36% | 38% | 18% | 9% | 2% |
| 16–20 Feb | Ipsos MORI/The Sun | 1,143 | 38% | 35% | 20% | 7% | 3% |
| 17–19 Feb | ICM/The Guardian | 1,002 | 34% | 37% | 21% | 8% | 3% |
| 9–10 Feb | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,617 | 39% | 37% | 15% | 10% | 2% |
| 9 Feb | Dunfermline & West Fife by-election: Labour lose Scottish seat to the Liberal Democrats |
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| 3–5 Feb | Populus/The Times | 1,508 | 36% | 37% | 18% | 9% | 1% |
| 24–26 Jan | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,096 | 40% | 39% | 13% | 9% | 1% |
| 19–23 Jan | Ipsos MORI | 1,163 | 38% | 40% | 17% | 5% | 2% |
| 20–22 Jan | ICM/The Guardian | 1,009 | 36% | 37% | 19% | 7% | 1% |
| 12–17 Jan | Ipsos MORI/The Sun | 541 | 39% | 39% | 15% | 7% | 0% |
| 6–8 Jan | Populus/The Times | 1,509 | 39% | 36% | 16% | 9% | 3% |
| 7 Jan | Charles Kennedy resigns as Liberal Democrat leader after it is revealed he has a drink problem |
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2005
| Date(s) Conducted | |Sample Size | Labour Labour Party (UK) The Labour Party is a centre-left democratic socialist party in the United Kingdom. It surpassed the Liberal Party in general elections during the early 1920s, forming minority governments under Ramsay MacDonald in 1924 and 1929-1931. The party was in a wartime coalition from 1940 to 1945, after... | Conservative Conservative Party (UK) The Conservative Party, formally the Conservative and Unionist Party, is a centre-right political party in the United Kingdom that adheres to the philosophies of conservatism and British unionism. It is the largest political party in the UK, and is currently the largest single party in the House... | Liberal Democrats | Other | ICM/The Guardian | 1,004 | 36% | 37% | 21% | 7% | 1% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13–15 Dec | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,071 | 36% | 38% | 18% | 8% | 2% |
| 9–12 Dec | MORI/The Observer | 1,000 | 31% | 40% | 20% | 9% | 9% |
| 9-11 Dec | Populus/The Times | 1,521 | 38% | 35% | 19% | 8% | 3% |
| 6–8 Dec | YouGov/Sunday Times | 2,089 | 36% | 37% | 18% | 8% | 1% |
| 7–8 Dec | ICM/The Guardian | 1,003 | 35% | 37% | 21% | 7% | 2% |
| 6 Dec | David Cameron is elected leader of the Conservative Party | ||||||
| 5–6 Dec | YouGov/Sky News | 1,612 | 36% | 36% | 18% | 10% | 0% |
| 22–24 Nov | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,616 | 37% | 35% | 20% | 8% | 2% |
| 17–22 Nov | MORI | 1,089 | 42% | 32% | 19% | 7% | 10% |
| 18–20 Nov | ICM/The Guardian | 1,013 | 38% | 33% | 19% | 10% | 5% |
| 9 Nov | House of Commons rejects Government plans that would allow suspected terrorists to be held for 90 days without charge |
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| 4–6 Nov | Populus/The Times | 1,512 | 40% | 32% | 19% | 9% | 8% |
| 2–3 Nov | ICM/Sunday Telegraph | 1,010 | 39% | 33% | 21% | 7% | 6% |
| 25–27 Oct | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 1,947 | 40% | 32% | 19% | 9% | 8% |
| 20–25 Oct | MORI | 1,904 | 40% | 34% | 21% | 5% | 6% |
| 19–20 Oct | ICM/The Guardian | 1,007 | 36% | 33% | 22% | 8% | 3% |
| 7–9 Oct | Populus/The Times | 1,509 | 40% | 30% | 21% | 9% | 10% |
| 5–6 Oct | ICM/News of the World | 1,015 | 38% | 32% | 22% | 8% | 5% |
| 27–29 Sep | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 2,183 | 40% | 32% | 20% | 9% | 8% |
| 22–26 Sep | MORI | 1,132 | 39% | 29% | 25% | 7% | 10% |
| 16–17 Sep | ICM/The Guardian | 1,013 | 40% | 31% | 21% | 8% | 9% |
| 8–9 Sep | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,856 | 37% | 32% | 21% | 10% | 5% |
| 2–4 Sep | Populus/The Times | 1,506 | 37% | 35% | 20% | 8% | 2% |
| 19–24 Aug | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | – | 40% | 33% | 20% | 7% | 7% |
| 11–15 Aug | MORI | 1,191 | 39% | 31% | 24% | 6% | 8% |
| 12–14 Aug | ICM/The Guardian | 1,006 | 38% | 31% | 22% | 9% | 7% |
| 26–28 July | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | – | 40% | 31% | 21% | 8% | 9% |
| 22–24 July | Populus/The Times | 1,506 | 40% | 28% | 22% | 10% | 12% |
| 14–18 July | MORI/The Observer | 1,227 | 41% | 28% | 25% | 6% | 13% |
| 15–17 July | ICM/The Guardian | 1,005 | 39% | 31% | 23% | 7% | 8% |
| 7 July | July 7 Terrorist Attacks: 4 co-ordinated suicide bombers detonate explosives on morning rush hour tube and bus services in London |
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| 6 July | London wins right to host 2012 Summer Olympics | ||||||
| 28–30 June | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | 3,717 | 38% | 33% | 20% | 9% | 5% |
| 16–20 June | MORI | 1,227 | 42% | 29% | 21% | 8% | 13% |
| 17–19 June | ICM/The Guardian | 1,005 | 38% | 31% | 23% | 8% | 7% |
| 24–26 May | YouGov/Daily Telegraph | – | 38% | 31% | 23% | 8% | 7% |
| 19–23 May | MORI/Financial Times | 1,274 | 37% | 30% | 26% | 7% | 7% |
| 5 May | 2005 general election (GB figures) United Kingdom general election, 2005 The United Kingdom general election of 2005 was held on Thursday, 5 May 2005 to elect 646 members to the British House of Commons. The Labour Party under Tony Blair won its third consecutive victory, but with a majority of 66, reduced from 160.... |
N/A | 36.2% | 33.2% | 22.7% | 7.9% | 3% |