United States Senate election in Arizona, 2010
Encyclopedia
The 2010 United States Senate election in Arizona took place on November 2, 2010 along with other elections to the United States Senate
in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives
and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on August 24, 2010.
Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator John McCain
won re-election to a fifth term.
Governor Janet Napolitano
a possible Democratic challenger to McCain, and some very early polling showed her ahead or competitive with him in a prospective 2010 matchup. Napolitano was term-limited as governor in 2010, and had openly discussed the possibility of a Senate race, especially given McCain's 2008 electoral results
in the Democratic-trending state.
However, the December 1, 2008 nomination by President-elect Barack Obama
of Napolitano to be the new Secretary of Homeland Security
, made it appear unlikely that she would challenge McCain.
In February 2009, Arizona Senate minority leader Jorge Luis Garcia
was saying: "There hasn't been any discussion about any [candidates]. The Democratic Party would be willing to lend support to a candidate against Senator McCain. It would be very expensive—very, very, very expensive." In April 2009, only one person had announced a candidacy, Rudy Garcia, the former mayor of Bell Gardens, California
. In October 2009, national Democratic leaders were saying that they were not bothering to recruit anyone to face McCain, but that same month, Tucson Councilman Rodney Glassman
filed an exploratory committee for this Senate seat at the urging of Arizona Attorney General and Arizona gubernatorial candidate Terry Goddard
.
Other possible Democratic challengers mentioned have included Phoenix mayor Phil Gordon
, U.S. Congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords
, and Terry Goddard. However, Goddard had formally announced his candidacy for the 2010 Arizona gubernatorial race
, and Phil Gordon
was exploring a run for John Shadegg
's Congressional seat in Arizona's 3rd district
.
Incumbent Republican
senator John McCain
lost his bid for President of the United States
in the 2008 election
on November 4, 2008. By November 18, he had indicated his intention to form a political action committee
to run for Senate re-election in 2010. McCain confirmed his decision at a press conference in Phoenix, Arizona
on November 25, 2008, saying, "I intend to run again and will make an announcement at an appropriate time." In his appearance, McCain made a point of shifting from discussion of national issues to local ones, and followed up with renewed attention to the state during the next few months. In February 2009, McCain began active fundraising efforts for his re-election campaign.
McCain faced a possible Republican primary challenge. He had won less than half the votes against the field of candidates in the 2008 Arizona Republican presidential primary
, and had only won the presidential contest in Arizona
by 8.5 percentage points. The person most mentioned as a possible primary challenger was radio talk show host and former U.S. Congressman J. D. Hayworth
, who was being urged to run by his listeners. (Hayworth had once been allied with McCain and had supported his 2000 presidential campaign
, but the two diverged ideologically shortly thereafter.) However, McCain's strong opposition to the economic stimulus package of 2009
warmed some conservatives to him and made a primary challenge less likely.
As 2009 progressed, McCain got two announced primary challengers, U.S. Navy veteran and businessman Jim Deakin, and Chris Simcox
, the co-founder of the Minuteman Civil Defense Corps
. Simcox's April 2009 announcement of his candidacy garnered a fair amount of press attention; he stated that "John McCain has failed miserably in his duty to secure this nation's borders and protect the people of Arizona from the escalating violence and lawlessness. ... Coupled with his votes for reckless bailout spending and big government solutions to our nation's problems, John McCain is out of touch with everyday Arizonans. Enough is enough."
In October 2009, Hayworth said that he was considering a primary challenge: "There's a great deal of respect for John as a historical figure. But he's long been at odds with the conservative base of the Republican Party and more recently with Arizonans." Hayworth quoted a poll which said that 61 percent of Arizona Republicans thought McCain had lost touch with his party. McCain had raised $4.7 million for his Senate re-election, and had access to more than $20 million leftover from his 2008 presidential effort. A November 2009 Rasmussen Reports
poll surprisingly showed that Hayworth was nearly even with McCain among likely Republican Party primary voters in the state. As January 2010 progressed, McCain began running negative ads against Hayworth. On January 22, 2010, Hayworth resigned from his talk radio position at KFYI
, a necessary step to becoming a candidate. On January 23, Hayworth announced at a meeting of the Arizona Republican Party State Committee that he did intend to run, and that a formal announcement would be forthcoming soon.
As the contest began, some elements of the Tea Party movement
supported Hayworth, but others stayed out of the contest, and still others supported Jim Deakin. The threat from Hayworth helped account for McCain's sometimes-awkward reversals or softpedallings of his former positions on issues such as the bank bailouts, national security, campaign finance reform, and gays in the military; Hayworth said, "John is undergoing a campaign conversion." McCain remained strong among party centrists and independents, and had strong financial resources. McCain also had the endorsements of the entire Arizona congressional delegation. Regardless, pundits predicted it would become "one of the country's fiercest political contests of 2010."
Hayworth officially launched his bid on February 15, 2010, in Phoenix. His announcement led Simcox to drop his campaign and endorse Hayworth, saying that he wanted to present a united conservative front. Hayworth attracted the support of a good number of top-rated radio talk show hosts, including Michael Savage
. Hayworth called for a series of 10 debates between himself and McCain. This echoed a proposal that McCain had unsuccessfully made to Obama during their 2008 presidential campaign; this time, McCain labeled the idea a "desperate publicity stunt." With Hayworth using the campaign slogan "The Consistent Conservative," McCain backed off his reputation for unorthodoxy, saying, "I never considered myself a maverick. I consider myself a person who serves the people of Arizona to the best of his abilities." McCain's former vice presidential running mate, Sarah Palin
, staged a campaign appearance with him in late March; she said that McCain was deserving of support among Tea Party movement-types. Many in the crowd came to see Palin rather than McCain and were unsure of whom they would vote for in the primary.
Both candidates endorsed Arizona SB 1070, the anti-illegal immigration state law passed in April 2010 that aroused national controversy, and both made tough stands on border control central to their campaigns. McCain retained a financial edge, having $4.6 million in hand at the end of the first quarter to Hayworth's $861,000.
Hayworth's campaign began to struggle when infomercial
s he had made in 2007 came to light, which had pitched access to free government payment programs from a company that was accused of swindling thousands of people. McCain ran television ads that labeled Hayworth a "huckster," and in return Hayworth's wife charged McCain with engaging in deliberate character assassination. Hayworth also had difficulty rallying conservative backing due to his past support for Congressional earmark
s and for his past associations with lobbyist Jack Abramoff
.
During the summer, McCain began running immigration-themed ads featuring Pinal County
sheriff Paul Babeu, who is also a strong supporter of SB 1070; however, Hayworth asked McCain to withdraw the ads because Babeu had recently appeared on the white nationalist radio show The Political Cesspool
.
Hayworth
Deakin
{| class="navbox collapsible collapsed" style="text-align:left; border:0; margin-top:0.2em;"
|-
! style="background:#cff; font-weight:normal;"|
Hypothetical polling
|-
| style="border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;"|
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
|- valign=bottom
! rowspan=2 | Poll Source
! rowspan=2 class=small | Date(s)
administered
! rowspan=2 class=small | Sample
size
! rowspan=2 class=small | Margin of
Error
! colspan=2 | Republican nominee
! colspan=3 | Democratic nominee
! rowspan=2 | Other
! rowspan=2 | Undecided
|-
! J.D. Hayworth (R)
! John McCain (R)
! Bruce Babbitt (D)
! Gabrielle Giffords (D)
! Rodney Glassman (D)
|-
| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling
(report)
| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"| September 18–21, 2009
| rowspan=2 | 617
| rowspan=2 | ± 3.9%
| —
| align=center| 57%
| —
| align=center| 30%
| —
| —
| 13%
|-
| —
| align=center| 55%
| —
| —
| align=center| 25%
| —
| 20%
|-
| rowspan="6" style="text-align:left;"|Research 2000
(report)
| rowspan="6" style="text-align:left;"| March 29–31, 2010
| rowspan=6 | 600
| rowspan=6 | ± 4.0%
| align=center| 43%
| —
| align=center| 42%
| —
| —
| —
| 15%
|-
| align=center| 48%
| —
| —
| align=center| 36%
| —
| —
| 15%
|-
| align=center| 49%
| —
| —
| —
| align=center| 37%
| —
| 15%
|-
| —
| align=center| 48%
| align=center| 42%
| —
| —
| —
| 10%
|-
| —
| align=center| 52%
| —
| align=center| 34%
| —
| —
| 15%
|-
| —
| align=center| 53%
| —
| —
| align=center| 33%
| —
| 13%
|-
| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"|Rasmussen Reports
(report)
| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"| April 13, 2010
| rowspan=2 | 500
| rowspan=2 | ± 4.5%
| —
| align=center| 54%
| —
| —
| align=center| 32%
| 8%
| 6%
|-
| align=center| 48%
| —
| —
| —
| align=center| 39%
| 7%
| 7%
|-
|-
| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling
(report)
| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"| April 23–25, 2010
| rowspan=2 | 813
| rowspan=2 | ± 3.4%
| align=center| 49%
| —
| —
| align=center| 33%
| —
| —
| 13%
|-
| align=center| 39%
| —
| —
| —
| align=center| 42%
| —
| 19%
|-
| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"| Behavior Research Center
(report)
| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"| April 12–25, 2010
| rowspan=2 | 666
| rowspan=2 | ± 3.5%
| —
| align=center| 46%
| —
| —
| align=center| 24%
| —
| 30%
|-
| align=center| 37%
| —
| —
| —
| align=center| 30%
| —
| 33%
|-
| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"| Rasmussen Reports
(report)
| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"| May 17, 2010
| rowspan=2 | 1,000
| rowspan=2 | ± 3.0%
| —
| align=center| 57%
| —
| —
| align=center| 28%
| 9%
| 7%
|-
| align=center| 49%
| —
| —
| —
| align=center| 33%
| 9%
| 9%
|-
| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"| Rasmussen Reports
(http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arizona/questions/questions_arizona_senate_october_28_2010)
| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"| July 29, 2010
| rowspan=2 | 500
| rowspan=2 | ± 4.5%
| —
| align=center| 53%
| —
| —
| align=center| 34%
| 11%
| 3%
|-
| align=center| 38%
| —
| —
| —
| align=center| 43%
| 13%
| 6%
|}
|-
! Candidate (party)
! Receipts
! Disbursements
! Cash on hand
! Debt
|-
| |John McCain (R)
| $20,077,490
| $11,868,523
| $472,777
| $27,999
|-
| |Rodney Glassman (D)
| $1,366,612
| $1,087,161
| $279,450
| $500,000
|- align=center
| colspan="5" | Source: Federal Election Commission
|}
Debates
Official campaign websites
United States Senate
The United States Senate is the upper house of the bicameral legislature of the United States, and together with the United States House of Representatives comprises the United States Congress. The composition and powers of the Senate are established in Article One of the U.S. Constitution. Each...
in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives
United States House of Representatives
The United States House of Representatives is one of the two Houses of the United States Congress, the bicameral legislature which also includes the Senate.The composition and powers of the House are established in Article One of the Constitution...
and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on August 24, 2010.
Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator John McCain
John McCain
John Sidney McCain III is the senior United States Senator from Arizona. He was the Republican nominee for president in the 2008 United States election....
won re-election to a fifth term.
Background
Many considered popular DemocraticDemocratic Party (United States)
The Democratic Party is one of two major contemporary political parties in the United States, along with the Republican Party. The party's socially liberal and progressive platform is largely considered center-left in the U.S. political spectrum. The party has the lengthiest record of continuous...
Governor Janet Napolitano
Janet Napolitano
Janet Napolitano is the third and current United States Secretary of Homeland Security, serving in the administration of President Barack Obama. She is the fourth person to hold the position, which was created after the 9/11 terrorist attacks. A member of the Democratic Party, she was the 21st...
a possible Democratic challenger to McCain, and some very early polling showed her ahead or competitive with him in a prospective 2010 matchup. Napolitano was term-limited as governor in 2010, and had openly discussed the possibility of a Senate race, especially given McCain's 2008 electoral results
United States presidential election, 2008
The United States presidential election of 2008 was the 56th quadrennial presidential election. It was held on November 4, 2008. Democrat Barack Obama, then the junior United States Senator from Illinois, defeated Republican John McCain, the senior U.S. Senator from Arizona. Obama received 365...
in the Democratic-trending state.
However, the December 1, 2008 nomination by President-elect Barack Obama
Barack Obama
Barack Hussein Obama II is the 44th and current President of the United States. He is the first African American to hold the office. Obama previously served as a United States Senator from Illinois, from January 2005 until he resigned following his victory in the 2008 presidential election.Born in...
of Napolitano to be the new Secretary of Homeland Security
United States Secretary of Homeland Security
The United States Secretary of Homeland Security is the head of the United States Department of Homeland Security, the body concerned with protecting the American homeland and the safety of American citizens. The Secretary is a member of the President's Cabinet. The position was created by the...
, made it appear unlikely that she would challenge McCain.
In February 2009, Arizona Senate minority leader Jorge Luis Garcia
Jorge Luis Garcia
Jorge Luis Garcia was a Democratic politician. He served as Arizona State Senator for District 27 beginning in 2003, where he held the title of Assistant Minority Leader. Previously he was a member of the Arizona House of Representatives from 1993 through 1996...
was saying: "There hasn't been any discussion about any [candidates]. The Democratic Party would be willing to lend support to a candidate against Senator McCain. It would be very expensive—very, very, very expensive." In April 2009, only one person had announced a candidacy, Rudy Garcia, the former mayor of Bell Gardens, California
Bell Gardens, California
Bell Gardens is a city in Los Angeles County, California. The population was 42,072 at the 2010 census, down from 44,054 at the 2000 census.Bell Gardens is notable for being one of only five Los Angeles County cities to permit casino gambling...
. In October 2009, national Democratic leaders were saying that they were not bothering to recruit anyone to face McCain, but that same month, Tucson Councilman Rodney Glassman
Rodney B. Glassman
Rodney Britz Glassman is an American businessman, author, and politician who served on the City Council of the City of Tucson, Arizona, from 2007 to 2010. At the time of his resignation he was serving as the Vice Mayor, which is a rotating title that moves from Councilperson to Councilperson...
filed an exploratory committee for this Senate seat at the urging of Arizona Attorney General and Arizona gubernatorial candidate Terry Goddard
Terry Goddard
Samuel Pearson "Terry" Goddard III was the Attorney General of Arizona, from 2003 to 2011, who also served as Mayor of Phoenix, Arizona from 1984 to 1990....
.
Other possible Democratic challengers mentioned have included Phoenix mayor Phil Gordon
Phil Gordon (politician)
Phil Gordon is an American Democratic party politician, and the 58th and current mayor of Phoenix, Arizona. He was sworn in as mayor on January 2, 2004.-Early life, education, and early career:...
, U.S. Congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords
Gabrielle Giffords
Gabrielle Dee "Gabby" Giffords is an American politician. A Democratic member of the United States House of Representatives, she has represented since 2007. She is the third woman in Arizona's history to be elected to the U.S. Congress...
, and Terry Goddard. However, Goddard had formally announced his candidacy for the 2010 Arizona gubernatorial race
Arizona gubernatorial election, 2010
The Arizona gubernatorial election of 2010 was held on November 2, 2010 to elect the Governor of Arizona. Incumbent Republican Jan Brewer ran for her first full term. Party primaries were held on August 24, 2010...
, and Phil Gordon
Phil Gordon (politician)
Phil Gordon is an American Democratic party politician, and the 58th and current mayor of Phoenix, Arizona. He was sworn in as mayor on January 2, 2004.-Early life, education, and early career:...
was exploring a run for John Shadegg
John Shadegg
John Barden Shadegg is the former U.S. Representative for , serving from 1995 until 2011. He is a member of the Republican Party.The district, numbered as the 4th District before the 2000 Census, includes much of northern Phoenix....
's Congressional seat in Arizona's 3rd district
Arizona's 3rd congressional district
Arizona's 3rd congressional district is a congressional district located in the U.S. state of Arizona and contains most of the northern portion of the city of Phoenix as well as some of its northern suburbs...
.
Candidates
- Rodney GlassmanRodney B. GlassmanRodney Britz Glassman is an American businessman, author, and politician who served on the City Council of the City of Tucson, Arizona, from 2007 to 2010. At the time of his resignation he was serving as the Vice Mayor, which is a rotating title that moves from Councilperson to Councilperson...
, City Councilman in TucsonTucson, ArizonaTucson is a city in and the county seat of Pima County, Arizona, United States. The city is located 118 miles southeast of Phoenix and 60 miles north of the U.S.-Mexico border. The 2010 United States Census puts the city's population at 520,116 with a metropolitan area population at 1,020,200... - John DoughertyJohn Dougherty (Journalist)John Dougherty, is an award winning American freelance investigative journalist. Subjects he has reported on include: the Keating Five scandal and the S&L crisis, Arizona Governor Fife Symington III, the FLDS Church and its leader Warren Jeffs, and Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio. In 2010, he...
, former investigative reporter for Phoenix New TimesPhoenix New TimesThe Phoenix New Times is a free, weekly Phoenix, Arizona newspaper, put out every Thursday. It is the founding publication of the New Times Media , but The Village Voice is now the flagship publication of that company.... - Cathy Eden, former state legislator and an aide to Governors Rose Mofford and Janet NapolitanoJanet NapolitanoJanet Napolitano is the third and current United States Secretary of Homeland Security, serving in the administration of President Barack Obama. She is the fourth person to hold the position, which was created after the 9/11 terrorist attacks. A member of the Democratic Party, she was the 21st...
- Randy Parraz, civil rights and labor activist, attorney
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Dougherty | Cathy Eden | Rodney Glassman | Randy Parraz | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | June 16, 2010 | 342 | ± 5.0% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 9% | 14% | 46% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | July 21, 2010 | 331 | ± 5.5% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 10% | 10% | 47% |
Debates
Debates were planned for:- Friday, July 9, 2010 in Phoenix, to be televised on KTVK Channel 3
- Wednesday, July 21, 2010 in Yuma, to be radio broadcast on NPR's Yuma affiliate, KAWC
- Thursday, August 5, 2010 in Tucson, to be televised on KUAT
Results
Background
Republican Party (United States)
The Republican Party is one of the two major contemporary political parties in the United States, along with the Democratic Party. Founded by anti-slavery expansion activists in 1854, it is often called the GOP . The party's platform generally reflects American conservatism in the U.S...
senator John McCain
John McCain
John Sidney McCain III is the senior United States Senator from Arizona. He was the Republican nominee for president in the 2008 United States election....
lost his bid for President of the United States
President of the United States
The President of the United States of America is the head of state and head of government of the United States. The president leads the executive branch of the federal government and is the commander-in-chief of the United States Armed Forces....
in the 2008 election
United States presidential election, 2008
The United States presidential election of 2008 was the 56th quadrennial presidential election. It was held on November 4, 2008. Democrat Barack Obama, then the junior United States Senator from Illinois, defeated Republican John McCain, the senior U.S. Senator from Arizona. Obama received 365...
on November 4, 2008. By November 18, he had indicated his intention to form a political action committee
Political action committee
In the United States, a political action committee, or PAC, is the name commonly given to a private group, regardless of size, organized to elect political candidates or to advance the outcome of a political issue or legislation. Legally, what constitutes a "PAC" for purposes of regulation is a...
to run for Senate re-election in 2010. McCain confirmed his decision at a press conference in Phoenix, Arizona
Phoenix, Arizona
Phoenix is the capital, and largest city, of the U.S. state of Arizona, as well as the sixth most populated city in the United States. Phoenix is home to 1,445,632 people according to the official 2010 U.S. Census Bureau data...
on November 25, 2008, saying, "I intend to run again and will make an announcement at an appropriate time." In his appearance, McCain made a point of shifting from discussion of national issues to local ones, and followed up with renewed attention to the state during the next few months. In February 2009, McCain began active fundraising efforts for his re-election campaign.
McCain faced a possible Republican primary challenge. He had won less than half the votes against the field of candidates in the 2008 Arizona Republican presidential primary
Arizona Republican primary, 2008
The 2008 Arizona Republican primary took place on February 5, 2008, with 50 national delegates.-Results:* Includes 3 unpledged Republican National Committee delegates-See also:* Arizona Democratic primary, 2008...
, and had only won the presidential contest in Arizona
United States presidential election in Arizona, 2008
The 2008 United States presidential election in Arizona took place on November 4, 2008 throughout all 50 states and D.C., which was part of the 2008 United States presidential election...
by 8.5 percentage points. The person most mentioned as a possible primary challenger was radio talk show host and former U.S. Congressman J. D. Hayworth
J. D. Hayworth
John David Hayworth, Jr. , usually known as J. D. Hayworth, is an American politician who served as a Republican member of the United States House of Representatives from 1995 to 2007 from Arizona's 5th congressional district...
, who was being urged to run by his listeners. (Hayworth had once been allied with McCain and had supported his 2000 presidential campaign
John McCain presidential campaign, 2000
John McCain, the United States Senator from Arizona, launched his first candidacy for the presidency of the United States in the 2000 presidential election....
, but the two diverged ideologically shortly thereafter.) However, McCain's strong opposition to the economic stimulus package of 2009
American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009
The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, abbreviated ARRA and commonly referred to as the Stimulus or The Recovery Act, is an economic stimulus package enacted by the 111th United States Congress in February 2009 and signed into law on February 17, 2009, by President Barack Obama.To...
warmed some conservatives to him and made a primary challenge less likely.
As 2009 progressed, McCain got two announced primary challengers, U.S. Navy veteran and businessman Jim Deakin, and Chris Simcox
Chris Simcox
Chris Simcox is the American co-founder of the Minuteman Civil Defense Corps and the project's main spokesperson. He was formerly a kindergarten teacher at the Wildwood School in Los Angeles, California, where he taught for thirteen years....
, the co-founder of the Minuteman Civil Defense Corps
Minuteman Civil Defense Corps
The Minuteman Civil Defense Corps is a volunteer group headed by Chris Simcox and dedicated to preventing illegal crossings of the United States border. Arguing that the government is insufficiently concerned with securing the U.S. border, they have organized several state chapters, with the...
. Simcox's April 2009 announcement of his candidacy garnered a fair amount of press attention; he stated that "John McCain has failed miserably in his duty to secure this nation's borders and protect the people of Arizona from the escalating violence and lawlessness. ... Coupled with his votes for reckless bailout spending and big government solutions to our nation's problems, John McCain is out of touch with everyday Arizonans. Enough is enough."
In October 2009, Hayworth said that he was considering a primary challenge: "There's a great deal of respect for John as a historical figure. But he's long been at odds with the conservative base of the Republican Party and more recently with Arizonans." Hayworth quoted a poll which said that 61 percent of Arizona Republicans thought McCain had lost touch with his party. McCain had raised $4.7 million for his Senate re-election, and had access to more than $20 million leftover from his 2008 presidential effort. A November 2009 Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports
Rasmussen Reports is an American media company that publishes and distributes information based on public opinion polling. Founded by pollster Scott Rasmussen in 2003, the company updates daily indexes including the President's job approval rating, and provides public opinion data, analysis, and...
poll surprisingly showed that Hayworth was nearly even with McCain among likely Republican Party primary voters in the state. As January 2010 progressed, McCain began running negative ads against Hayworth. On January 22, 2010, Hayworth resigned from his talk radio position at KFYI
KFYI
KFYI is an American news/talk radio station broadcasting in Phoenix, Arizona. KFYI is owned by Clear Channel Communications. KFYI transmits in both analog AM and digital HD Radio.The digital signal is also rebroadcast on KNIX-FM's HD2 channel....
, a necessary step to becoming a candidate. On January 23, Hayworth announced at a meeting of the Arizona Republican Party State Committee that he did intend to run, and that a formal announcement would be forthcoming soon.
As the contest began, some elements of the Tea Party movement
Tea Party movement
The Tea Party movement is an American populist political movement that is generally recognized as conservative and libertarian, and has sponsored protests and supported political candidates since 2009...
supported Hayworth, but others stayed out of the contest, and still others supported Jim Deakin. The threat from Hayworth helped account for McCain's sometimes-awkward reversals or softpedallings of his former positions on issues such as the bank bailouts, national security, campaign finance reform, and gays in the military; Hayworth said, "John is undergoing a campaign conversion." McCain remained strong among party centrists and independents, and had strong financial resources. McCain also had the endorsements of the entire Arizona congressional delegation. Regardless, pundits predicted it would become "one of the country's fiercest political contests of 2010."
Hayworth officially launched his bid on February 15, 2010, in Phoenix. His announcement led Simcox to drop his campaign and endorse Hayworth, saying that he wanted to present a united conservative front. Hayworth attracted the support of a good number of top-rated radio talk show hosts, including Michael Savage
Michael Savage (commentator)
Michael Savage is a conservative American radio host, author, and political commentator. He is the host of The Savage Nation, a nationally syndicated talk show that airs throughout the United States on Talk Radio Network...
. Hayworth called for a series of 10 debates between himself and McCain. This echoed a proposal that McCain had unsuccessfully made to Obama during their 2008 presidential campaign; this time, McCain labeled the idea a "desperate publicity stunt." With Hayworth using the campaign slogan "The Consistent Conservative," McCain backed off his reputation for unorthodoxy, saying, "I never considered myself a maverick. I consider myself a person who serves the people of Arizona to the best of his abilities." McCain's former vice presidential running mate, Sarah Palin
Sarah Palin
Sarah Louise Palin is an American politician, commentator and author. As the Republican Party nominee for Vice President in the 2008 presidential election, she was the first Alaskan on the national ticket of a major party and first Republican woman nominated for the vice-presidency.She was...
, staged a campaign appearance with him in late March; she said that McCain was deserving of support among Tea Party movement-types. Many in the crowd came to see Palin rather than McCain and were unsure of whom they would vote for in the primary.
Both candidates endorsed Arizona SB 1070, the anti-illegal immigration state law passed in April 2010 that aroused national controversy, and both made tough stands on border control central to their campaigns. McCain retained a financial edge, having $4.6 million in hand at the end of the first quarter to Hayworth's $861,000.
Hayworth's campaign began to struggle when infomercial
Infomercial
Infomercials are direct response television commercials which generally include a phone number or website. There are long-form infomercials, which are typically between 15 and 30 minutes in length, and short-form infomercials, which are typically 30 seconds to 120 seconds in length. Infomercials...
s he had made in 2007 came to light, which had pitched access to free government payment programs from a company that was accused of swindling thousands of people. McCain ran television ads that labeled Hayworth a "huckster," and in return Hayworth's wife charged McCain with engaging in deliberate character assassination. Hayworth also had difficulty rallying conservative backing due to his past support for Congressional earmark
Earmark (politics)
In United States politics, an earmark is a legislative provision that directs approved funds to be spent on specific projects, or that directs specific exemptions from taxes or mandated fees...
s and for his past associations with lobbyist Jack Abramoff
Jack Abramoff
Jack Abramoff is an American former lobbyist and businessman. Convicted in 2006 of mail fraud and conspiracy, he was at the heart of an extensive corruption investigation that led to the conviction of White House officials J. Steven Griles and David Safavian, U.S. Representative Bob Ney, and nine...
.
During the summer, McCain began running immigration-themed ads featuring Pinal County
Pinal County, Arizona
-2010:Whereas according to the 2010 U.S. Census Bureau:*72.4% White*4.6% Black*5.6% Native American*1.7% Asian*0.4% Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander*3.8% Two or more races*11.5% Other races*28.5% Hispanic or Latino -2000:...
sheriff Paul Babeu, who is also a strong supporter of SB 1070; however, Hayworth asked McCain to withdraw the ads because Babeu had recently appeared on the white nationalist radio show The Political Cesspool
The Political Cesspool
The Political Cesspool is a weekly talk radio show founded by James Edwards, and syndicated by Liberty News Radio Network and Accent Radio Network in the United States...
.
Candidates
- John McCainJohn McCainJohn Sidney McCain III is the senior United States Senator from Arizona. He was the Republican nominee for president in the 2008 United States election....
, incumbent U.S. Senator - Jim Deakin, businessman
- J.D. Hayworth, former U.S. CongressmanUnited States House of RepresentativesThe United States House of Representatives is one of the two Houses of the United States Congress, the bicameral legislature which also includes the Senate.The composition and powers of the House are established in Article One of the Constitution...
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jim Deakin | J.D. Hayworth | John McCain | Chris Simcox | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling Public Policy Polling Public Policy Polling is an American Democratic Party-affiliated polling firm based in Raleigh, North Carolina. PPP was founded in 2001 by businessman and Democratic pollster Dean Debnam, the firm's current president and chief executive officer... (report) |
September 18–21, 2009 | 400 | ± 4.5% | –– | –– | 67% | 17% | –– | 17% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | November 18, 2009 | 570 | ± 4.0% | –– | 43% | 45% | 4% | 2% | 7% |
| Tarrance Group (report) | December 8–10, 2009 | 600 | ± 4.1% | –– | 36% | 56% | –– | –– | — |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | January 20, 2010 | 502 | ± 4.5% | –– | 31% | 53% | 4% | 3% | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports Rasmussen Reports Rasmussen Reports is an American media company that publishes and distributes information based on public opinion polling. Founded by pollster Scott Rasmussen in 2003, the company updates daily indexes including the President's job approval rating, and provides public opinion data, analysis, and... (report) |
March 18, 2010 | 541 | ± 4.0% | –– | 41% | 48% | –– | 3% | 8% |
| Research 2000 (report) | March 29–31, 2010 | 600 | ± 4.0% | –– | 37% | 52% | –– | –– | 11% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | April 13, 2010 | 510 | ± 4.0% | –– | 42% | 47% | –– | 2% | 8% |
| Behavior Research Center (report) | April 12–25, 2010 | 666 | ± 3.5% | –– | 28% | 54% | –– | –– | 18% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | May 17, 2010 | 541 | ± 4.5% | –– | 40% | 52% | –– | 2% | 6% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | June 16, 2010 | 707 | ± 4.0% | 7% | 36% | 47% | –– | 1% | 8% |
| Magellan Strategies (report) | June 22, 2010 | 1,139 | ± 2.9% | –– | 29% | 52% | –– | 14% | 5% |
| Behavior Research Strategies (report) | June 30-July 11, 2010 | 524 | ± 4.4% | 5% | 19% | 64% | –– | — | 12% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | July 21, 2010 | 595 | ± 4.0% | –– | 34% | 54% | –– | 7% | 6% |
Endorsements
McCainHayworth
Deakin
Results
Candidates
- Rodney Glassman (D), City Councilor of TucsonTucson, ArizonaTucson is a city in and the county seat of Pima County, Arizona, United States. The city is located 118 miles southeast of Phoenix and 60 miles north of the U.S.-Mexico border. The 2010 United States Census puts the city's population at 520,116 with a metropolitan area population at 1,020,200...
- Jerry Joslyn (G), businessman
- John McCainJohn McCainJohn Sidney McCain III is the senior United States Senator from Arizona. He was the Republican nominee for president in the 2008 United States election....
(R), incumbent U.S. Senator - David Nolan (L), former Chairman of the Libertarian PartyLibertarian Party (United States)The Libertarian Party is the third largest and fastest growing political party in the United States. The political platform of the Libertarian Party reflects its brand of libertarianism, favoring minimally regulated, laissez-faire markets, strong civil liberties, minimally regulated migration...
and inventor of the Nolan ChartNolan ChartThe Nolan Chart is a political diagram popularized by the American libertarian David Nolan. He reasoned that virtually all human political action can be divided into two general categories: economic and personal...
Campaign
After spending over $20 million during the primaries, McCain still had more than $1 million cash on hand after the primary election. Glassman has criticized McCain on women's issues. In August 2010, Glassman released a TV advertisement called "Arizona First."Debates
- September 26: All four candidates on KTVK-TV in PhoenixPhoenix, ArizonaPhoenix is the capital, and largest city, of the U.S. state of Arizona, as well as the sixth most populated city in the United States. Phoenix is home to 1,445,632 people according to the official 2010 U.S. Census Bureau data...
. It will run without commercial interruption from 6 p.m. to 7 p.m.
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report Cook Political Report The Cook Political Report is an independent, non-partisan online newsletter that analyzes elections and campaigns for the United States House of Representatives, the United States Senate, Governor's offices and the American Presidency. The Cook Political Report is led by a staff of five... |
Solid R | October 25, 2010 |
| Rothenberg Stuart Rothenberg Stuart Rothenberg is an American editor, publisher, and political analyst best known for his Washington-based, biweekly, self-proclaimed non-partisan political newsletter The Rothenberg Political Report... |
Safe R | October 22, 2010 |
| Swing State Project | Safe R | |
| RealClearPolitics RealClearPolitics RealClearPolitics is a political news and polling data aggregator based in Chicago, Illinois. The site's founders say their goal is to give readers "ideological diversity." They have described themselves as frustrated with what they perceive as anti-conservative, anti-Christian media bias, and... |
Safe R | October 25, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball Sabato's Crystal Ball Sabato’s Crystal Ball is a free, nonpartisan weekly online newsletter and comprehensive website in the United States that analyzes the current American political scene and predicts electoral outcomes for U.S House of Representatives, U.S. Senate, governors, and U.S. president races... |
Safe R | October 21, 2010 |
| CQ Politics Congressional Quarterly Congressional Quarterly, Inc., or CQ, is a privately owned publishing company that produces a number of publications reporting primarily on the United States Congress... |
Safe R | October 25, 2010 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rodney Glassman | John McCain | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | September 18–21, 2009 | 617 | ± 3.9% | 25% | 55% | –– | 20% |
| Research 2000 | March 29–31, 2010 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 33% | 52% | –– | 13% |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 13, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 32% | 54% | 8% | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 23–25, 2010 | 813 | ± 3.4% | 33% | 49% | –– | 13% |
| Behavior Research Center | April 12–25, 2010 | 666 | ± 3.5% | 24% | 46% | –– | 30% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 17, 2010 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 28% | 57% | 9% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 29, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 34% | 53% | 11% | 3% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 25, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 31% | 53% | 10% | 6% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 7, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 37% | 51% | 7% | 6% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 4, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 33% | 54% | 8% | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 23–24, 2010 | 664 | ± 3.8% | 38% | 56% | –– | 6% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 28, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 32% | 52% | 9% | 7% |
{| class="navbox collapsible collapsed" style="text-align:left; border:0; margin-top:0.2em;"
|-
! style="background:#cff; font-weight:normal;"|
Hypothetical polling
|-
| style="border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;"|
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
|- valign=bottom
! rowspan=2 | Poll Source
! rowspan=2 class=small | Date(s)
administered
! rowspan=2 class=small | Sample
size
! rowspan=2 class=small | Margin of
Error
! colspan=2 | Republican nominee
! colspan=3 | Democratic nominee
! rowspan=2 | Other
! rowspan=2 | Undecided
|-
! J.D. Hayworth (R)
! John McCain (R)
! Bruce Babbitt (D)
! Gabrielle Giffords (D)
! Rodney Glassman (D)
|-
| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling
Public Policy Polling is an American Democratic Party-affiliated polling firm based in Raleigh, North Carolina. PPP was founded in 2001 by businessman and Democratic pollster Dean Debnam, the firm's current president and chief executive officer...
(report)
| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"| September 18–21, 2009
| rowspan=2 | 617
| rowspan=2 | ± 3.9%
| —
| align=center| 57%
| —
| align=center| 30%
| —
| —
| 13%
|-
| —
| align=center| 55%
| —
| —
| align=center| 25%
| —
| 20%
|-
| rowspan="6" style="text-align:left;"|Research 2000
Research 2000
Research 2000 is a U.S. opinion polling and marketing research company based in Olney, Maryland. It began doing research on upcoming elections in 1999 after its President, Del Ali, moved on from Mason-Dixon Political Media Research...
(report)
| rowspan="6" style="text-align:left;"| March 29–31, 2010
| rowspan=6 | 600
| rowspan=6 | ± 4.0%
| align=center| 43%
| —
| align=center| 42%
| —
| —
| —
| 15%
|-
| align=center| 48%
| —
| —
| align=center| 36%
| —
| —
| 15%
|-
| align=center| 49%
| —
| —
| —
| align=center| 37%
| —
| 15%
|-
| —
| align=center| 48%
| align=center| 42%
| —
| —
| —
| 10%
|-
| —
| align=center| 52%
| —
| align=center| 34%
| —
| —
| 15%
|-
| —
| align=center| 53%
| —
| —
| align=center| 33%
| —
| 13%
|-
| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"|Rasmussen Reports
(report)
| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"| April 13, 2010
| rowspan=2 | 500
| rowspan=2 | ± 4.5%
| —
| align=center| 54%
| —
| —
| align=center| 32%
| 8%
| 6%
|-
| align=center| 48%
| —
| —
| —
| align=center| 39%
| 7%
| 7%
|-
|-
| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling
(report)
| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"| April 23–25, 2010
| rowspan=2 | 813
| rowspan=2 | ± 3.4%
| align=center| 49%
| —
| —
| align=center| 33%
| —
| —
| 13%
|-
| align=center| 39%
| —
| —
| —
| align=center| 42%
| —
| 19%
|-
| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"| Behavior Research Center
(report)
| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"| April 12–25, 2010
| rowspan=2 | 666
| rowspan=2 | ± 3.5%
| —
| align=center| 46%
| —
| —
| align=center| 24%
| —
| 30%
|-
| align=center| 37%
| —
| —
| —
| align=center| 30%
| —
| 33%
|-
| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"| Rasmussen Reports
(report)
| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"| May 17, 2010
| rowspan=2 | 1,000
| rowspan=2 | ± 3.0%
| —
| align=center| 57%
| —
| —
| align=center| 28%
| 9%
| 7%
|-
| align=center| 49%
| —
| —
| —
| align=center| 33%
| 9%
| 9%
|-
| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"| Rasmussen Reports
(http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arizona/questions/questions_arizona_senate_october_28_2010)
| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"| July 29, 2010
| rowspan=2 | 500
| rowspan=2 | ± 4.5%
| —
| align=center| 53%
| —
| —
| align=center| 34%
| 11%
| 3%
|-
| align=center| 38%
| —
| —
| —
| align=center| 43%
| 13%
| 6%
|}
Fundraising
{| class="wikitable sortable"|-
! Candidate (party)
! Receipts
! Disbursements
! Cash on hand
! Debt
|-
| |John McCain (R)
| $20,077,490
| $11,868,523
| $472,777
| $27,999
|-
| |Rodney Glassman (D)
| $1,366,612
| $1,087,161
| $279,450
| $500,000
|- align=center
| colspan="5" | Source: Federal Election Commission
|}
Results
External links
- Arizona Secretary of State - Elections
- U.S. Congress candidates for Arizona at Project Vote SmartProject Vote SmartProject Vote Smart is a non-profit, non-partisan research organization that collects and distributes information on candidates for public office in the United States...
- Arizona U.S. Senate from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign contributions from Open SecretsOpen SecretsOpen Secrets is a book of short stories by Alice Munro published by McClelland and Stewart in 1994. It was nominated for the 1994 Governor General's Award for English Fiction.-Stories:* "Carried Away"* "A Real Life"...
- 2010 Arizona Senate Election graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Arizona Senate from Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports is an American media company that publishes and distributes information based on public opinion polling. Founded by pollster Scott Rasmussen in 2003, the company updates daily indexes including the President's job approval rating, and provides public opinion data, analysis, and...
- 2010 Arizona Senate Race from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Arizona Senate Race from CQ PoliticsCongressional QuarterlyCongressional Quarterly, Inc., or CQ, is a privately owned publishing company that produces a number of publications reporting primarily on the United States Congress...
- Race profile from The New York TimesThe New York TimesThe New York Times is an American daily newspaper founded and continuously published in New York City since 1851. The New York Times has won 106 Pulitzer Prizes, the most of any news organization...
Debates
- Arizona Senate Republican Primary Debate, C-SPANC-SPANC-SPAN , an acronym for Cable-Satellite Public Affairs Network, is an American cable television network that offers coverage of federal government proceedings and other public affairs programming via its three television channels , one radio station and a group of websites that provide streaming...
, July 16, 2010 - Arizona Senate Republican Primary Debate, C-SPANC-SPANC-SPAN , an acronym for Cable-Satellite Public Affairs Network, is an American cable television network that offers coverage of federal government proceedings and other public affairs programming via its three television channels , one radio station and a group of websites that provide streaming...
, July 17, 2010 - Arizona Senate Debate, C-SPANC-SPANC-SPAN , an acronym for Cable-Satellite Public Affairs Network, is an American cable television network that offers coverage of federal government proceedings and other public affairs programming via its three television channels , one radio station and a group of websites that provide streaming...
, September 26, 2010
Official campaign websites