United States Senate election in Florida, 2012
Encyclopedia
The 2012 United States Senate election in Florida will be held on November 6, 2012 alongside a presidential election, other elections to the United States Congress
, as well as various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic
U.S. Senator Bill Nelson
is running for re-election to a third term.
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Hypothetical polling
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{| class="wikitable"
|- valign= bottom
! style="width:91px;"| Poll source
! style="width:140px;"| Date(s)
administered
! class=small | Sample
size
! Margin of
error
! style="width:100px;"| Bill
Nelson (D)
! style="width:103px;"| Vern
Buchanan (R)
! Other
! Undecided
|-
| Mason-Dixon
| align=center| August 18-22, 2011
| align=center| 625
| align=center| ± 4.0%
| align=center| 45%
| align=center| 35%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 20%
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|- valign= bottom
! Poll source
! style="width:140px;"| Date(s)
administered
! class=small | Sample
size
! Margin of
error
! style="width:100px;"| Bill
Nelson (D)
! style="width:103px;"| Jeb
Bush (R)
! Other
! Undecided
|-
| Mason-Dixon
| align=center| February 9-10, 2011
| align=center| 625
| align=center| ± 4.0%
| align=center| 41%
| align=center| 49%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 10%
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| December 17–20, 2010
| align=center| 1,034
| align=center| ± 3.0%
| align=center| 44%
| align=center| 49%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 7%
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| July 16–18, 2010
| align=center| 900
| align=center| ± 3.26%
| align=center| 46%
| align=center| 44%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 9%
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|- valign= bottom
! Poll source
! style="width:140px;"| Date(s)
administered
! class=small | Sample
size
! Margin of
error
! style="width:100px;"| Bill
Nelson (D)
! style="width:103px;"| Mike
Haridopolos (R)
! Other
! Undecided
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| June 16-19, 2011
| align=center| 848
| align=center| ± 3.4%
| align=center| 47%
| align=center| 35%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 18%
|-
| Quinnipiac
| align=center| May 17-23, 2011
| align=center| 1,196
| align=center| ± 2.8%
| align=center| 47%
| align=center| 26%
| align=center| 2%
| align=center| 22%
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| March 24-27, 2011
| align=center| 500
| align=center| ± 4.4%
| align=center| 50%
| align=center| 34%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 17%
|-
| Mason-Dixon
| align=center| February 9-10, 2011
| align=center| 625
| align=center| ± 4.0%
| align=center| 48%
| align=center| 27%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 25%
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| December 17-20, 2010
| align=center| 1,034
| align=center| ± 3.0%
| align=center| 44%
| align=center| 32%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 24%
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|- valign= bottom
! Poll source
! style="width:140px;"| Date(s)
administered
! class=small | Sample
size
! Margin of
error
! style="width:100px;"| Bill
Nelson (D)
! style="width:100px;"| Rush
Limbaugh (R)
! Other
! Undecided
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| October 9–10, 2010
| align=center| 448
| align=center| ± 4.6%
| align=center| 50%
| align=center| 36%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 14%
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|- valign= bottom
! Poll source
! style="width:140px;"| Date(s)
administered
! class=small | Sample
size
! Margin of
error
! style="width:100px;"| Bill
Nelson (D)
! style="width:103px;"| Joe
Scarborough (R)
! Other
! Undecided
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| March 24-27, 2011
| align=center| 500
| align=center| ± 4.4%
| align=center| 45%
| align=center| 32%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 22%
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|- valign= bottom
! Poll source
! style="width:140px;"| Date(s)
administered
! class=small | Sample
size
! Margin of
error
! style="width:100px;"| Bill
Nelson (D)
! style="width:103px;"| Jimmy
Wales (R)
! Other
! Undecided
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| March 24-27, 2011
| align=center| 500
| align=center| ± 4.4%
| align=center| 47%
| align=center| 28%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 25%
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|- valign= bottom
! style="width:92px;"| Poll source
! style="width:140px;"| Date(s)
administered
! class=small | Sample
size
! Margin of
error
! style="width:100px;"| Bill
Nelson (D)
! style="width:103px;"| Allen
West (R)
! Other
! Undecided
|-
| Mason-Dixon
| align=center| August 18-22, 2011
| align=center| 625
| align=center| ± 4.0%
| align=center| 44%
| align=center| 38%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 18%
|}
Official campaign websites
United States Congress
The United States Congress is the bicameral legislature of the federal government of the United States, consisting of the Senate and the House of Representatives. The Congress meets in the United States Capitol in Washington, D.C....
, as well as various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic
Democratic Party (United States)
The Democratic Party is one of two major contemporary political parties in the United States, along with the Republican Party. The party's socially liberal and progressive platform is largely considered center-left in the U.S. political spectrum. The party has the lengthiest record of continuous...
U.S. Senator Bill Nelson
Bill Nelson
Clarence William "Bill" Nelson is the senior United States Senator from the state of Florida and a member of the Democratic Party. He is a former U.S. Representative and former Treasurer and Insurance Commissioner of Florida...
is running for re-election to a third term.
Declared
- Bill Fisher Jr., environmental consultant
- Adam HasnerAdam HasnerAdam Hasner , served as a State Representative for District 87 in the Florida House of Representatives until 2010. District 87 includes the coastal communities in the southern portion of Palm Beach County and the northern part of Broward County, including Boca Raton, Delray Beach, Deerfield Beach...
, former Florida House of RepresentativesFlorida House of RepresentativesThe Florida House of Representatives is the lower house of the Florida Legislature, the state legislature of the U.S. state of Florida. The House is composed of 120 members representing an equal number of districts, with each district having an average population of 156,677.The House convenes at...
majority leader - George LeMieuxGeorge LeMieuxGeorge Stephen LeMieux is a former United States Senator from Florida. He was Chairman of the Florida-based law firm of Gunster Yoakley & Stewart, P.A. and served as Chief of Staff to Governor Charlie Crist, was former Deputy Florida Attorney General, and is credited with spearheading Crist's...
, former U.S senator - Connie Mack IVConnie Mack IVCornelius Harvey McGillicuddy IV popularly known as Connie Mack IV is the U.S. Representative for , serving since 2005. He is a member of the Republican Party. The district includes Fort Myers and Naples....
, U.S. representative - Mike McCalister, university professor and 2010 Republican primary candidateFlorida gubernatorial election, 2010The 2010 Florida gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Governor Charlie Crist chose not to run for a second term and instead ran for the Senate seat vacated by Mel Martinez. This resulted in an open race for Governor of Florida...
- Ron McNeil, businessman
- Craig Miller, former CEOChief executive officerA chief executive officer , managing director , Executive Director for non-profit organizations, or chief executive is the highest-ranking corporate officer or administrator in charge of total management of an organization...
of Ruth's Chris Steak HouseRuth's Chris Steak HouseRuth's Chris Steak House is a chain of more than 121 steakhouses across the United States and in several international locations. The restaurant is regarded as an upscale fine dining establishment, marking a gradual elevation in its status since its founding in the 1960s...
and unsuccessful 2010 candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives - Ron Rushing, businessman
- Marielena Stuart, conservative activist and journalist
Potential
- Rick BakerRick Baker (mayor)Rick Baker is the former mayor of St. Petersburg, Florida. Elected in 2001, he was reelected in November 2005 with more than 70% of the votes cast.-Background:...
, former mayor of St. PetersburgSt. Petersburg, FloridaSt. Petersburg is a city in Pinellas County, Florida, United States. It is known as a vacation destination for both American and foreign tourists. As of 2008, the population estimate by the U.S. Census Bureau is 245,314, making St... - Jennifer CarrollJennifer CarrollJennifer Carroll is a Trinidadian-born American politician who is the 18th and current Lieutenant Governor of the U.S. state of Florida. The first African American and the first woman elected to the position, she assumed the office on January 4, 2011...
, lieutenant governor - Tom Lee, former president of the Florida SenateFlorida SenateThe Florida Senate is the upper house of the Florida Legislature, the state legislature of the U.S. state of Florida. The Senate is composed of 40 members representing an equal number of districts, with each district having an average population of 470,032....
- Will McBride, attorney
- Chris Ruddy, founder and CEO of Newsmax
- Daniel WebsterDaniel Webster (Florida politician)Daniel A. "Dan" Webster is the Republican U.S. Representative for central , serving since January 3, 2011. He defeated the incumbent Democrat, Alan Grayson, by an 18 percent margin in the November 2010 election. Previously, Webster served 28 years in the Florida state legislature...
, U.S. representative
Declined
- Allan BenseAllan BenseAllan G. Bense is a businessman from Panama City, Florida. He is a partner in several companies with interests in road building, mechanical contracting, insurance, general contracting, golf courses, and farming....
, former Speaker of the Florida House of RepresentativesSpeaker of the Florida House of RepresentativesThe Speaker is the presiding member of the Florida House of Representatives... - Vern BuchananVern BuchananVernon G. "Vern" Buchanan is the Congressman for , serving since 2007. He is a member of the Republican Party.-Early life and education:...
, U.S. representative - Jeb BushJeb BushJohn Ellis "Jeb" Bush is an American politician who served as the 43rd Governor of Florida from 1999 to 2007. He is a prominent member of the Bush family: the second son of former President George H. W. Bush and former First Lady Barbara Bush; the younger brother of former President George W...
, former Florida governor - Alexander GeorgeAlexander GeorgeAlexander George may refer to:*Alex George, Australian botanist*Alexander L. George , American political scientist*Alexander George , American philosopher*Alex George , Scottish Grand Prix motorcycle racer...
, businessman, political activist, minister - Mike HaridopolosMike HaridopolosMike Haridopolos is a Republican Party politician from the U.S. state of Florida. He is president of the Florida Senate, a body in which he represents the 26th District. He was a candidate for the United States Senate in the 2012 election until he withdrew on July 18, 2011. His district of almost...
, President of the Florida Senate - Nick Loeb, businessman
- Tom RooneyTom Rooney (politician)Thomas J. "Tom" Rooney is the U.S. Representative for , serving since 2009. He is a member of the Republican Party.-Early life:...
, U.S. representative - Allen West, U.S. representative
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Adam Hasner |
George LeMieux |
Connie Mack IV |
Mike McCalister |
Craig Miller |
Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | November 28-30, 2011 | 470 | ± 4.5% | 3% | 12% | 40% | 4% | 3% | 38% |
Quinnipiac | October 31-November 7, 2011 | 513 | ± 4.3% | 2% | 9% | 32% | 6% | 2% | 45% |
Public Policy Polling | September 22-25, 2011 | 472 | ± 4.5% | 9% | 13% | — | 17% | 3% | 58% |
Quinnipiac | September 14-19, 2011 | 374 | ± 5.1% | 5% | 17% | — | 5% | 11% | 58% |
Quinnipiac | July 27-August 2, 2011 | 510 | ± 4.3% | 6% | 12% | — | 15% | align=center| 8% |
53% |
Endorsements
Endorsements for Adam Hasner |
---|
Endorsements for Connie Mack |
---|
Endorsements for George LeMieux |
---|
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Nelson (D) |
Adam Hasner (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | November 17, 2011 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 40% | 31% | 9% | 19% |
Public Policy Polling | September 22-25, 2011 | 476 | ± 4.5% | 49% | 35% | — | 16% |
Mason-Dixon | August 18-22, 2011 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 34% | — | 21% |
Public Policy Polling | June 16-19, 2011 | 848 | ± 3.4% | 47% | 35% | — | 19% |
Quinnipiac | May 17-23, 2011 | 1,196 | ± 2.8% | 48% | 23% | 3% | 24% |
Public Policy Polling | March 24-27, 2011 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 32% | — | 20% |
Mason-Dixon | February 9-10, 2011 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 24% | — | 30% |
Public Policy Polling | December 17-20, 2010 | 1,034 | ± 3.0% | 46% | 30% | — | 25% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Nelson (D) |
George LeMieux (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | November 17, 2011 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 39% | 33% | 10% | 18% |
Public Policy Polling | September 22-25, 2011 | 476 | ± 4.5% | 49% | 35% | — | 15% |
Mason-Dixon | August 18-22, 2011 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 49% | 34% | — | 17% |
Public Policy Polling | June 16-19, 2011 | 848 | ± 3.4% | 46% | 35% | — | 19% |
Quinnipiac | May 17-23, 2011 | 1,196 | ± 2.8% | 47% | 27% | 2% | 22% |
Public Policy Polling | March 24-27, 2011 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 33% | — | 19% |
Mason-Dixon | February 9-10, 2011 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 49% | 35% | — | 16% |
Public Policy Polling | December 17–20, 2010 | 1,034 | ± 3.0% | 47% | 36% | — | 17% |
Public Policy Polling | July 16–18, 2010 | 900 | ± 3.26% | 49% | 28% | — | 23% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Nelson (D) |
Connie Mack IV (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | November 17, 2011 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 39% | 43% | 5% | 13% |
Quinnipiac | October 31-November 7, 2011 | 1,185 | ± 2.9% | 42% | 40% | 1% | 16% |
Public Policy Polling | March 24-27, 2011 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 47% | 34% | — | 18% |
Mason-Dixon | February 9-10, 2011 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 40% | — | 15% |
Public Policy Polling | December 17-20, 2010 | 1,034 | ± 3.0% | 44% | 36% | — | 20% |
Public Policy Polling | October 9–10, 2010 | 448 | ± 4.6% | 42% | 33% | — | 25% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Nelson (D) |
Mike McCalister (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | September 22-25, 2011 | 476 | ± 4.5% | 47% | 34% | — | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Nelson (D) |
Craig Miller (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | September 22-25, 2011 | 476 | ± 4.5% | 49% | 32% | — | 19% |
{| class="navbox collapsible collapsed" style="text-align:left; border:0; margin-top:0.2em;"
|-
! style="background:#cff; font-weight:normal;"|
Hypothetical polling
|-
| style="border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;"|
{| class="wikitable"
|- valign= bottom
! style="width:91px;"| Poll source
! style="width:140px;"| Date(s)
administered
! class=small | Sample
size
! Margin of
error
! style="width:100px;"| Bill
Nelson (D)
! style="width:103px;"| Vern
Buchanan (R)
! Other
! Undecided
|-
| Mason-Dixon
| align=center| August 18-22, 2011
| align=center| 625
| align=center| ± 4.0%
| align=center| 45%
| align=center| 35%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 20%
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|- valign= bottom
! Poll source
! style="width:140px;"| Date(s)
administered
! class=small | Sample
size
! Margin of
error
! style="width:100px;"| Bill
Nelson (D)
! style="width:103px;"| Jeb
Bush (R)
! Other
! Undecided
|-
| Mason-Dixon
| align=center| February 9-10, 2011
| align=center| 625
| align=center| ± 4.0%
| align=center| 41%
| align=center| 49%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 10%
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| December 17–20, 2010
| align=center| 1,034
| align=center| ± 3.0%
| align=center| 44%
| align=center| 49%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 7%
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| July 16–18, 2010
| align=center| 900
| align=center| ± 3.26%
| align=center| 46%
| align=center| 44%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 9%
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|- valign= bottom
! Poll source
! style="width:140px;"| Date(s)
administered
! class=small | Sample
size
! Margin of
error
! style="width:100px;"| Bill
Nelson (D)
! style="width:103px;"| Mike
Haridopolos (R)
! Other
! Undecided
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| June 16-19, 2011
| align=center| 848
| align=center| ± 3.4%
| align=center| 47%
| align=center| 35%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 18%
|-
| Quinnipiac
| align=center| May 17-23, 2011
| align=center| 1,196
| align=center| ± 2.8%
| align=center| 47%
| align=center| 26%
| align=center| 2%
| align=center| 22%
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| March 24-27, 2011
| align=center| 500
| align=center| ± 4.4%
| align=center| 50%
| align=center| 34%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 17%
|-
| Mason-Dixon
| align=center| February 9-10, 2011
| align=center| 625
| align=center| ± 4.0%
| align=center| 48%
| align=center| 27%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 25%
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| December 17-20, 2010
| align=center| 1,034
| align=center| ± 3.0%
| align=center| 44%
| align=center| 32%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 24%
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|- valign= bottom
! Poll source
! style="width:140px;"| Date(s)
administered
! class=small | Sample
size
! Margin of
error
! style="width:100px;"| Bill
Nelson (D)
! style="width:100px;"| Rush
Limbaugh (R)
! Other
! Undecided
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| October 9–10, 2010
| align=center| 448
| align=center| ± 4.6%
| align=center| 50%
| align=center| 36%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 14%
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|- valign= bottom
! Poll source
! style="width:140px;"| Date(s)
administered
! class=small | Sample
size
! Margin of
error
! style="width:100px;"| Bill
Nelson (D)
! style="width:103px;"| Joe
Scarborough (R)
! Other
! Undecided
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| March 24-27, 2011
| align=center| 500
| align=center| ± 4.4%
| align=center| 45%
| align=center| 32%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 22%
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|- valign= bottom
! Poll source
! style="width:140px;"| Date(s)
administered
! class=small | Sample
size
! Margin of
error
! style="width:100px;"| Bill
Nelson (D)
! style="width:103px;"| Jimmy
Wales (R)
! Other
! Undecided
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| March 24-27, 2011
| align=center| 500
| align=center| ± 4.4%
| align=center| 47%
| align=center| 28%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 25%
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|- valign= bottom
! style="width:92px;"| Poll source
! style="width:140px;"| Date(s)
administered
! class=small | Sample
size
! Margin of
error
! style="width:100px;"| Bill
Nelson (D)
! style="width:103px;"| Allen
West (R)
! Other
! Undecided
|-
| Mason-Dixon
| align=center| August 18-22, 2011
| align=center| 625
| align=center| ± 4.0%
| align=center| 44%
| align=center| 38%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 18%
|}
See also
- United States Senate elections, 2012United States Senate elections, 2012Elections to the United States Senate are to be held on November 6, 2012, with 33 of the 100 seats in the Senate being contested in regular elections whose winners will serve six-year terms from January 3, 2013 until January 3, 2019. Additionally, special elections may be held to fill vacancies...
- United States House of Representatives elections in Florida, 2012United States House of Representatives elections in Florida, 2012The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida will be held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012 to elect the twenty nine Congressional representatives from the state, one from each of the state's twenty nine Congressional districts, a two seat increase due to the 2010 United States...
External links
- Florida Secretary of State - Division of Elections
- U.S. Congress candidates for Florida at Project Vote SmartProject Vote SmartProject Vote Smart is a non-profit, non-partisan research organization that collects and distributes information on candidates for public office in the United States...
Official campaign websites