United States Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2012
Encyclopedia
The 2012 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania will be held on November 6, 2012 alongside a presidential election
, other elections to the United States Senate
in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives
and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Bob Casey, Jr.
is running for re-election to a second term.
, the State Treasurer and son of former Governor Bob Casey, Sr.
, defeated two-term incumbent Republican
Senator Rick Santorum
with 58.64% of votes cast. Santorum's margin of defeat was the largest for an incumbent Republican Senator in Pennsylvania history; it was also the first time a Democrat
was elected to a full Senate term from Pennsylvania since Joseph Clark
was re-elected in 1962.
Pennsylvania is considered a battleground state
; since the 1970
election of Governor Milton Shapp
, no governor has lost his bid for re-election, and partisan control of the governorship has alternated between Democratic and Republican. Additionally, Republicans have controlled the State Senate since 1995, while Democrats assumed control of the State House
following the 2006 election
, only to lose control in the 2010 election
.
{| class="navbox collapsible collapsed" style="text-align:left; border:0; margin-top:0.2em;"
|-
! style="background:#cff; font-weight:normal;"|
Hypothetical polling
|-
| style="border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;"|
{| class="wikitable"
|- valign= bottom
! Poll source
! style="width:130px;"| Date(s)
administered
! class=small | Sample
size
! Margin of
error
! style="width:100px;"| Bob
Casey, Jr. (D)
! style="width:100px;"| Jake
Corman (R)
! Other
! Undecided
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| June 30-July 5, 2011
| align=center| 545
| align=center| ± 4.2%
| align=center| 51%
| align=center| 35%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 14%
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| April 7-10, 2011
| align=center| 593
| align=center| ± 4.0%
| align=center| 51%
| align=center| 35%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 14%
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|- valign= bottom
! Poll source
! style="width:130px;"| Date(s)
administered
! class=small | Sample
size
! Margin of
error
! style="width:100px;"| Bob
Casey, Jr. (D)
! style="width:100px;"| Tim
Murphy (R)
! Other
! Undecided
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| June 30-July 5, 2011
| align=center| 545
| align=center| ± 4.2%
| align=center| 47%
| align=center| 35%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 18%
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|- valign= bottom
! Poll source
! style="width:130px;"| Date(s)
administered
! class=small | Sample
size
! Margin of
error
! style="width:100px;"| Bob
Casey, Jr. (D)
! style="width:100px;"| Rick
Santorum (R)
! Other
! Undecided
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| November 17-20, 2011
| align=center| 500
| align=center| ± 4.4%
| align=center| 49%
| align=center| 39%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 11%
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| June 30-July 5, 2011
| align=center| 545
| align=center| ± 4.2%
| align=center| 48%
| align=center| 39%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 13%
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| April 7-10, 2011
| align=center| 593
| align=center| ± 4.0%
| align=center| 49%
| align=center| 37%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 13%
|-
| Municipoll
| align=center| February 21-23, 2011
| align=center| 670
| align=center| ± 3.79.%
| align=center| 50%
| align=center| 38%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 12%
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| January 3-5, 2011
| align=center| 547
| align=center| ± 4.2%
| align=center| 48%
| align=center| 41%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 10%
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| June 19-21, 2010
| align=center| 609
| align=center| ± 4.0%
| align=center| 51%
| align=center| 39%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 10%
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|- valign= bottom
! Poll source
! style="width:130px;"| Date(s)
administered
! class=small | Sample
size
! Margin of
error
! style="width:100px;"| Bob
Casey, Jr. (D)
! style="width:100px;"| Mark
Schweiker (R)
! Other
! Undecided
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| January 3-5, 2011
| align=center| 547
| align=center| ± 4.2%
| align=center| 47%
| align=center| 34%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 18%
|}
Official campaign websites
Presidential election
A presidential election is the election of any head of state whose official title is president.- United States :The United States has elections on the state and local levels...
, other elections to the United States Senate
United States Senate
The United States Senate is the upper house of the bicameral legislature of the United States, and together with the United States House of Representatives comprises the United States Congress. The composition and powers of the Senate are established in Article One of the U.S. Constitution. Each...
in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives
United States House of Representatives
The United States House of Representatives is one of the two Houses of the United States Congress, the bicameral legislature which also includes the Senate.The composition and powers of the House are established in Article One of the Constitution...
and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Bob Casey, Jr.
Bob Casey, Jr.
Robert Patrick "Bob" Casey, Jr. is the senior U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania and a member of the Democratic Party. He previously served as Pennsylvania Treasurer, and Pennsylvania Auditor General. He is the son of former Governor Bob Casey, Sr..He is the first Democrat elected to a full term in...
is running for re-election to a second term.
Background
On November 7, 2006, Bob Casey, Jr.Bob Casey, Jr.
Robert Patrick "Bob" Casey, Jr. is the senior U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania and a member of the Democratic Party. He previously served as Pennsylvania Treasurer, and Pennsylvania Auditor General. He is the son of former Governor Bob Casey, Sr..He is the first Democrat elected to a full term in...
, the State Treasurer and son of former Governor Bob Casey, Sr.
Robert P. Casey
Robert Patrick "Bob" Casey, Sr. was an American politician from Pennsylvania. A member of the Democratic Party, he served as the 42nd Governor of Pennsylvania from 1987 to 1995...
, defeated two-term incumbent Republican
Republican Party (United States)
The Republican Party is one of the two major contemporary political parties in the United States, along with the Democratic Party. Founded by anti-slavery expansion activists in 1854, it is often called the GOP . The party's platform generally reflects American conservatism in the U.S...
Senator Rick Santorum
Rick Santorum
Richard John "Rick" Santorum is a lawyer and a former United States Senator from the commonwealth of Pennsylvania. Santorum was the chairman of the Senate Republican Conference -making him the third-ranking Senate Republican from 2001 until his leave in 2007. Santorum is considered both a social...
with 58.64% of votes cast. Santorum's margin of defeat was the largest for an incumbent Republican Senator in Pennsylvania history; it was also the first time a Democrat
Democratic Party (United States)
The Democratic Party is one of two major contemporary political parties in the United States, along with the Republican Party. The party's socially liberal and progressive platform is largely considered center-left in the U.S. political spectrum. The party has the lengthiest record of continuous...
was elected to a full Senate term from Pennsylvania since Joseph Clark
Joseph S. Clark
Joseph Sill Clark, Jr. was a U.S. lawyer and Democratic Party politician in the mid-20th century. He served as the mayor of Philadelphia from 1952 until 1956, and as a United States Senator from Pennsylvania from 1957 until 1969...
was re-elected in 1962.
Pennsylvania is considered a battleground state
Swing state
In United States presidential politics, a swing state is a state in which no single candidate or party has overwhelming support in securing that state's electoral college votes...
; since the 1970
Pennsylvania gubernatorial election, 1970
The Pennsylvania gubernatorial election of 1970 was held on November 3. Democrat Milton Shapp challenged incumbent Republican Lieutenant Governor Raymond Broderick....
election of Governor Milton Shapp
Milton Shapp
Milton Jerrold Shapp was the 40th Governor of the U.S. state of Pennsylvania from 1971 to 1979 and was the first Jewish governor of Pennsylvania.- Early life :...
, no governor has lost his bid for re-election, and partisan control of the governorship has alternated between Democratic and Republican. Additionally, Republicans have controlled the State Senate since 1995, while Democrats assumed control of the State House
Pennsylvania House of Representatives
The Pennsylvania House of Representatives is the lower house of the bicameral Pennsylvania General Assembly, the legislature of the U.S. state of Pennsylvania. There are 203 members, elected for two year terms from single member districts....
following the 2006 election
Pennsylvania House of Representatives elections, 2006
The 2006 Elections for the Pennsylvania House of Representatives were held on November 7, 2006, with all districts being contested. Necessary primary elections were held on May 16, 2006. Members elected in 2006 were inaugurated on January 2, 2007...
, only to lose control in the 2010 election
Pennsylvania House of Representatives elections, 2010
The 2010 elections for the Pennsylvania House of Representatives were held on November 2, 2010, with all districts being contested. Necessary primary elections were held on May 18, 2010. The term of office for those elected in 2010 will run from January 4, 2011 until November 30, 2012...
.
Declined
- Joe Sestak, former U.S. representative and 2010 Democratic nominee for U.S. SenateUnited States Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2010The 2010 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania took place on November 2, 2010, during the 2010 midterm elections. Incumbent Republican-turned-Democrat U.S. Senator Arlen Specter ran for re-election to a sixth term, but lost in the Democratic primary to Joe Sestak. Republican nominee Pat...
Declared
- Tim BurnsTim Burns (Pennsylvania businessman)Tim Burns is a Pennsylvania businessman who ran as a Republican in the 2010 special election to represent Western Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. Burns won the party nomination but lost the November general election to Democratic incumbent Mark Critz...
, businessman and unsuccessful candidate for the 12th district in the 2010 specialPennsylvania's 12th congressional district special election, 2010The 2010 special election for the 12th congressional district of Pennsylvania was held on May 18, 2010 to fill the seat left vacant by the death of Democratic U.S. Representative John Murtha. Democratic nominee Mark Critz, Murtha's former district director, defeated Republican nominee Tim Burns...
and general elections - David Christian, businessman and war veteran
- Laureen Cummings, Tea Party activist
- John Kensinger, pharmacist
- Sam RohrerSam RohrerSamuel E. Rohrer is a Republican politician and former member of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives for the 128th District.-Early life, education, and radio career:...
, former state representative - Marc Scaringi, attorney and former legislative aide to Rick SantorumRick SantorumRichard John "Rick" Santorum is a lawyer and a former United States Senator from the commonwealth of Pennsylvania. Santorum was the chairman of the Senate Republican Conference -making him the third-ranking Senate Republican from 2001 until his leave in 2007. Santorum is considered both a social...
- Tom Smith, farmer and former businessman
- John Vernon, retired ArmyUnited States ArmyThe United States Army is the main branch of the United States Armed Forces responsible for land-based military operations. It is the largest and oldest established branch of the U.S. military, and is one of seven U.S. uniformed services...
colonel - Steve Welch, businessman
Potential
- Charlie DentCharlie DentCharles "Charlie" Dent is the U.S. Representative for , serving since 2005. He is a member of the Republican Party.The district includes all of Northampton County, most of Lehigh County, and small parts of Berks and Montgomery Counties....
, U.S. representative - Jim GerlachJim GerlachJames "Jim" Gerlach is the U.S. Representative for , serving since 2003. He is a member of the Republican Party.- Early life, education and career :...
, U.S. representative - Keith Loiselle, businessman
- Glen MeakemGlen MeakemGlen Meakem is a venture capitalist and American conservative radio host based in Pittsburgh, PA.-Early life and education:...
, radio host - Pat MeehanPat MeehanPatrick Leo "Pat" Meehan is a Republican member of the United States House of Representatives, representing since January 3, 2011. The district includes most of Delaware County and parts of Chester and Montgomery Counties...
, U.S. representative - Dominic PileggiDominic PileggiDominic Pileggi is an American politician from Pennsylvania who serves as Republican Leader of the Pennsylvania State Senate. Pileggi represents the 9th district, which includes portions of Chester and Delaware Counties. Pileggi earned a B.A. in economics from Saint Joseph's University in 1979 and...
, State Senate Majority LeaderPennsylvania State SenateThe Pennsylvania State Senate has been meeting since 1791. It is the upper house of the Pennsylvania General Assembly, the Pennsylvania state legislature. The State Senate meets in the State Capitol building in Harrisburg. Senators are elected for four year terms, staggered every two years such... - Bill ShusterBill ShusterWilliam Shuster is the U.S. Representative for , serving since 2001. He is a member of the Republican Party. He is a son of former Congressman Bud Shuster.-Early life, education and career:...
, U.S. representative - Mike TurzaiMike TurzaiMike Turzai is an American politician currently serving as a member of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives. Turzai has represented the 28th legislative district since 2001 and is a member of the Republican Party...
, State House Majority LeaderPennsylvania House of RepresentativesThe Pennsylvania House of Representatives is the lower house of the bicameral Pennsylvania General Assembly, the legislature of the U.S. state of Pennsylvania. There are 203 members, elected for two year terms from single member districts.... - Kim WardKim WardKim Ward is a Republican member of the Pennsylvania State Senate. It was reported on December 9, 2010 that Senator Ward was exploring a run against US Senator Bob Casey, Jr. in 2012. Senator Ward confirmed she is considering a run, but no formal decision had been made.-External links:* official...
, state senator - Joe Watkins, MSNBC contributor
Declined
- Jake CormanJake CormanJacob Doyle "Jake" Corman III is a Republican member of the Pennsylvania State Senate who has represented the 34th Senatorial District since 1999. The district includes portions of Centre, Mifflin and Union Counties and all of Juniata and Perry Counties...
, state senator - Tim Murphy, U.S. representative
- Rick SantorumRick SantorumRichard John "Rick" Santorum is a lawyer and a former United States Senator from the commonwealth of Pennsylvania. Santorum was the chairman of the Senate Republican Conference -making him the third-ranking Senate Republican from 2001 until his leave in 2007. Santorum is considered both a social...
, former senator (running for president) - Mark Schweiker, former Pennsylvania governor
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tim Burns |
Laureen Cummings |
Sam Rohrer |
Marc Scaringi |
Tom Smith |
John Vernon |
Steve Welch |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | November 17-20, 2011 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 15% | 2% | 25% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 8% | 43% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jake Corman |
Laureen Cummings |
Charlie Dent |
Jim Gerlach |
Tim Murphy |
Rick Santorum |
Marc Scaringi |
Mark Schweiker |
Kim Ward |
Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 30-July 5, 2011 | 376 | ± 5.1% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 47% | 1% | — | 0% | 18% |
Public Policy Polling | January 3-5, 2011 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 3% | — | 8% | 9% | 7% | 45% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 19% |
9% | — | 10% | 14% | 13% | — | 1% | 18% | 2% | 33% |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bob Casey, Jr. (D) |
Tim Burns (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | November 17-20, 2011 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 49% | 34% | — | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bob Casey, Jr. (D) |
Laureen Cummings (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 30-July 5, 2011 | 545 | ± 4.2% | 51% | 31% | — | 18% |
Public Policy Polling | April 7-10, 2011 | 593 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 32% | — | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bob Casey, Jr. (D) |
Charlie Dent (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | April 7-10, 2011 | 593 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 31% | — | 18% |
Municipoll | February 21-23, 2011 | 670 | ± 3.79.% | 51% | 32% | — | 17% |
Public Policy Polling | January 3-5, 2011 | 547 | ± 4.2% | 51% | 31% | — | 18% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bob Casey, Jr. (D) |
Jim Gerlach (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 30-July 5, 2011 | 545 | ± 4.2% | 49% | 33% | — | 17% |
Public Policy Polling | April 7-10, 2011 | 593 | ± 4.0% | 50% | 32% | — | 19% |
Municipoll | February 21-23, 2011 | 670 | ± 3.79.% | 48% | 34% | — | 17% |
Public Policy Polling | January 3-5, 2011 | 547 | ± 4.2% | 49% | 33% | — | 18% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bob Casey, Jr. (D) |
Sam Rohrer (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | November 17-20, 2011 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 47% | 36% | — | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bob Casey, Jr. (D) |
Marc Scaringi (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 30-July 5, 2011 | 545 | ± 4.2% | 47% | 29% | — | 24% |
Public Policy Polling | April 7-10, 2011 | 593 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 28% | — | 21% |
Public Policy Polling | January 3-5, 2011 | 547 | ± 4.2% | 50% | 27% | — | 22% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bob Casey, Jr. (D) |
Tom Smith (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | November 17-20, 2011 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 32% | — | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bob Casey, Jr. (D) |
Kim Ward (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | April 7-10, 2011 | 593 | ± 4.0% | 50% | 29% | — | 21% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bob Casey, Jr. (D) |
Steve Welch (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | November 17-20, 2011 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 47% | 33% | — | 20% |
{| class="navbox collapsible collapsed" style="text-align:left; border:0; margin-top:0.2em;"
|-
! style="background:#cff; font-weight:normal;"|
Hypothetical polling
|-
| style="border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;"|
{| class="wikitable"
|- valign= bottom
! Poll source
! style="width:130px;"| Date(s)
administered
! class=small | Sample
size
! Margin of
error
! style="width:100px;"| Bob
Casey, Jr. (D)
! style="width:100px;"| Jake
Corman (R)
! Other
! Undecided
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| June 30-July 5, 2011
| align=center| 545
| align=center| ± 4.2%
| align=center| 51%
| align=center| 35%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 14%
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| April 7-10, 2011
| align=center| 593
| align=center| ± 4.0%
| align=center| 51%
| align=center| 35%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 14%
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|- valign= bottom
! Poll source
! style="width:130px;"| Date(s)
administered
! class=small | Sample
size
! Margin of
error
! style="width:100px;"| Bob
Casey, Jr. (D)
! style="width:100px;"| Tim
Murphy (R)
! Other
! Undecided
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| June 30-July 5, 2011
| align=center| 545
| align=center| ± 4.2%
| align=center| 47%
| align=center| 35%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 18%
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|- valign= bottom
! Poll source
! style="width:130px;"| Date(s)
administered
! class=small | Sample
size
! Margin of
error
! style="width:100px;"| Bob
Casey, Jr. (D)
! style="width:100px;"| Rick
Santorum (R)
! Other
! Undecided
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| November 17-20, 2011
| align=center| 500
| align=center| ± 4.4%
| align=center| 49%
| align=center| 39%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 11%
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| June 30-July 5, 2011
| align=center| 545
| align=center| ± 4.2%
| align=center| 48%
| align=center| 39%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 13%
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| April 7-10, 2011
| align=center| 593
| align=center| ± 4.0%
| align=center| 49%
| align=center| 37%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 13%
|-
| Municipoll
| align=center| February 21-23, 2011
| align=center| 670
| align=center| ± 3.79.%
| align=center| 50%
| align=center| 38%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 12%
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| January 3-5, 2011
| align=center| 547
| align=center| ± 4.2%
| align=center| 48%
| align=center| 41%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 10%
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| June 19-21, 2010
| align=center| 609
| align=center| ± 4.0%
| align=center| 51%
| align=center| 39%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 10%
|}
{| class="wikitable"
|- valign= bottom
! Poll source
! style="width:130px;"| Date(s)
administered
! class=small | Sample
size
! Margin of
error
! style="width:100px;"| Bob
Casey, Jr. (D)
! style="width:100px;"| Mark
Schweiker (R)
! Other
! Undecided
|-
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| January 3-5, 2011
| align=center| 547
| align=center| ± 4.2%
| align=center| 47%
| align=center| 34%
| align=center| —
| align=center| 18%
|}
See also
- United States Senate elections, 2012United States Senate elections, 2012Elections to the United States Senate are to be held on November 6, 2012, with 33 of the 100 seats in the Senate being contested in regular elections whose winners will serve six-year terms from January 3, 2013 until January 3, 2019. Additionally, special elections may be held to fill vacancies...
- United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania, 2012United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania, 2012The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania will be held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012 to elect the five U.S. Representatives from the state of Pennsylvania, a loss of one seat following the 2010 United States Census...
External links
- Pennsylvania Department of State
- U.S. Congress candidates for Pennsylvania at Project Vote SmartProject Vote SmartProject Vote Smart is a non-profit, non-partisan research organization that collects and distributes information on candidates for public office in the United States...
Official campaign websites