New South Wales state election, 2011

Elections to the 55th Parliament of New South Wales

Parliament of New South Wales

The Parliament of New South Wales, located in Parliament House on Macquarie Street, Sydney, is the main legislative body in the Australian state of New South Wales . It is a bicameral parliament elected by the people of the state in general elections. The parliament shares law making powers with...

were held on Saturday, 26 March 2011. The 16-year incumbent Australian Labor Party

Australian Labor Party

The Australian Labor Party is an Australian political party. It has been the governing party of the Commonwealth of Australia since the 2007 federal election. Julia Gillard is the party's federal parliamentary leader and Prime Minister of Australia...

government led by Premier Kristina Keneally

Kristina Keneally

Kristina Kerscher Keneally MP, is an Australian politician and was the 42nd Premier of New South Wales. She was elected leader of the Australian Labor Party in New South Wales and thus Premier in 2009, but went on to lose government to the Liberal/National Coalition at the March 2011 state election...

was defeated in a landslide by the Liberal

Liberal Party of Australia

The Liberal Party of Australia is an Australian political party.Founded a year after the 1943 federal election to replace the United Australia Party, the centre-right Liberal Party typically competes with the centre-left Australian Labor Party for political office...

-National

National Party of Australia

The National Party of Australia is an Australian political party.Traditionally representing graziers, farmers and rural voters generally, it began as the The Country Party, but adopted the name The National Country Party in 1975, changed to The National Party of Australia in 1982. The party is...

coalition

Coalition (Australia)

The Coalition in Australian politics refers to a group of centre-right parties that has existed in the form of a coalition agreement since 1922...

opposition led by Barry O'Farrell

Barry O'Farrell

Barry Robert O'Farrell MP, is an Australian politician and is the 43rd Premier of New South Wales, Minister for Western Sydney, Leader of the New South Wales Liberal Party and a Member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Ku-ring-gai for the Liberal Party since 1999.Born in...

.

New South Wales has compulsory voting

Compulsory voting

Compulsory voting is a system in which electors are obliged to vote in elections or attend a polling place on voting day. If an eligible voter does not attend a polling place, he or she may be subject to punitive measures such as fines, community service, or perhaps imprisonment if fines are unpaid...

, with an optional preferential ballot

Instant-runoff voting

Instant-runoff voting , also known as preferential voting, the alternative vote and ranked choice voting, is a voting system used to elect one winner. Voters rank candidates in order of preference, and their ballots are counted as one vote for their first choice candidate. If a candidate secures a...

in single-member seats for the lower house and single transferable vote

Single transferable vote

The single transferable vote is a voting system designed to achieve proportional representation through preferential voting. Under STV, an elector's vote is initially allocated to his or her most preferred candidate, and then, after candidates have been either elected or eliminated, any surplus or...

with optional preferential

Instant-runoff voting

above-the-line voting in the proportionally represented

Proportional representation

Proportional representation is a concept in voting systems used to elect an assembly or council. PR means that the number of seats won by a party or group of candidates is proportionate to the number of votes received. For example, under a PR voting system if 30% of voters support a particular...

upper house. The election was conducted by the New South Wales Electoral Commission

New South Wales Electoral Commission

The New South Wales Electoral Commission is the agency of the Government of New South Wales with responsibility for the adminisation, organisation, and supervision of elections in New South Wales for state government, local government, industrial and Aboriginal organisations, and registered clubs...

(NSWEC).

Lower house

Upper house

Party	Votes	% won	Swing	2011 seats	2007 seats	Total seats	Change
Legislative Council election, 2011
Liberal Liberal Party of Australia The Liberal Party of Australia is an Australian political party.Founded a year after the 1943 federal election to replace the United Australia Party, the centre-right Liberal Party typically competes with the centre-left Australian Labor Party for political office... /National National Party of Australia The National Party of Australia is an Australian political party.Traditionally representing graziers, farmers and rural voters generally, it began as the The Country Party, but adopted the name The National Country Party in 1975, changed to The National Party of Australia in 1982. The party is... Coalition Coalition (Australia) The Coalition in Australian politics refers to a group of centre-right parties that has existed in the form of a coalition agreement since 1922...	1,943,246	47.7	↑13.5	11	8	19	↑4
Australian Labor Party Australian Labor Party The Australian Labor Party is an Australian political party. It has been the governing party of the Commonwealth of Australia since the 2007 federal election. Julia Gillard is the party's federal parliamentary leader and Prime Minister of Australia...	967,242	23.7	↓15.4	5	9	14	↓5
Australian Greens Australian Greens The Australian Greens, commonly known as The Greens, is an Australian green political party.The party was formed in 1992; however, its origins can be traced to the early environmental movement in Australia and the formation of the United Tasmania Group , the first Green party in the world, which...	453,125	11.1	↑2.0	3	2	5	↑1
Shooters and Fishers Party	150,741	3.7	↑0.9	1	1	2	0
Christian Democratic Party Christian Democratic Party (Australia) The Christian Democratic Party is a right-wing political party in Australia. Its leader is Fred Nile, a Congregational Church minister and a member of the New South Wales Legislative Council.-Formation:...	127,233	3.1	↓1.3	1	1	2	0
Other	434,437	10.7	↑0.3	0	0	0	0
Total	4,076,024			21	21	42

Seats changing hands

Seat	*Pre-2011*				Swing	*Post-2011*
Seat	Party		Member	Margin	Swing	Margin	Member	Party
Balmain Electoral district of Balmain Balmain is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly of the Australian state of New South Wales in Sydney's Inner West. It includes the suburbs and localities of Annandale, Balmain, Balmain East, Birchgrove, Forest Lodge, Glebe, Glebe Island, Haberfield, Leichhardt, Lilyfield, Rozelle,...		Labor	Verity Firth Verity Firth Verity Helen Firth is the Chief Executive Officer of the Public Education Foundation in Australia and a former politician....	3.7	-7.2	3.5*	Jamie Parker Jamie Parker (politician) Jamie Thomas Parker MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Balmain for the Greens since 2011...	Greens
Bathurst		Labor	Gerard Martin Gerard Martin Gerard Francis Martin MP , a former Australian politician, was a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing the electorate of Bathurst between 1999 and 2011 for the Australian Labor Party....	13.0	-36.7	23.7	Paul Toole Paul Toole Paul Toole, an Australian politician, is the independent Mayor of Bathurst Regional Council since 2007, having previously served as a Councillor on BRC from 2005, and before that, serving as a Councillor on the now defunct Evans Shire Council from 1995–2005...	National
Blue Mountains		Labor	Phil Koperberg	11.1	-15.8	4.7	Roza Sage Roza Sage Dr Roza Eva Maria Sage MP , an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing the Blue Mountains for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and background:...	Liberal
Camden Electoral district of Camden Camden is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales in Sydney's south-west. It is currently represented by Chris Patterson of the Liberal Party of Australia.-History:...		Labor	Geoff Corrigan	3.9	-22.8	18.9	Chris Patterson Chris Patterson (politician) Christopher Stewart "Chris" Patterson MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Camden for the Liberal Party of Australia since the 2011.-Early life and background:...	Liberal
Campbelltown Electoral district of Campbelltown Campbelltown is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly of the Australian state of New South Wales in Sydney's South-west.It is represented by Bryan Doyle of the Liberal Party of Australia.-Members for Campbelltown:-Election results:...		Labor	Graham West Graham West Graham James West , a former Australian politician, was a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly for Campbelltown between 2001 and 2011 for the Australian Labor Party. He was Minister for Juvenile Justice, Minister for Volunteering and Minister for Youth in the New South Wales State...	18.5	-21.9	3.4	Bryan Doyle Bryan Doyle Bryan Michael Doyle MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Campbelltown for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and background:...	Liberal
Charlestown Electoral district of Charlestown Charlestown is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Andrew Cornwell of the Liberal Party of Australia....		Labor	Matthew Morris	14.6	-24.5	9.9	Andrew Cornwell Andrew Cornwell Andrew Stuart Cornwell MP, is an Australian politician representing the electoral district of Charlestown in the New South Wales Legislative Assembly for the Liberal Party of Australia since the 2011 New South Wales State election.-Early years and background:...	Liberal
Coogee Electoral district of Coogee Coogee is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Bruce Notley-Smith of the Liberal Party.-Members for Coogee:-Election results:...		Labor	Paul Pearce Paul Pearce Paul Ronald Pearce is an Australian politician. He was a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Coogee between 2003 and 2011 for the Australian Labor Party....	7.2	-15.4	8.2	Bruce Notley-Smith Bruce Notley-Smith Bruce Neville Notley-Smith MP , an Australian politician, is a Councillor and former Mayor of the City of Randwick, and is a Member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Coogee for the Liberal Party of Australia since 26 March 2011.-Early years and background:Notley-Smith grew up...	Liberal
Dubbo Electoral district of Dubbo Dubbo is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Troy Grant of the National Party of Australia....		Independent	Dawn Fardell Dawn Fardell Dawn Elizabeth Fardell , a former Australian politician, was an independent member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Dubbo between 2004 and 2011.-Early years and background:...	0.9	-14.6	13.7	Troy Grant Troy Grant Troy Grant, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Dubbo for the National Party of Australia since 26 March 2011.-Early years and background:...	National
Drummoyne Electoral district of Drummoyne Drummoyne is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by John Sidoti of the Liberal Party of Australia.-History:...		Labor	Angela D'Amore Angela D'Amore Angela D'Amore , a former Australian politician, was a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly, representing the electorate of Drummoyne from 2003 until 2011 initially for the Australian Labor Party until 2010, and then as an independent member until her retirement from politics in 2011...	7.6	-24.3	16.7	John Sidoti John Sidoti Anthony "John" Sidoti MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Drummoyne since 2011.-Early career and background:...	Liberal
East Hills Electoral district of East Hills East Hills is a state electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the state of New South Wales, Australia. It is represented by Glenn Brookes of the Liberal Party of Australia.-Members for East Hills:-Election results:...		Labor	Alan Ashton	14.1	-14.7	0.6	Glenn Brookes Glenn Brookes Glenn Edward Brookes MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing East Hills for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and background:...	Liberal
Gosford Electoral district of Gosford Gosford is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Chris Holstein of the Liberal Party. The former district of Gosford was renamed Terrigal for the 2007 state election...		Labor	Marie Andrews Marie Andrews Marie Therese Andrews , an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing the electorate of Peats for the Australian Labor Party between 1995 and 2007 and then the electorate of Gosford since 2007.Prior to entering politics, Andrews was a private...	4.9	-16.7	11.9	Chris Holstein Chris Holstein Christopher David "Chris" Holstein MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Gosford for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and background:...	Liberal
Granville Electoral district of Granville Granville is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales in Sydney's West. It is currently represented by Tony Issa of the Liberal Party of Australia.-History:...		Labor	David Borger David Borger David Borger is an Australian politician. He represented the Electoral district of Granville for the Australian Labor Party in the New South Wales Legislative Assembly from 2007 until 2011...	11.1	-13.7	2.6	Tony Issa Tony Issa Antoine "Tony" Issa OAM MP , an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Granville for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and background:...	Liberal
Heathcote Electoral district of Heathcote Heathcote is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Lee Evans of the Liberal Party of Australia.-Members for Heathcote:-Election results:...		Labor	Paul McLeay Paul McLeay Paul Edward McLeay , a former Australian politician, was a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing the electorate of Heathcote for the Australian Labor Party between 2003 and 2011. In 2010, McLeay resigned his position as a Minister on 1 September 2010 after he admitted...	8.8	-21.4	12.7	Lee Evans Lee Evans (politician) Lee Justin Evans MP , an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Heathcote for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and background:...	Liberal
Kiama Electoral district of Kiama Kiama is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Gareth Ward of the Liberal Party of Australia. This electorate is named after the Municipality of Kiama in the Illawarra, which is at the centre...		Labor	Matt Brown Matt Brown (Australian politician) Matthew James "Matt" Brown is an Australian politician, elected as a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly for Kiama between 1999 and 2011...	12.0	-19.5	7.5	Gareth Ward Gareth Ward Gareth James Ward MP , an Australian politician, is a Member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Kiama for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011. He is also a councillor on Shoalhaven City Council since 2004....	Liberal
Londonderry Electoral district of Londonderry Londonderry is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Bart Bassett of the Liberal Party of Australia.-Members for Londonderry:-Election results:...		Labor	Allan Shearan Allan Shearan Allan Francis Shearan is a former Australian politician, elected as a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly.Shearan represented Londonderry for the Australian Labor Party from 2003 to 2011.-Notes:...	6.9	-19.2	12.3	Bart Bassett Bart Bassett Bart Bassett MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing the electorate of Londonderry for the Liberal Party since 26 March 2011...	Liberal
Maitland Electoral district of Maitland Maitland is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Robyn Parker of the Liberal Party of Australia....		Labor	Frank Terenzini Frank Terenzini Francesco Terenzini is an Australian politician. He was an Australian Labor Party member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly from 2007 until 2011, representing the electorate of Maitland. He was a lawyer and teacher before entering politics....	9.7	-16.0	6.3	Robyn Parker Robyn Parker Robyn Mary Parker MP , an Australian politician, is the New South Wales Minister for Environment and Minister for Heritage in the O'Farrell-Stoner Liberal/National coalitition government...	Liberal
Menai Electoral district of Menai Menai is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Melanie Gibbons of the Liberal Party of Australia. Currently, it is the only state seat in the state of New South Wales to have always been represented by a woman.-Members for...		Labor	Alison Megarrity Alison Megarrity Alison Patricia Megarrity , a former Australian politician, was a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Menai for the Australian Labor Party between 1999 and 2011....	2.7	-27.1	24.4	Melanie Gibbons Melanie Gibbons Melanie Rhonda Gibbons MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Menai for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and background:...	Liberal
Miranda Electoral district of Miranda Miranda is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Graham Annesley of the Liberal Party of Australia.-Members for Miranda:-Election results:...		Labor	Barry Collier	0.8	-21.8	21.0	Graham Annesley Graham Annesley Graham Annesley MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Miranda for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011...	Liberal
Monaro Electoral district of Monaro Monaro is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by John Barilaro of the National Party of Australia....		Labor	Steve Whan Steve Whan Steve Whan , an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Council, appointed in June 2011 to fill a casual vacancy. Whan represented the electoral district of Monaro in the New South Wales Legislative Assembly for the Australian Labor Party from 2003 until his defeat at...	6.3	-8.3	2.0	John Barilaro John Barilaro Giovanni Domenic 'John' Barilaro, an Australian politician, is an independent Councillor of Queanbeyan City Council since 2008. He is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing the electoral district of Monaro for the National Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and...	National
Mulgoa Electoral district of Mulgoa Mulgoa is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is currently represented by Tanya Davies of the Liberal Party of Australia.-Members for Mulgoa:-Election results:...		Labor	Diane Beamer Diane Beamer Diane Beamer is a former Australian politician. She was a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly between 1995–2011 representing the electorates of Badgerys Creek and Mulgoa for the Australian Labor Party.-Early life and background:Beamer joined Labor in 1975...	11.1	-23.2	12.0	Tanya Davies Tanya Davies Tanya Davies MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Mulgoa for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and background:...	Liberal
Newcastle Electoral district of Newcastle Newcastle is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales named after and including Newcastle. It is represented by Tim Owen of the Liberal Party of Australia.-History:...		Labor	Jodi McKay Jodi McKay Jodi Leyanne McKay is a former Australian politician who represented the electoral district of Newcastle in the New South Wales Legislative Assembly from 2007 until her defeat at the New South Wales state election, 2011.McKay was the Minister for Tourism and the Minister for the Hunter in the Rees...	1.2	-3.6	2.4	Tim Owen Tim Owen Timothy Francis "Tim" Owen AM MSS MP, is an Australian politician and a former deputy commander of the Australian forces. He is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing the electoral district of Newcastle for the Liberal Party of Australia since the 2011 New South Wales...	Liberal
Oatley Electoral district of Oatley Oatley is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales in Sydney's St George district. It is currently held by Mark Coure of the Liberal Party of Australia.-History:...		Labor	Kevin Greene Kevin Greene (politician) Kevin Patrick Greene , is a former Australian politician, elected as a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly. He has a Diploma of Teaching and a Bachelor of Education and was a teacher before running for Parliament...	14.4	-14.9	0.5	Mark Coure Mark Coure Mark Joseph Coure MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Oatley for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and background:...	Liberal
Parramatta Electoral district of Parramatta Parramatta is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is currently held by Geoff Lee of the Liberal Party of Australia....		Labor	Tanya Gadiel Tanya Gadiel Tanya Rachelle Gadiel, née Barber , a former Australian politician, was a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly between 2003–2011, representing the electorate of Parramatta for the Australian Labor Party...	13.7	-25.8	12.1	Geoff Lee Geoff Lee Dr Geoffrey "Geoff" Lee MP , an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Parramatta for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and background:...	Liberal
Port Macquarie Electoral district of Port Macquarie Port Macquarie is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Leslie Williams of the National Party....		Independent	Peter Besseling Peter Besseling Peter Edward Besseling is an Australian politician. He was also a former professional rugby union player. - Political Career:...	28.2**	-35.1	6.9	Leslie Williams	National
Riverstone Electoral district of Riverstone Riverstone is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales.It is a 94.30 km² urban and semi-rural electorate in Sydney's north west, taking in the suburbs of Stanhope Gardens, Rouse Hill, Quakers Hill and Riverstone...		Labor	John Aquilina John Aquilina John Joseph Aquilina , an Australian politician, is a former member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing the electorate of Blacktown between 1981 and 1991 and the electorate of Riverstone between 1991 and 2011 for the Australian Labor Party.Between 1986 and 1988 and again...	10.1	-30.3	20.2	Kevin Conolly Kevin Conolly Kevin Conolly MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Riverstone for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and background:...	Liberal
Rockdale Electoral district of Rockdale Rockdale is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by John Flowers of the Liberal Party of Australia.-History:...		Labor	Frank Sartor Frank Sartor Francesco Ernest 'Frank' Sartor JP a former Australian politician, was New South Wales Minister for Climate Change and the Environment and Minister Assisting the Minister for Health between 2009 and 2011. He was a Member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Rockdale for the...	10.3	-13.9	3.6	John Flowers John Flowers John Fredrick Flowers MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Rockdale for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and background:...	Liberal
Smithfield Electoral district of Smithfield Smithfield is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Andrew Rohan of the Liberal Party of Australia, who was elected as the first ever Liberal candidate of the electorate at the New South Wales state election, 2011.-Members...		Labor	Ninos Khoshaba Ninos Khoshaba Ninos Khoshaba is an Australian politician of Assyrian decent, and currently a member of Parliament of New South Wales. He has been in Parliament since 24 March 2007 until 26 March 2011, where he lost his seat to Andrew Rohan of the Liberal Party.-Early life:...	15.5	-20.3	4.8	Andrew Rohan Andrew Rohan Andrew Baijan Rohan MP , an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Smithfield for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and background:...	Liberal
Strathfield Electoral district of Strathfield Strathfield is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It was first created in 1988, and derives its name from the suburb of the same name. Strathfield is an urban electorate, covering 17.94 km² and taking in the suburbs of Strathfield,...		Labor	Virginia Judge Virginia Judge Dianne "Virginia" Judge , a former Australian politician, was a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Strathfield for the Australian Labor Party from 2003 until 2011.-Early life:...	15.1	-19.3	4.3	Charles Casuscelli Charles Casuscelli Charles Casuscelli MP, an Australian politician in the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Strathfield for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and background:...	Liberal
Swansea Electoral district of Swansea Swansea is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Hunter Region of the Australian state of New South Wales. It was represented by Milton Orkopoulos of the Australian Labor Party until his arrest in 2006 on allegations of child sex and drugs offences. It is now represented by Garry...		Labor	Robert Coombs Robert Coombs Robert Darcy Coombs is an Australian politician and former Australian Labor Party member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly. Coombs represented the electorate of Swansea from 2007 to his defeat at the New South Wales state election, 2011.Coombs is the son of Max and Clare Coombs and has...	10.8	-11.9	1.1	Garry Edwards Garry Edwards Garry Keith Edwards MP is an Australian politician representing the electoral district of Swansea in the New South Wales Legislative Assembly for the Liberal Party of Australia since the 2011 New South Wales state election.-Early career and background:...	Liberal
Tamworth Electoral district of Tamworth Tamworth is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Kevin Anderson of the National Party of Australia...		Independent	Peter Draper Peter Draper Peter Ross Draper , a former Australian politician, represented Tamworth as an independent politician between 2003 and 2011....	4.8	-12.5	7.8	Kevin Anderson Kevin Anderson (politician) Kevin Anderson, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Tamworth for the National Party of Australia since 26 March 2011.-Early years and background:...	National
The Entrance Electoral district of The Entrance The Entrance is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly located on the Central Coast of New South Wales, Australia. It is represented by Chris Spence of the Liberal Party of Australia who defeated Labor candidate David Mehan at the State Election in 2011...		Labor	Grant McBride Grant McBride Grant Anthony McBride , a former Australian politician, was a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing the electorate of The Entrance on the New South Wales Central Coast for the Australian Labor Party between 1992 and 2011.-Personal life:McBride is a qualified engineer who...	4.9	-17.3	12.5	Chris Spence Chris Spence (Australian politician) Christopher Edward Francis Spence MP , an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing The Entrance for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early career and background:...	Liberal
Wollondilly Electoral district of Wollondilly Wollondilly is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is currently held by Jai Rowell of the Liberal Party of Australia....		Labor	Phil Costa Phil Costa Phillip John "Phil" Costa is an Australian politician. He was an Australian Labor Party member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly from 2007 until 2011, representing the electorate of Wollondilly. He served as Minister for Water and Minister for Corrective Services.-Early life:Costa was...	3.3	-18.0	14.7	Jai Rowell Jai Rowell Jai Travers Rowell MP , an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Wollondilly for the Liberal Party since 2011.-Early career and background:...	Liberal
Wyong Electoral district of Wyong Wyong is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. The district is a 44,017 km² urban and semi-rural electorate on the Central Coast. The main urban centres are the towns of Wyong, Toukley and Wyee...		Labor	David Harris David Harris (Australian politician) David Robert Harris is an Australian politician. He was an Australian Labor Party member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing the electoral district of Wyong from 24 March 2007 until his defeat at the 2011 state election.-Personal life:Harris is one of three children born to...	6.9	-9.4	2.5	Darren Webber Darren Webber Darren James Webber MP Darren James Webber MP Darren James Webber MP (born 29 June 1981 in Gosford, New South Wales, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Wyong on the Central Coast for the Liberal Party since 2011.-Early career and background:...	Liberal

*Figure is Greens vs Liberal
**Figure is from the 2007 state election, where Rob Oakeshott
Rob Oakeshott
Robert James Murray "Rob" Oakeshott is an Australian politician. He is the independent Member of the House of Representatives for the Division of Lyne in New South Wales, which he won in the 2008 by-election following the resignation of former Nationals leader and Howard minister Mark Vaile...

was the independent candidate.
In addition, the Liberals retained Ryde
Electoral district of Ryde
Ryde is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It includes the suburbs and localities of Denistone, Denistone East, Denistone West, Macquarie Park, Marsfield, Meadowbank, Melrose Park, Ryde, North Ryde, West Ryde; and part of Eastwood.It is...

and Penrith
Electoral district of Penrith
Penrith is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It has been represented by Stuart Ayres of the Liberal Party of Australia since the 2010 by-election...

, which were gained from Labor at by-elections.
Members in italics did not contest their seat at this election.

Background

The centre-left

Centre-left

Centre-left is a political term that describes individuals, political parties or organisations such as think tanks whose ideology lies between the centre and the left on the left-right spectrum...

Labor Party

Australian Labor Party

, led by Premier Kristina Keneally

Kristina Keneally

, and the centre-right

Centre-right

The centre-right or center-right is a political term commonly used to describe or denote individuals, political parties, or organizations whose views stretch from the centre to the right on the left-right spectrum, excluding far right stances. Centre-right can also describe a coalition of centrist...

Liberal Party

Liberal Party of Australia

, led by Leader of the Opposition

Leader of the Opposition (New South Wales)

The role of the Leader of Her Majesty's Loyal Opposition in New South Wales is a title held by the leader of the largest minority party in the state lower house, the New South Wales Legislative Assembly...

Barry O'Farrell

, are the two main parties in New South Wales. In the 2007 state election, of 93 seats total, Labor won 52 seats, the Liberals won 22 seats and the Nationals

National Party of Australia

, led by Andrew Stoner

Andrew Stoner

Andrew John Stoner is an Australian politician, Deputy Premier of New South Wales and member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly for the seat of Oxley since the 1999 state election, and the Leader of the New South Wales National Party since 31 March 2003...

, who are in coalition with the Liberals, won 13 seats. Six seats were retained by independents. Smaller parties which hold no seats in the lower House but achieved significant votes in 2007 include The Greens

Greens New South Wales

The Greens New South Wales is the state Greens party in New South Wales. It is a member party of the Australian Greens. The Greens NSW have one member in the New South Wales Legislative Assembly , five members in the New South Wales Legislative Council...

and the Christian Democratic Party

Christian Democratic Party (Australia)

The Christian Democratic Party is a right-wing political party in Australia. Its leader is Fred Nile, a Congregational Church minister and a member of the New South Wales Legislative Council.-Formation:...

.

On 18 October 2008, four state electorates (Lakemba, Ryde, Cabramatta, Port Macquarie) went to by-elections as a result the resignation of the Premier, two of his ministers, and an independent who left after winning a federal by-election

Lyne by-election, 2008

A by-election was held for the Australian House of Representatives seat of Lyne on 6 September 2008. This was triggered by the resignation of National Party MP Mark Vaile. The by-election was held on the same day as the Mayo by-election, and the Western Australian state election.The writ for the...

. The results in Ryde, Cabramatta, and Lakemba showed the largest by-election swing against Labor in its history. The results showed a significant swing towards the Liberal Party with a swing of 22.7 percentage points in former health minister Reba Meagher

Reba Meagher

Reba Paige Meagher is a former Australian politician who was a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly, representing the electoral district of Cabramatta. She was a minister in various portfolios from 2003 to 2008. On 6 September 2008 Meagher announced that she would not be seeking a...

's seat of Cabramatta, but was retained by ALP candidate Nick Lalich

Nick Lalich

Nick Lalich is an Australian politician. He has been an Australian Labor Party member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly since October 2008, representing the electorate of Cabramatta...

, and a swing of 13 points against Labor in former premier Morris Iemma

Morris Iemma

Morris Iemma , is a former Australian politician and 40th Premier of New South Wales, succeeding Bob Carr after he resigned on 3 August 2005. Iemma led the Australian Labor Party to victory in the 2007 election before resigning as Premier on 5 September 2008, and as a Member of Parliament on 19...

's seat of Lakemba, also retained by an ALP candidate, Robert Furolo

Robert Furolo

Robert Anthony Furolo is an Australian politician. He has been an Australian Labor Party member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly since October 2008, representing the electorate of Lakemba....

. Ryde, once a safe Labor seat, with a swing of 23.1 points delivered former deputy premier John Watkins

John Watkins (Australian politician)

John Arthur Watkins is a former Deputy Premier of New South Wales, serving between 2005 until his resignation from Parliament in 2008...

' seat to Victor Dominello

Victor Dominello

Victor Michael Dominello MP , an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly, representing the electorate of Ryde for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2008, and is the Minister for Citizenship, Communities and Aboriginal Affairs since 2011 in the Coalition...

. Peter Besseling

Peter Besseling

Peter Edward Besseling is an Australian politician. He was also a former professional rugby union player. - Political Career:...

, the independent candidate, won Port Macquarie

Electoral district of Port Macquarie

Port Macquarie is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Leslie Williams of the National Party....

, left vacant after the resignation of Nationals-turned-independent member Robert Oakeshott

Rob Oakeshott

Robert James Murray "Rob" Oakeshott is an Australian politician. He is the independent Member of the House of Representatives for the Division of Lyne in New South Wales, which he won in the 2008 by-election following the resignation of former Nationals leader and Howard minister Mark Vaile...

, over the Nationals by a two-party-preferred margin of 54.5% to 45.5%, despite a swing of 23.7 percentage points to the Nationals. On 19 June 2010 a by-election

Penrith state by-election, 2010

A by-election was held for the New South Wales Legislative Assembly seat of Penrith on 19 June 2010. The by-election was triggered by the resignation of sitting member and Parliamentary Secretary for Education and Training Karyn Paluzzano, who had lied to an Independent Commission Against...

in the electoral district of Penrith

Electoral district of Penrith

Penrith is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It has been represented by Stuart Ayres of the Liberal Party of Australia since the 2010 by-election...

was triggered as a result of the resignation of Labor Party MP Karyn Paluzzano

Karyn Paluzzano

Karyn Lesley Paluzzano is a former Australian politician. She was an Australian Labor Party Member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly from 2003 to 2010, representing the electorate of Penrith.-Private life:...

, with Liberal candodate Stuart Ayres

Stuart Ayres

Stuart Ayres MP is an Australian politician. He is a Liberal Party of Australia Member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly since 19 June 2010, representing the electorate of Penrith.-Private life:...

winning the seat with a two-party-preferred

Two-party-preferred vote

In politics, the two-party-preferred vote , or two-candidate-preferred vote , in an election or opinion poll uses preferential voting to express the electoral result after the distribution of preferences...

swing of more than 25 points, the biggest swing against an incumbent government in New South Wales history.

Key Dates

Expiry of 54th Parliament: 12am on Friday, 4 March 2011
Issue of Writs: 5 March 2011
Close of Nominations: 10 March 2011
Polling Day: Saturday 26 March 2011
Return of the Writs: 30 April 2011
Meeting of 55th Parliament: By Monday, 16 May 2011

Campaign

The Labor Party launched their campaign on 5 February 2011 in Liverpool

Liverpool, New South Wales

Liverpool is a suburb in south-western Sydney, in the state of New South Wales, Australia. Liverpool is located 32 km south-west of the Sydney central business district, and is the administrative centre of the local government area of the City of Liverpool...

within the electoral district of Macquarie Fields

Electoral district of Macquarie Fields

Macquarie Fields is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales, located in the outer south-western suburbs of Sydney. It is currently represented by Dr Andrew McDonald of the Australian Labor Party....

. Premier Keneally launched the Labor Party's campaign slogan "Protecting jobs - Supporting families". In attendance for the launch were former Prime Minister Bob Hawke

Bob Hawke

Robert James Lee "Bob" Hawke AC GCL was the 23rd Prime Minister of Australia from March 1983 to December 1991 and therefore longest serving Australian Labor Party Prime Minister....

and former Premiers Wran

Neville Wran

Neville Kenneth Wran, AC, CNZM, QC was the Premier of New South Wales from 1976 until 1986. He was National President of the Australian Labor Party from 1980 to 1986 and Chairman of both the Lionel Murphy Foundation and the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation from 1986...

and Carr

Bob Carr

Robert John "Bob" Carr , Australian statesman, was Premier of New South Wales from 4 April 1995 to 3 August 2005. He holds the record for the longest continuous service as premier of NSW...

.

The Liberal and Nationals Coalition

Coalition (Australia)

The Coalition in Australian politics refers to a group of centre-right parties that has existed in the form of a coalition agreement since 1922...

launched their campaign on 20 February 2011 at the Joan Sutherland Performing Arts Centre in Penrith

Penrith, New South Wales

Penrith is a suburb in western Sydney, in the state of New South Wales, Australia. Penrith is located west of the Sydney central business district and is the administrative centre for the local government area of the City of Penrith...

within the electoral district of Penrith

Electoral district of Penrith

with the slogan: "Real Change for NSW". In attendance for the launch were both Liberal and Nationals Leaders O'Farrell and Stoner as well as federal Liberal Party leader Tony Abbott

Tony Abbott

Anthony John "Tony" Abbott is the Leader of the Opposition in the Australian House of Representatives and federal leader of the centre-right Liberal Party of Australia. Abbott has represented the seat of Warringah since the 1994 by-election...

, former Liberal Premiers and Leaders Lewis

Tom Lewis (Australian politician)

Thomas Lancelot Lewis AO is a former New South Wales politician, Premier of New South Wales and Minister of the Crown in the cabinets of Sir Robert Askin and Sir Eric Willis. He was made the Premier of New South Wales following Askin's retirement from politics and held it until he was replaced by...

, Greiner

Nick Greiner

Nicholas "Nick" Frank Hugo Greiner AC, is an Australian businessman and former politician. He was the 37th Premier New South Wales from 1988 to 1992. He was Leader of the New South Wales Division of the Liberal Party from 1983 to 1992 and Leader of the Opposition from 1983 to 1988. He is married...

, Fahey

John Fahey

John Fahey may refer to:* John Fahey , American guitarist and composer* John Fahey , former state premier of New South Wales, Australia, and later Australian federal Finance Minister, current President of WADA...

, and Chikarovski

Kerry Chikarovski

Kerry Anne Chikarovski was leader of the New South Wales Liberal Party in the New South Wales Legislative Assembly. She served as Leader of the Opposition between 1998 and 2002....

.

The Coalition were unbackable favourites throughout the campaign to win the election. The final Newspoll had support for Labor at an all time low with 23 percent of the primary vote and 35.9 percent of the two-party vote. Bookmakers were paying $1.01 for a Coalition win with Labor getting as much as $36 and one agency even paid out the winnings and declared the winner a week earlier. However, Labor was widely predicted to win as few as 13 seats, seven less than the actual result.

Resulting parliament

The Liberal/National Coalition won the largest proportional number of seats in NSW state history with 69 of 93 seats in the lower house – in contrast, Labor won 69 of 99 seats at the 1981 election

New South Wales state election, 1981

Elections were held in the state of New South Wales, Australia, on Saturday 19 September 1981. The result was a second "Wranslide": a landslide victory for the Australian Labor Party under Neville Wran, in which the government increased its already sizeable majority.The Liberals suffered the double...

. Labor won 20 seats, the lowest for Labor in NSW Parliament in over a century. Many prominent Labor MPs and ministers lost their seats including Verity Firth

Verity Firth

Verity Helen Firth is the Chief Executive Officer of the Public Education Foundation in Australia and a former politician....

, David Borger

David Borger

David Borger is an Australian politician. He represented the Electoral district of Granville for the Australian Labor Party in the New South Wales Legislative Assembly from 2007 until 2011...

, Matt Brown

Matt Brown (Australian politician)

Matthew James "Matt" Brown is an Australian politician, elected as a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly for Kiama between 1999 and 2011...

, Jodi McKay

Jodi McKay

Jodi Leyanne McKay is a former Australian politician who represented the electoral district of Newcastle in the New South Wales Legislative Assembly from 2007 until her defeat at the New South Wales state election, 2011.McKay was the Minister for Tourism and the Minister for the Hunter in the Rees...

, Virginia Judge

Virginia Judge

Dianne "Virginia" Judge , a former Australian politician, was a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Strathfield for the Australian Labor Party from 2003 until 2011.-Early life:...

, Phil Costa

Phil Costa

Phillip John "Phil" Costa is an Australian politician. He was an Australian Labor Party member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly from 2007 until 2011, representing the electorate of Wollondilly. He served as Minister for Water and Minister for Corrective Services.-Early life:Costa was...

and Kevin Greene

Kevin Greene (politician)

Kevin Patrick Greene , is a former Australian politician, elected as a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly. He has a Diploma of Teaching and a Bachelor of Education and was a teacher before running for Parliament...

.

In the upper house however, where half of the chamber was up for election, the landslide was not enough to deliver a Coalition majority. Three additional votes outside of the Liberal/National Coalition will be required to pass legislation. The balance of power

Balance of power (parliament)

In parliamentary politics, the term balance of power sometimes describes the pragmatic mechanism exercised by a minor political party or other grouping whose guaranteed support may enable an otherwise minority government to obtain and hold office...

is expected to shift from the Greens to the Shooters and Fishers Party and Christian Democratic Party

Christian Democratic Party (Australia)

. With two seats each held by the latter two parties, both will need to give legislative support if Labor and the Greens oppose legislation.

Retiring members

Where a Member of the Legislative Assembly or Legislative Council does not renominate to contest the election, their term will end at the dissolution of the parliament. Members who have confirmed their retirement are:

Labor (22)

Marie Andrews
Marie Andrews
Marie Therese Andrews , an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing the electorate of Peats for the Australian Labor Party between 1995 and 2007 and then the electorate of Gosford since 2007.Prior to entering politics, Andrews was a private...

(Gosford
Electoral district of Gosford
Gosford is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Chris Holstein of the Liberal Party. The former district of Gosford was renamed Terrigal for the 2007 state election...

)
John Aquilina
John Aquilina
John Joseph Aquilina , an Australian politician, is a former member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing the electorate of Blacktown between 1981 and 1991 and the electorate of Riverstone between 1991 and 2011 for the Australian Labor Party.Between 1986 and 1988 and again...

(Riverstone
Electoral district of Riverstone
Riverstone is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales.It is a 94.30 km² urban and semi-rural electorate in Sydney's north west, taking in the suburbs of Stanhope Gardens, Rouse Hill, Quakers Hill and Riverstone...

)
Diane Beamer
Diane Beamer
Diane Beamer is a former Australian politician. She was a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly between 1995–2011 representing the electorates of Badgerys Creek and Mulgoa for the Australian Labor Party.-Early life and background:Beamer joined Labor in 1975...

(Mulgoa
Electoral district of Mulgoa
Mulgoa is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is currently represented by Tanya Davies of the Liberal Party of Australia.-Members for Mulgoa:-Election results:...

)
David Campbell (Keira
Electoral district of Keira
Keira is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Ryan Park of the Australian Labor Party.-Members for Keira:-Election results:...

)
Barry Collier (Miranda
Electoral district of Miranda
Miranda is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Graham Annesley of the Liberal Party of Australia.-Members for Miranda:-Election results:...

)
Angela D'Amore
Angela D'Amore
Angela D'Amore , a former Australian politician, was a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly, representing the electorate of Drummoyne from 2003 until 2011 initially for the Australian Labor Party until 2010, and then as an independent member until her retirement from politics in 2011...

(Drummoyne
Electoral district of Drummoyne
Drummoyne is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by John Sidoti of the Liberal Party of Australia.-History:...

)
Tanya Gadiel
Tanya Gadiel
Tanya Rachelle Gadiel, née Barber , a former Australian politician, was a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly between 2003–2011, representing the electorate of Parramatta for the Australian Labor Party...

(Parramatta
Electoral district of Parramatta
Parramatta is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is currently held by Geoff Lee of the Liberal Party of Australia....

)
Paul Gibson (Blacktown)
Kerry Hickey
Kerry Hickey
Kerry Arthur Hickey , a former Australian politician, was a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing the electorate of Cessnock between 1999 and 2011 for the Australian Labor Party....

(Cessnock
Electoral district of Cessnock
Cessnock is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales in the rural fringe of the Hunter. It is represented by Clayton Barr of the Australian Labor Party.-History:...

)
Phil Koperberg (Blue Mountains)
Grant McBride
Grant McBride
Grant Anthony McBride , a former Australian politician, was a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing the electorate of The Entrance on the New South Wales Central Coast for the Australian Labor Party between 1992 and 2011.-Personal life:McBride is a qualified engineer who...

(The Entrance
Electoral district of The Entrance
The Entrance is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly located on the Central Coast of New South Wales, Australia. It is represented by Chris Spence of the Liberal Party of Australia who defeated Labor candidate David Mehan at the State Election in 2011...

)
Gerard Martin
Gerard Martin
Gerard Francis Martin MP , a former Australian politician, was a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing the electorate of Bathurst between 1999 and 2011 for the Australian Labor Party....

(Bathurst)
Lylea McMahon
Lylea McMahon
Lylea Anne McMahon , a former Australian politician, was a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing the electoral district of Shellharbour between 2007 and 2011...

(Shellharbour
Electoral district of Shellharbour
Shellharbour is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. The seat was created at the 2004 redistribution of electoral districts and takes in the majority of voters from the abolished Illawarra, as well as territory that previously belonged to...

)
Alison Megarrity
Alison Megarrity
Alison Patricia Megarrity , a former Australian politician, was a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Menai for the Australian Labor Party between 1999 and 2011....

(Menai
Electoral district of Menai
Menai is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Melanie Gibbons of the Liberal Party of Australia. Currently, it is the only state seat in the state of New South Wales to have always been represented by a woman.-Members for...

)
Frank Sartor
Frank Sartor
Francesco Ernest 'Frank' Sartor JP a former Australian politician, was New South Wales Minister for Climate Change and the Environment and Minister Assisting the Minister for Health between 2009 and 2011. He was a Member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Rockdale for the...

(Rockdale
Electoral district of Rockdale
Rockdale is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by John Flowers of the Liberal Party of Australia.-History:...

)
Tony Stewart
Tony Stewart
Anthony Wayne "Tony" Stewart is an American auto racing driver and owner. Throughout his racing career, Stewart has won titles in Indy cars and stock cars as well as midget, sprint and USAC Silver Crown cars, giving him the recognition of "one of the finest racers of his generation."Stewart...

(Bankstown)
Joe Tripodi (Fairfield
Electoral district of Fairfield
Fairfield is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly of the Australian state of New South Wales in Sydney's West. Fairfield has historically been one of the safest Labor seats in New South Wales and is considered a part of Labor's heartland in Western Sydney...

)
Graham West
Graham West
Graham James West , a former Australian politician, was a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly for Campbelltown between 2001 and 2011 for the Australian Labor Party. He was Minister for Juvenile Justice, Minister for Volunteering and Minister for Youth in the New South Wales State...

(Campbelltown
Electoral district of Campbelltown
Campbelltown is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly of the Australian state of New South Wales in Sydney's South-west.It is represented by Bryan Doyle of the Liberal Party of Australia.-Members for Campbelltown:-Election results:...

)

Liberal (5)

Peter Debnam
Peter Debnam
Peter John Debnam , is a former Australian politician. He was a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Vaucluse between 1994 and 2011. Debnam is a former Leader of the New South Wales Liberal Party, Leader of the Opposition and Shadow Minister for Western Sydney,...

(Vaucluse
Electoral district of Vaucluse
Vaucluse is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales, based on the suburb of Vaucluse. Vaucluse is one of two original electorates to have never been held by the opposing Labor party and always by the Liberal Party or its predecessors, the other...

)
Judy Hopwood
Judy Hopwood
Judith "Judy" Hopwood , a former Australian politician, was a Member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Hornsby for Liberal Party of Australia between 2002 and 2011....

(Hornsby
Electoral district of Hornsby
Hornsby is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. Hornsby is one of two post-1927 electorates to have never been held by the Labor party and always by the Liberals, a predecessor party to the Liberals, or an independent, the other such district...

)
Malcolm Kerr
Malcolm Kerr (Australian politician)
Malcolm John Kerr JP , a former Australian politician, was a Member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Cronulla for the Liberal Party of Australia between 1984 and 2011.Kerr is a barrister and is not married....

(Cronulla
Electoral district of Cronulla
Cronulla is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Mark Speakman of the Liberal Party of Australia.-Members for Cronulla:-Election results:...

)
Wayne Merton
Wayne Merton
Wayne Ashley Merton , a former Australian politician, was a Member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing the electorates of Carlingford between 1988 and 1991 and Baulkham Hills between 1991 and 2011 for the Liberal Party of Australia...

(Baulkham Hills)
Michael Richardson
Michael Richardson
Michael John Richardson , a former Australian politician, was a Member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing the electorates of The Hills between 1993 and 2007 and Castle Hill between 2007 and 2011 for the Liberal Party of Australia.Richardson was educated at North Sydney Boys...

(Castle Hill
Electoral district of Castle Hill
Castle Hill is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales, formed during the redistribution in 2004. It is an urban electorate in Sydney's north west, taking in the suburbs of Castle Hill, Carlingford and West Pennant Hills...

)

Nationals (2)

John Turner
John Turner (Australian politician)
John Harcourt Turner , a former Australian politician, was a Member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Myall Lakes between 1988 and 2011 for the National Party of Australia....

(Myall Lakes
Electoral district of Myall Lakes
Myall Lakes is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Stephen Bromhead of the National Party of Australia....

)
Russell Turner
Russell Turner
Russell William Turner , a former Australian politician, was a Member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Orange between 1996 and 2011 for the National Party of Australia....

(Orange
Electoral district of Orange
Orange is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Andrew Gee of the National Party of Australia....

)

Labor (4)

Tony Catanzariti
Tony Catanzariti
Antonio Catanzariti is an Australian politician and citrus farmer. Catanzariti represented the Australian Labor Party in the New South Wales Legislative Council from the 2003 election until his retirement...
Kayee Griffin
Kayee Griffin
Kayee Frances Griffin is an Australian politician and former Australian Labor Party member of the New South Wales Legislative Council, serving from 2003 until her retirement in 2011....
Christine Robertson
Christine Robertson
Christine Mary Robertson is an Australian politician and former Australian Labor Party member of the New South Wales Legislative Council, serving from 2003 until her retirement in 2011....
Ian West
Ian West (Australian politician)
Ian William West is an Australian politician and former Australian Labor Party member of the New South Wales Legislative Council, serving from 2000 until his retirement in 2011....

Polling

Newspoll

Newspoll Market Research is an Australian company providing opinion polling and other market research services. Its chief executive is Martin O'Shannessy.Newspoll's surveys of voter opinion are published in The Australian....

polling is conducted via random telephone number selection in city and country areas. Sampling sizes

Sample size

Sample size determination is the act of choosing the number of observations to include in a statistical sample. The sample size is an important feature of any empirical study in which the goal is to make inferences about a population from a sample...

consist of around 1200–1300 electors. The declared margin of error

Margin of error

The margin of error is a statistic expressing the amount of random sampling error in a survey's results. The larger the margin of error, the less faith one should have that the poll's reported results are close to the "true" figures; that is, the figures for the whole population...

is ±3 percentage points.

**Better Premier ratings**
Date	Labor Keneally	Liberal O'Farrell	Uncommitted
2011 election	–	–	–
21–24 Mar 2011	32%	48%	20%
9–11 Mar 2011	35%	48%	17%
Jan–Feb 2011	32%	47%	21%
Nov–Dec 2010	35%	40%	25%
Sep–Oct 2010	35%	42%	23%
Jul–Aug 2010	39%	39%	22%
May–Jun 2010	44%	36%	20%
Mar–Apr 2010	45%	30%	25%
Jan–Feb 2010	40%	31%	29%
Nov–Dec 2009	35%	34%	31%
Sep–Oct 2009	31%³	36%	33%
Jul–Aug 2009	32%³	33%	35%
May–Jun 2009	33%³	32%	35%
Mar–Apr 2009	33%³	31%	36%
Jan–Feb 2009	34%³	29%	37%
Nov–Dec 2008	30%³	33%	37%
Sep–Oct 2008	35%³	28%	37%
Jul–Aug 2008	32%¹	39%	29%
May–Jun 2008	32%¹	39%	29%
Mar–Apr 2008	36%¹	33%	31%
Jan–Mar 2008	37%¹	30%	33%
2007 election	–	–	–
21–22 Mar 2007	58%¹	24%²	18%
Jan–Feb 2007	48%¹	19%²	33%
Polling conducted by Newspoll Newspoll Newspoll Market Research is an Australian company providing opinion polling and other market research services. Its chief executive is Martin O'Shannessy.Newspoll's surveys of voter opinion are published in The Australian.... and published in The Australian The Australian The Australian is a broadsheet newspaper published in Australia from Monday to Saturday each week since 14 July 1964. The editor in chief is Chris Mitchell, the editor is Clive Mathieson and the 'editor-at-large' is Paul Kelly.... . ¹ Morris Iemma Morris Iemma Morris Iemma , is a former Australian politician and 40th Premier of New South Wales, succeeding Bob Carr after he resigned on 3 August 2005. Iemma led the Australian Labor Party to victory in the 2007 election before resigning as Premier on 5 September 2008, and as a Member of Parliament on 19... , ² Peter Debnam Peter Debnam Peter John Debnam , is a former Australian politician. He was a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Vaucluse between 1994 and 2011. Debnam is a former Leader of the New South Wales Liberal Party, Leader of the Opposition and Shadow Minister for Western Sydney,... ³ Nathan Rees Nathan Rees Nathan Rees MP, , an Australian politician, was the 41st Premier of New South Wales and parliamentary leader of the New South Wales division of the Australian Labor Party from September 2008 to December 2009...

**Legislative Assembly opinion polling**
	Primary vote					2PP vote Two-party-preferred vote In politics, the two-party-preferred vote , or two-candidate-preferred vote , in an election or opinion poll uses preferential voting to express the electoral result after the distribution of preferences...
Date	ALP	LIB	NAT	GRN	OTH	ALP	L/NP
2011 election	25.6%	38.6%	12.6%	10.3%	13.0%	35.8%	64.2%
21–24 Mar 2011	23%	41%	9%	12%	15%	35.9%	64.1%
9–11 Mar 2011	26%	43%	7%	11%	13%	37%	63%
Jan–Feb 2011	23%	40%	6%	17%	14%	38%	62%
Nov–Dec 2010	24%	40%	5%	15%	16%	39%	61%
Sep–Oct 2010	23%	41%	5%	17%	14%	37%	63%
Jul–Aug 2010	25%	41%	5%	14%	15%	39%	61%
May–Jun 2010	25%	41%	5%	16%	12%	39%	61%
Mar– Apr 2010	31%	37%	5%	14%	13%	45%	55%
Jan–Feb 2010	30%	39%	3%	12%	14%	43%	57%
Nov–Dec 2009	26%	39%	5%	17%	13%	41%	59%
Sep–Oct 2009	30%	36%	6%	12%	16%	45%	55%
Jul–Aug 2009	32%	37%	4%	14%	13%	46%	54%
May–Jun 2009	31%	36%	5%	14%	14%	45%	55%
Mar–Apr 2009	33%	36%	4%	13%	14%	47%	53%
Jan–Feb 2009	30%	38%	4%	15%	13%	44%	56%
Nov–Dec 2008	26%	38%	5%	14%	17%	41%	59%
Sep – Oct 2008	29%	38%	4%	11%	18%	44%	56%
Jul–Aug 2008	33%	36%	4%	13%	14%	48%	52%
May–Jun 2008	32%	36%	5%	13%	14%	48%	52%
Mar–Apr 2008	35%	35%	3%	14%	13%	51%	49%
Jan–Mar 2008	34%	34%	5%	14%	13%	50%	50%
2007 election	39.0%	26.9%	10.1%	9.0%	15.0%	52.3%	47.7%
21–22 Mar 2007	42%	29%	6%	6%	17%	56.5%	43.5%
Jan–Feb 2007	45%	28%	5%	7%	15%	59%	41%
Polling conducted by Newspoll Newspoll Newspoll Market Research is an Australian company providing opinion polling and other market research services. Its chief executive is Martin O'Shannessy.Newspoll's surveys of voter opinion are published in The Australian.... and published in The Australian The Australian The Australian is a broadsheet newspaper published in Australia from Monday to Saturday each week since 14 July 1964. The editor in chief is Chris Mitchell, the editor is Clive Mathieson and the 'editor-at-large' is Paul Kelly.... .

Newspaper endorsements

Newspaper	Endorsement
The Australian The Australian The Australian is a broadsheet newspaper published in Australia from Monday to Saturday each week since 14 July 1964. The editor in chief is Chris Mitchell, the editor is Clive Mathieson and the 'editor-at-large' is Paul Kelly....
The Australian Financial Review The Australian Financial Review The Australian Financial Review is a leading business and finance newspaper in Australia.Fairfax Media publishes it in a compact format six days a week, Monday to Saturday....
Newcastle Herald
The Daily Telegraph The Daily Telegraph (Australia) The Daily Telegraph is an Australian tabloid newspaper published in Sydney, New South Wales, by Nationwide News, part of News Corporation.The Tele, as it is also known, was founded in 1879. From 1936 to 1972, it was owned by Frank Packer's Australian Consolidated Press. That year it was sold to...
The Sydney Morning Herald The Sydney Morning Herald The Sydney Morning Herald is a daily broadsheet newspaper published by Fairfax Media in Sydney, Australia. Founded in 1831 as the Sydney Herald, the SMH is the oldest continuously published newspaper in Australia. The newspaper is published six days a week. The newspaper's Sunday counterpart, The...

External links

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