Post-election pendulum for the New South Wales state election, 2011

The Mackerras Pendulum
Mackerras Pendulum
The Mackerras Pendulum was devised by the Australian psephologist Malcolm Mackerras as a way of predicting the outcome of an election contested between two major parties in a Westminster style lower house legislature such as the Australian House of Representatives, which is composed of...

for the 2011 New South Wales state election
New South Wales state election, 2011
Elections to the 55th Parliament of New South Wales were held on Saturday, 26 March 2011. The 16-year incumbent Australian Labor Party government led by Premier Kristina Keneally was defeated in a landslide by the Liberal-National coalition opposition led by Barry O'Farrell.New South Wales has...

:

Pendulum

LIBERAL/ NATIONAL SEATS
Marginal
Oatley Electoral district of Oatley Oatley is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales in Sydney's St George district. It is currently held by Mark Coure of the Liberal Party of Australia.-History:...	Mark Coure Mark Coure Mark Joseph Coure MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Oatley for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and background:...	LIB	0.5%
East Hills Electoral district of East Hills East Hills is a state electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the state of New South Wales, Australia. It is represented by Glenn Brookes of the Liberal Party of Australia.-Members for East Hills:-Election results:...	Glenn Brookes Glenn Brookes Glenn Edward Brookes MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing East Hills for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and background:...	LIB	0.6%
Swansea Electoral district of Swansea Swansea is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Hunter Region of the Australian state of New South Wales. It was represented by Milton Orkopoulos of the Australian Labor Party until his arrest in 2006 on allegations of child sex and drugs offences. It is now represented by Garry...	Garry Edwards Garry Edwards Garry Keith Edwards MP is an Australian politician representing the electoral district of Swansea in the New South Wales Legislative Assembly for the Liberal Party of Australia since the 2011 New South Wales state election.-Early career and background:...	LIB	1.1%
Monaro Electoral district of Monaro Monaro is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by John Barilaro of the National Party of Australia....	John Barilaro John Barilaro Giovanni Domenic 'John' Barilaro, an Australian politician, is an independent Councillor of Queanbeyan City Council since 2008. He is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing the electoral district of Monaro for the National Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and...	NAT	2.1%
Newcastle Electoral district of Newcastle Newcastle is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales named after and including Newcastle. It is represented by Tim Owen of the Liberal Party of Australia.-History:...	Tim Owen Tim Owen Timothy Francis "Tim" Owen AM MSS MP, is an Australian politician and a former deputy commander of the Australian forces. He is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing the electoral district of Newcastle for the Liberal Party of Australia since the 2011 New South Wales...	LIB	2.6%
Wyong Electoral district of Wyong Wyong is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. The district is a 44,017 km² urban and semi-rural electorate on the Central Coast. The main urban centres are the towns of Wyong, Toukley and Wyee...	Darren Webber Darren Webber Darren James Webber MP Darren James Webber MP Darren James Webber MP (born 29 June 1981 in Gosford, New South Wales, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Wyong on the Central Coast for the Liberal Party since 2011.-Early career and background:...	LIB	2.6%
Granville Electoral district of Granville Granville is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales in Sydney's West. It is currently represented by Tony Issa of the Liberal Party of Australia.-History:...	Tony Issa Tony Issa Antoine "Tony" Issa OAM MP , an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Granville for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and background:...	LIB	2.7%
Campbelltown Electoral district of Campbelltown Campbelltown is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly of the Australian state of New South Wales in Sydney's South-west.It is represented by Bryan Doyle of the Liberal Party of Australia.-Members for Campbelltown:-Election results:...	Bryan Doyle Bryan Doyle Bryan Michael Doyle MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Campbelltown for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and background:...	LIB	3.4%
Rockdale Electoral district of Rockdale Rockdale is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by John Flowers of the Liberal Party of Australia.-History:...	John Flowers John Flowers John Fredrick Flowers MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Rockdale for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and background:...	LIB	3.6%
Strathfield Electoral district of Strathfield Strathfield is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It was first created in 1988, and derives its name from the suburb of the same name. Strathfield is an urban electorate, covering 17.94 km² and taking in the suburbs of Strathfield,...	Charles Casuscelli Charles Casuscelli Charles Casuscelli MP, an Australian politician in the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Strathfield for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and background:...	LIB	4.4%
Blue Mountains	Roza Sage Roza Sage Dr Roza Eva Maria Sage MP , an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing the Blue Mountains for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and background:...	LIB	4.7%
Smithfield Electoral district of Smithfield Smithfield is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Andrew Rohan of the Liberal Party of Australia, who was elected as the first ever Liberal candidate of the electorate at the New South Wales state election, 2011.-Members...	Andrew Rohan Andrew Rohan Andrew Baijan Rohan MP , an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Smithfield for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and background:...	LIB	4.8%
Fairly safe
Maitland Electoral district of Maitland Maitland is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Robyn Parker of the Liberal Party of Australia....	Robyn Parker Robyn Parker Robyn Mary Parker MP , an Australian politician, is the New South Wales Minister for Environment and Minister for Heritage in the O'Farrell-Stoner Liberal/National coalitition government...	LIB	6.3%
Port Macquarie Electoral district of Port Macquarie Port Macquarie is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Leslie Williams of the National Party....	Leslie Williams	NAT v IND	6.5%
Kiama Electoral district of Kiama Kiama is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Gareth Ward of the Liberal Party of Australia. This electorate is named after the Municipality of Kiama in the Illawarra, which is at the centre...	Gareth Ward Gareth Ward Gareth James Ward MP , an Australian politician, is a Member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Kiama for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011. He is also a councillor on Shoalhaven City Council since 2004....	LIB	7.5%
Tamworth Electoral district of Tamworth Tamworth is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Kevin Anderson of the National Party of Australia...	Kevin Anderson Kevin Anderson (politician) Kevin Anderson, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Tamworth for the National Party of Australia since 26 March 2011.-Early years and background:...	NAT v IND	7.8%
Coogee Electoral district of Coogee Coogee is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Bruce Notley-Smith of the Liberal Party.-Members for Coogee:-Election results:...	Bruce Notley-Smith Bruce Notley-Smith Bruce Neville Notley-Smith MP , an Australian politician, is a Councillor and former Mayor of the City of Randwick, and is a Member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Coogee for the Liberal Party of Australia since 26 March 2011.-Early years and background:Notley-Smith grew up...	LIB	8.3%
Charlestown Electoral district of Charlestown Charlestown is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Andrew Cornwell of the Liberal Party of Australia....	Andrew Cornwell Andrew Cornwell Andrew Stuart Cornwell MP, is an Australian politician representing the electoral district of Charlestown in the New South Wales Legislative Assembly for the Liberal Party of Australia since the 2011 New South Wales State election.-Early years and background:...	LIB	9.9%
Safe
Wagga Wagga Electoral district of Wagga Wagga Wagga Wagga is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Daryl Maguire of the Liberal Party of Australia....	Daryl Maguire Daryl Maguire Daryl William Maguire MP JP , an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Wagga Wagga for the Liberal Party of Australia since 1999...	LIB v IND	10.3%
Gosford Electoral district of Gosford Gosford is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Chris Holstein of the Liberal Party. The former district of Gosford was renamed Terrigal for the 2007 state election...	Chris Holstein Chris Holstein Christopher David "Chris" Holstein MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Gosford for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and background:...	LIB	11.9%
Mulgoa Electoral district of Mulgoa Mulgoa is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is currently represented by Tanya Davies of the Liberal Party of Australia.-Members for Mulgoa:-Election results:...	Tanya Davies Tanya Davies Tanya Davies MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Mulgoa for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and background:...	LIB	12.0%
Hornsby Electoral district of Hornsby Hornsby is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. Hornsby is one of two post-1927 electorates to have never been held by the Labor party and always by the Liberals, a predecessor party to the Liberals, or an independent, the other such district...	Matt Kean Matt Kean Matthew John "Matt" Kean MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Hornsby for the Liberal Party since 2011.-Early years and background:...	LIB v IND	12.1%
Parramatta Electoral district of Parramatta Parramatta is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is currently held by Geoff Lee of the Liberal Party of Australia....	Geoff Lee Geoff Lee Dr Geoffrey "Geoff" Lee MP , an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Parramatta for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and background:...	LIB	12.1%
Londonderry Electoral district of Londonderry Londonderry is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Bart Bassett of the Liberal Party of Australia.-Members for Londonderry:-Election results:...	Bart Bassett Bart Bassett Bart Bassett MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing the electorate of Londonderry for the Liberal Party since 26 March 2011...	LIB	12.3%
Port Stephens Electoral district of Port Stephens Port Stephens is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Craig Baumann of the Liberal Party who won 51.1% of the primary vote at the 2011 election....	Craig Baumann Craig Baumann Craig Asbjorn Baumann MP , an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Port Stephens for the Liberal Party since 2007.Baumann was elected at the 2007 state election...	LIB	12.5%
The Entrance Electoral district of The Entrance The Entrance is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly located on the Central Coast of New South Wales, Australia. It is represented by Chris Spence of the Liberal Party of Australia who defeated Labor candidate David Mehan at the State Election in 2011...	Chris Spence	LIB	12.5%
Heathcote Electoral district of Heathcote Heathcote is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Lee Evans of the Liberal Party of Australia.-Members for Heathcote:-Election results:...	Lee Evans Lee Evans (politician) Lee Justin Evans MP , an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Heathcote for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and background:...	LIB	12.9%
Dubbo Electoral district of Dubbo Dubbo is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Troy Grant of the National Party of Australia....	Troy Grant Troy Grant Troy Grant, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Dubbo for the National Party of Australia since 26 March 2011.-Early years and background:...	NAT v IND	13.7%
Wollondilly Electoral district of Wollondilly Wollondilly is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is currently held by Jai Rowell of the Liberal Party of Australia....	Jai Rowell Jai Rowell Jai Travers Rowell MP , an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Wollondilly for the Liberal Party since 2011.-Early career and background:...	LIB	14.7%
Clarence Electoral district of Clarence Clarence is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales.It was represented by Steve Cansdell of the National Party of Australia until he resigned on 16th September 2011 due to issues relating to a statutory declaration related to a speeding offence...	Chris Gulaptis Chris Gulaptis Christopher Gulaptis is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly. He has represented Clarence for the National Party of Australia since the Clarence state by-election, 2011....	NAT	15.1%
Penrith Electoral district of Penrith Penrith is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It has been represented by Stuart Ayres of the Liberal Party of Australia since the 2010 by-election...	Stuart Ayres Stuart Ayres Stuart Ayres MP is an Australian politician. He is a Liberal Party of Australia Member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly since 19 June 2010, representing the electorate of Penrith.-Private life:...	LIB	16.3%
Drummoyne Electoral district of Drummoyne Drummoyne is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by John Sidoti of the Liberal Party of Australia.-History:...	John Sidoti John Sidoti Anthony "John" Sidoti MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Drummoyne since 2011.-Early career and background:...	LIB	16.7%
Ballina	Don Page	NAT v GRN	17.8%
Upper Hunter Electoral district of Upper Hunter Upper Hunter is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by George Souris of the National Party of Australia....	George Souris George Souris George Souris JP MP is an Australian politician and member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly. He is currently the Minister for Hospitality in the O'Farrell Liberal/National government. He was born at Gunnedah and was educated at The Armidale School and the University of New England...	NAT v IND	18.3%
Bega	Andrew Constance Andrew Constance Andrew James Constance MP , an Australian politician, is the New South Wales Minister for Ageing and Disability Services in the O'Farrell government, since 2011...	LIB	18.6%
Camden Electoral district of Camden Camden is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales in Sydney's south-west. It is currently represented by Chris Patterson of the Liberal Party of Australia.-History:...	Chris Patterson Chris Patterson (politician) Christopher Stewart "Chris" Patterson MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Camden for the Liberal Party of Australia since the 2011.-Early life and background:...	LIB	18.9%
Very safe
Riverstone Electoral district of Riverstone Riverstone is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales.It is a 94.30 km² urban and semi-rural electorate in Sydney's north west, taking in the suburbs of Stanhope Gardens, Rouse Hill, Quakers Hill and Riverstone...	Kevin Conolly Kevin Conolly Kevin Conolly MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Riverstone for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and background:...	LIB	20.2%
Lismore Electoral district of Lismore Lismore is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Thomas George of the National Party of Australia....	Thomas George Thomas George Thomas George MP JP is an Australian politician and member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly. Thomas George was educated at St Mary's Primary and Marist Brothers College in Casino. He has worked as a bank officer, a stock and station agent, a real estate agent and a publican...	NAT v GRN	20.2%
South Coast Electoral district of South Coast South Coast is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Shelley Hancock of the Liberal Party of Australia.-Members for South Coast:-Election results:...	Shelley Hancock Shelley Hancock Shelley Elizabeth Hancock MP , an Australian politician, was elected as the first female Speaker of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly at the first sitting of Parliament following the 2011 state election...	LIB	20.4%
Miranda Electoral district of Miranda Miranda is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Graham Annesley of the Liberal Party of Australia.-Members for Miranda:-Election results:...	Graham Annesley Graham Annesley Graham Annesley MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Miranda for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011...	LIB	21.0%
Tweed Electoral district of Tweed Tweed is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Geoff Provest of the National Party of Australia. It includes eastern Tweed Shire, including Tweed Heads, Kingscliff, Fingal Head, Chinderah, Cudgen, Bogangar, Pottsville and...	Geoff Provest Geoff Provest Geoffrey Keith Provest is an Australian politician and National Party of Australia member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly. Provest has represented the Tweed since 24 March 2007....	NAT	21.7%
Orange Electoral district of Orange Orange is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Andrew Gee of the National Party of Australia....	Andrew Gee Andrew Gee (politician) Andrew Robert Gee , an Australian politician, is presently a 'member-elect' of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Orange for the National Party of Australia since 26 March 2011.-Early years and background:...	NAT v IND	21.9%
North Shore Electoral district of North Shore North Shore is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Jillian Skinner of the Liberal Party of Australia.-History:...	Jillian Skinner Jillian Skinner Jillian Gell Skinner MP , an Australian politician, is the New South Wales Minister for Health and Minister for Medical Research in the O'Farrell-Stoner Liberal/National coalitition government...	LIB v GRN	23.2%
Clarence Electoral district of Clarence Clarence is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales.It was represented by Steve Cansdell of the National Party of Australia until he resigned on 16th September 2011 due to issues relating to a statutory declaration related to a speeding offence...	Steve Cansdell Steve Cansdell Stephen Rhett "Steve" Cansdell is a former Australian politician and former member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly....	~~NAT v IND~~	~~23.3%~~
Bathurst	Paul Toole Paul Toole Paul Toole, an Australian politician, is the independent Mayor of Bathurst Regional Council since 2007, having previously served as a Councillor on BRC from 2005, and before that, serving as a Councillor on the now defunct Evans Shire Council from 1995–2005...	NAT	23.7%
Terrigal Electoral district of Terrigal Terrigal is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It was contested for the first time at the 2007 election and was won by the former member for Gosford, Chris Hartcher of the Liberal Party of Australia. Hartcher was re-elected at the 2011...	Chris Hartcher Chris Hartcher Christopher "Chris" Peter Hartcher MP , an Australian politician, is the New South Wales Minister for Resources and Energy, Special Minister of State and Minister for the Central Coast in the O'Farrell-Stoner Liberal/National coalitition government...	LIB	24.2%
Menai Electoral district of Menai Menai is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Melanie Gibbons of the Liberal Party of Australia. Currently, it is the only state seat in the state of New South Wales to have always been represented by a woman.-Members for...	Melanie Gibbons Melanie Gibbons Melanie Rhonda Gibbons MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Menai for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and background:...	LIB	24.4%
Myall Lakes Electoral district of Myall Lakes Myall Lakes is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Stephen Bromhead of the National Party of Australia....	Stephen Bromhead Stephen Bromhead Stephen Bruce Bromhead , an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly, having represented Myall Lakes for the National Party of Australia since 26 March 2011.-Early years and background:...	NAT v IND	24.9%
Epping Electoral district of Epping Epping is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Greg Smith of the Liberal Party of Australia.-Members for Epping:-Election results:...	Greg Smith	LIB	25.2%
Cronulla Electoral district of Cronulla Cronulla is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Mark Speakman of the Liberal Party of Australia.-Members for Cronulla:-Election results:...	Mark Speakman Mark Speakman Mark Raymond Speakman SC MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Cronulla for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and background:...	LIB	25.6%
Lane Cove Electoral district of Lane Cove Lane Cove is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Anthony Roberts of the Liberal Party of Australia...	Anthony Roberts Anthony Roberts Anthony John Roberts MP , an Australian politician, is the New South Wales Minister for Fair Trading in the O'Farrell-Stoner Liberal/National coalitition government...	LIB v GRN	25.7%
Ryde Electoral district of Ryde Ryde is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It includes the suburbs and localities of Denistone, Denistone East, Denistone West, Macquarie Park, Marsfield, Meadowbank, Melrose Park, Ryde, North Ryde, West Ryde; and part of Eastwood.It is...	Victor Dominello Victor Dominello Victor Michael Dominello MP , an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly, representing the electorate of Ryde for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2008, and is the Minister for Citizenship, Communities and Aboriginal Affairs since 2011 in the Coalition...	LIB	25.7%
Vaucluse Electoral district of Vaucluse Vaucluse is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales, based on the suburb of Vaucluse. Vaucluse is one of two original electorates to have never been held by the opposing Labor party and always by the Liberal Party or its predecessors, the other...	Gabrielle Upton Gabrielle Upton Gabrielle Cecelia Upton MBA, BA, LLB MP , an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Vaucluse for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011. Upton is the Parliamentary Secretary for Tertiary Education and Skills.-Early years and background:Upton...	LIB v GRN	26.1%
Baulkham Hills	David Elliott David Elliott (politician) David Andrew Elliott MP , an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Baulkham Hills for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early years and background:...	LIB	26.4%
Goulburn Electoral district of Goulburn Goulburn is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Pru Goward of the Liberal Party of Australia....	Pru Goward Pru Goward Prudence Jane Goward MP , an Australian politician, is the Minister for Community Services and Women in the O'Farrell Liberal-National Coalition Government since 2011. Goward is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Goulburn for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2007...	LIB	26.6%
Albury	Greg Aplin Greg Aplin Gregory John "Greg" Aplin MP , an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Albury for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2003.-Early life and background:...	LIB	26.9%
Manly Electoral district of Manly Manly is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It has historically tended to be a Liberal-leaning seat. It is currently represented by the Treasurer of New South Wales, Mike Baird of the Liberal Party of Australia.-Members for Manly:-Election...	Mike Baird	LIB v GRN	27.0%
Coffs Harbour Electoral district of Coffs Harbour Coffs Harbour is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Andrew Fraser of the National Party of Australia....	Andrew Fraser Andrew Fraser (New South Wales politician) Andrew Raymond Gordon Fraser JP , an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Coffs Harbour for the National Party of Australia since 1990....	NAT	27.2%
Murray-Darling Electoral district of Murray-Darling Murray-Darling is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by John Williams of the National Party of Australia....	John Williams	NAT	27.2%
Murrumbidgee Electoral district of Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales, named after the Murrumbidgee River. It is represented by Adrian Piccoli of the National Party of Australia....	Adrian Piccoli Adrian Piccoli Adrian Piccoli is an Australian politician representing the electoral district of Murrumbidgee in the New South Wales Legislative Assembly. He is the Minister for Education in the O'Farrell Government and the Deputy Leader of the New South Wales Nationals.-Personal life:Piccoli was born in Griffith...	NAT	27.9%
Pittwater Electoral district of Pittwater Pittwater is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. Located in Sydney's north-east, it is 175.32 km² in size, and comprises the local government area of Pittwater Council and parts of Warringah Council...	Rob Stokes Rob Stokes Robert "Rob" Gordon Stokes BA, LLM MP , an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Pittwater for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2007. He is currently the NSW Parliamentary Secretary for Renewable Energy.-Early life and background:Stokes grew...	LIB v GRN	28.0%
Willoughby Electoral district of Willoughby Willoughby is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Gladys Berejiklian of the Liberal Party of Australia.-History:...	Gladys Berejiklian Gladys Berejiklian Gladys Berejiklian MP , an Australian politician, is the Minister for Transport in the O'Farrell Government. Berejiklian is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Willoughby for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2003.-Early years and background:Berejiklian was born in...	LIB v GRN	28.1%
Wakehurst Electoral district of Wakehurst Wakehurst is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Brad Hazzard of the Liberal Party of Australia.-Members for Wakehurst:-Election results:...	Brad Hazzard Brad Hazzard Bradley "Brad" Ronald Hazzard MP , an Australian politician, is the New South Wales Minister for Planning and Infrastructure and Minister Assisting the Premier on Infrastructure NSW in the O'Farrell-Stoner Liberal/National coalitition government...	LIB v GRN	28.5%
Oxley	Andrew Stoner Andrew Stoner Andrew John Stoner is an Australian politician, Deputy Premier of New South Wales and member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly for the seat of Oxley since the 1999 state election, and the Leader of the New South Wales National Party since 31 March 2003...	NAT v GRN	28.8%
Castle Hill Electoral district of Castle Hill Castle Hill is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales, formed during the redistribution in 2004. It is an urban electorate in Sydney's north west, taking in the suburbs of Castle Hill, Carlingford and West Pennant Hills...	Dominic Perrottet Dominic Perrottet Dominic Francis Perrottet MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Castle Hill for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2011.-Early life and background:...	LIB	30.8%
Burrinjuck	Katrina Hodgkinson Katrina Hodgkinson Katrina Ann Hodgkinson MP JP is an Australian politician and a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly. She has represented the Burrinjuck for the National Party of Australia since 27 March 1999...	NAT	31.1%
Ku-ring-gai Electoral district of Ku-ring-gai Ku-ring-gai is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by the current Premier of New South Wales, Barry O'Farrell of the Liberal Party of Australia, since 1999.-Electorate History:...	Barry O'Farrell Barry O'Farrell Barry Robert O'Farrell MP, is an Australian politician and is the 43rd Premier of New South Wales, Minister for Western Sydney, Leader of the New South Wales Liberal Party and a Member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Ku-ring-gai for the Liberal Party since 1999.Born in...	LIB v GRN	31.3%
Barwon	Kevin Humphries Kevin Humphries Kevin John Humphries is an Australian politician and National Party of Australia member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly. He has represented the Barwon since 24 March 2007...	NAT	32.0%
Davidson Electoral district of Davidson Davidson is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Jonathan O'Dea of the Liberal Party of Australia.-Members for Davidson:-Election results:...	Jonathan O'Dea Jonathan O'Dea Jonathan Richard O'Dea MP , an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Davidson for the Liberal Party of Australia since 2007.-Early life:...	LIB v GRN	33.4%
Hawkesbury Electoral district of Hawkesbury Hawkesbury is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It was represented by Steven Pringle, formerly of the Liberal Party of Australia, who contested the 2007 election as an independent but was defeated by Ray Williams of the Liberal Party of...	Ray Williams	LIB	34.7%

LABOR SEATS
Marginal
Toongabbie Electoral district of Toongabbie Toongabbie is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales, created at the 2004 redistribution of electoral districts largely replacing the abolished district of Wentworthville. It was contested for the first time in the 2007 general election...	Nathan Rees Nathan Rees Nathan Rees MP, , an Australian politician, was the 41st Premier of New South Wales and parliamentary leader of the New South Wales division of the Australian Labor Party from September 2008 to December 2009...	ALP	0.3%
Marrickville Electoral district of Marrickville Marrickville is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is a 13.47 km² urban electorate in Sydney's inner west, centred on the suburb of Marrickville from which it takes its name...	Carmel Tebbutt Carmel Tebbutt Carmel Mary Tebbutt is an Australian politician. She is the Australian Labor Party Member for Marrickville in the New South Wales Legislative Assembly and was Deputy Premier of New South Wales from 2008 to 2011. She was also Minister for Health in the Keneally Government...	ALP v GRN	0.9%
Wollongong Electoral district of Wollongong Wollongong is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Noreen Hay of the Australian Labor Party.-History:...	Noreen Hay Noreen Hay Noreen Hay is an Australian politician and member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly. She has represented Wollongong for the Australian Labor Party since 2003....	ALP v IND	1.0%
Macquarie Fields Electoral district of Macquarie Fields Macquarie Fields is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales, located in the outer south-western suburbs of Sydney. It is currently represented by Dr Andrew McDonald of the Australian Labor Party....	Andrew McDonald	ALP	1.5%
Maroubra Electoral district of Maroubra Maroubra is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is currently represented by Michael Daley of the Australian Labor Party,...	Michael Daley Michael Daley Michael John Daley MP , an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Maroubra for the Australian Labor Party since 2005. He is currently Shadow Treasurer and Shadow Minister for Finance and Services.-Early life:Daley was educated at Marcellin...	ALP	1.6%
Fairfield Electoral district of Fairfield Fairfield is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly of the Australian state of New South Wales in Sydney's West. Fairfield has historically been one of the safest Labor seats in New South Wales and is considered a part of Labor's heartland in Western Sydney...	Guy Zangari Guy Zangari Guy Zangari is an Australian politician. He has been an Australian Labor Party member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly since March 2011, representing the electorate of Fairfield....	ALP	1.7%
Kogarah Electoral district of Kogarah Kogarah is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales in Sydney's St George district. It is represented by Cherie Burton of the Australian Labor Party.-History:...	Cherie Burton Cherie Burton Cherie Ann Burton an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Kogarah for the Australian Labor Party since 1999.- Biography :...	ALP	1.9%
Cabramatta Electoral district of Cabramatta Cabramatta is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is a 19.82 km² urban electorate in Sydney's south-west, centred on the suburb of Cabramatta from which it takes its name. It also includes the suburbs of Bonnyrigg, Bonnyrigg Heights,...	Nick Lalich Nick Lalich Nick Lalich is an Australian politician. He has been an Australian Labor Party member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly since October 2008, representing the electorate of Cabramatta...	ALP	2.1%
Blacktown	John Robertson John Robertson (New South Wales politician) John Cameron Robertson MP , an Australian politician, is the Leader of the Australian Labor Party in New South Wales and the Leader of the Opposition. Robertson is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Blacktown for Labor since 2011...	ALP	3.7%
Keira Electoral district of Keira Keira is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Ryan Park of the Australian Labor Party.-Members for Keira:-Election results:...	Ryan Park Ryan Park (politician) Ryan Park is an Australian politician. He has been an Australian Labor Party member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly since March 2011, representing the electorate of Keira.Park was born in Wollongong and attended local state schools...	ALP	3.9%
Cessnock Electoral district of Cessnock Cessnock is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales in the rural fringe of the Hunter. It is represented by Clayton Barr of the Australian Labor Party.-History:...	Clayton Barr Clayton Barr Clayton Gordon Barr MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Cessnock for the Australian Labor Party since 2011....	ALP	4.4%
Fairly safe
Wallsend Electoral district of Wallsend Wallsend is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. Wallsend is a Newcastle suburban electorate, deriving its name from the suburb of the same name, covering 118.57 km² and encompassing at least part of the suburbs of Wallsend, Edgeworth,...	Sonia Hornery Sonia Hornery Sonia Kathleen Hornery JP MP is an Australian politician representing the seat of Electoral district of Wallsend for the Australian Labor Party...	ALP	6.6%
Mount Druitt Electoral district of Mount Druitt Mount Druitt is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is a 89.01 km² urban electorate in Sydney's outer west, taking in the suburbs of Mount Druitt, Marsden Park, and Arndell Park. There were 45,408 voters enrolled in time for the 2003...	Richard Amery Richard Amery Richard Sanderson Amery MP , an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Mount Druitt for the Australian Labor Party since 1991...	ALP	6.7%
Lakemba Electoral district of Lakemba Lakemba is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales in Sydney's Inner West. It has been held by the Australian Labor Party since its creation in 1927...	Robert Furolo Robert Furolo Robert Anthony Furolo is an Australian politician. He has been an Australian Labor Party member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly since October 2008, representing the electorate of Lakemba....	ALP	7.0%
Heffron Electoral district of Heffron Heffron is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is named after Robert Heffron, a former Labor premier of New South Wales. It is a safe Labor seat, and is currently represented by former Premier Kristina Keneally of the Australian Labor...	Kristina Keneally Kristina Keneally Kristina Kerscher Keneally MP, is an Australian politician and was the 42nd Premier of New South Wales. She was elected leader of the Australian Labor Party in New South Wales and thus Premier in 2009, but went on to lose government to the Liberal/National Coalition at the March 2011 state election...	ALP	7.1%
Canterbury Electoral district of Canterbury Canterbury is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is represented by Linda Burney of the Australian Labor Party.-History:...	Linda Burney Linda Burney The Hon. Linda Jean Burney MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Canterbury for the Australian Labor Party since 2003...	ALP	8.3%
Auburn	Barbara Perry Barbara Perry Barbara Mazzel Anne Perry MP, , an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Auburn for the Australian Labor Party since 2001. Perry is the Shadow Minister for Ageing, Shadow Minister for Disability Services, Shadow Minister for Family and Community...	ALP	8.5%
Shellharbour Electoral district of Shellharbour Shellharbour is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. The seat was created at the 2004 redistribution of electoral districts and takes in the majority of voters from the abolished Illawarra, as well as territory that previously belonged to...	Anna Watson Anna Watson (politician) Anna Watson is an Australian politician and a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing the electoral district of Shellharbour.-Personal life:...	ALP	8.6%
Safe
Bankstown	Tania Mihailuk Tania Mihailuk Tania Mihailuk is an Australian politician. She has been an Australian Labor Party member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly since March 2011, representing the electorate of Bankstown. She became to the first woman to represent Bankstown in its 80+ year history...	ALP	10.3%
Liverpool Electoral district of Liverpool Liverpool is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly of the Australian state of New South Wales in Sydney's West. It is currently represented by Paul Lynch of the Australian Labor Party....	Paul Lynch Paul Lynch (politician) Paul Gerard Lynch MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Liverpool since 1995 for the Australian Labor Party.-Early career and background:...	ALP	14.7%
INDEPENDENT & OTHER SEATS
Sydney Electoral district of Sydney Sydney is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly of the Australian state of New South Wales in Inner Sydney. It includes the commercial centre of the Sydney CBD; the suburbs and localities of Barangaroo, Broadway, Chinatown, Chippendale, Darling Harbour, Dawes Point, Elizabeth Bay,...	Clover Moore Clover Moore Clover Moore , is an Australian politician, the Lord Mayor of the City of Sydney and an independent member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly, representing the electorate of Sydney. Moore is the first publicly elected female Lord Mayor of Sydney. Prior to the 2007 NSW state election, she...	IND v LIB	3.1%
Balmain Electoral district of Balmain Balmain is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly of the Australian state of New South Wales in Sydney's Inner West. It includes the suburbs and localities of Annandale, Balmain, Balmain East, Birchgrove, Forest Lodge, Glebe, Glebe Island, Haberfield, Leichhardt, Lilyfield, Rozelle,...	Jamie Parker Jamie Parker (politician) Jamie Thomas Parker MP, an Australian politician, is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Balmain for the Greens since 2011...	GRN v LIB	3.5%
Lake Macquarie Electoral district of Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Hunter region of the Australian state of New South Wales. It is currently represented by the independent Greg Piper.-Members for Lake Macquarie:-Election results:...	Greg Piper Greg Piper Gregory Michael Piper MP , an Australian politician, is the independent member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Lake Macquarie since 2007. Piper also serves as Mayor of City of Lake Macquarie, since 2004.-Early years and background:Piper grew up in the Lake Macquarie suburb...	IND v LIB	14.9%
Northern Tablelands Electoral district of Northern Tablelands Northern Tablelands is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is currently represented by independent member Richard Torbay....	Richard Torbay Richard Torbay George Richard Torbay MP , an Australian politician, is an independent member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly representing Northern Tablelands since 1999. Torbay was the 30th Speaker of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly, serving from 2007 until 2011, and was the first independent...	IND v NAT	19.4%

Member for Clarence, Steve Cansdell
Steve Cansdell
Stephen Rhett "Steve" Cansdell is a former Australian politician and former member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly....

, resigned on 16 September 2011. He was succeeded by Chris Gulaptis
Chris Gulaptis
Christopher Gulaptis is a member of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly. He has represented Clarence for the National Party of Australia since the Clarence state by-election, 2011....

at the Clarence state by-election, 2011
Clarence state by-election, 2011
A by-election was held for the New South Wales Legislative Assembly electorate of Clarence on 19 November 2011, following the resignation on 16 September of sitting member, the National Party's Steve Cansdell, after he admitted to making a false statutory declaration regarding a speeding...

.

Legislative Council

Current balance

Party	Seats held		Current 42-seat Council
Party	2011 New South Wales state election, 2011 Elections to the 55th Parliament of New South Wales were held on Saturday, 26 March 2011. The 16-year incumbent Australian Labor Party government led by Premier Kristina Keneally was defeated in a landslide by the Liberal-National coalition opposition led by Barry O'Farrell.New South Wales has...	Now	Current 42-seat Council
Australian Labor Party Australian Labor Party The Australian Labor Party is an Australian political party. It has been the governing party of the Commonwealth of Australia since the 2007 federal election. Julia Gillard is the party's federal parliamentary leader and Prime Minister of Australia...	14	14
Liberal Party of Australia Liberal Party of Australia The Liberal Party of Australia is an Australian political party.Founded a year after the 1943 federal election to replace the United Australia Party, the centre-right Liberal Party typically competes with the centre-left Australian Labor Party for political office...	12	12
National Party of Australia National Party of Australia The National Party of Australia is an Australian political party.Traditionally representing graziers, farmers and rural voters generally, it began as the The Country Party, but adopted the name The National Country Party in 1975, changed to The National Party of Australia in 1982. The party is...	7	7
The Greens Greens New South Wales The Greens New South Wales is the state Greens party in New South Wales. It is a member party of the Australian Greens. The Greens NSW have one member in the New South Wales Legislative Assembly , five members in the New South Wales Legislative Council...	5	5
Shooters and Fishers Party	2	2
Christian Democratic Party Christian Democratic Party (Australia) The Christian Democratic Party is a right-wing political party in Australia. Its leader is Fred Nile, a Congregational Church minister and a member of the New South Wales Legislative Council.-Formation:...	2	2

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